228 Birmingham St · Prichard, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$25,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Property!! A great opportunity to add this fixer-upper to your investment portfolio.
Key facts
- 6,094 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Parking for 2 vehicles
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Built in 1978; Wood siding; Wood-frame windows; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Private yard; No fencing; View
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast room (kitchen feature)
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window unit(s) for cooling
- Interior features: Other interior features; No fireplace; Separate dining room; Breakfast room
- Laundry & utility: No basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $623 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($988 rent vs $25k).
- Cap rate 36.2% vs local median 11.0% in Prichard — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#472 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Grant Elementary School (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #508 of 627 statewide, top 84%, 236 students, 98% FRL); Cf Vigor High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 547 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 67% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 9% at this address vs 27% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Mobile County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $266 of equity ($173 loan paydown + $93 appreciation (0.4% local appreciation)).
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.95% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 106.72%
- DSCR
- 5.75
- GRM
- 2.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $46,445
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 Birmingham St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,327 (0%) | 1mo | $25,000 | $19 | 99 |
| 503 Vermont St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,300 (-2%) | 7mo | $18,500 | $14 | 69 |
| 519 Coal St | 0.63mi | 2/1.0 | 1,248 (-6%) | 1mo | $57,000 | $46 | 60 |
| 210 Irby St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,416 (+7%) | 13mo | $73,500 | $52 | 57 |
| 101 Diaz St | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 | 1,172 (-12%) | 2mo | $40,900 | $35 | 54 |
| 643 Gehrig Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,308 (-1%) | 4mo | $76,000 | $58 | 53 |
| 614 Gehrig Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,263 (-5%) | 5mo | $42,400 | $34 | 49 |
| 99 Grover Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,470 (+11%) | 14mo | $7,000 | $5 | 44 |
| 512 Montgomery St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-10%) | 20mo | $38,000 | $32 | 43 |
| 407 Garrison Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,222 (-8%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $41 | 43 |
| 135 Petain St E | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,500 (+13%) | 2mo | $25,000 | $17 | 40 |
| 609 Gehrig Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,458 (+10%) | 11mo | $59,000 | $40 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.37% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.62×
- Total profit
- $39,363
- Equity at exit
- $7,728
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.73×
- Total profit
- $89,139
- Equity at exit
- $9,672
Cash invested: $7,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36610
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 41
- Price-to-rent
- 2.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $988 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$131
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $197/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $623
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $637 | -5% $630 | +0% $623 | +5% $615 | +10% $608 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $544 | -5% $583 | +0% $623 | +5% $662 | +10% $701 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $635 | -0.5pp $629 | base $623 | +0.5pp $616 | +1.0pp $609 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $6,250
- Closing costs
- $750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 519 Bay Bridge Rd Unit B Prichard, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $925 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 408 Rawls Ave Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,100 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-10status Pending
-
2026-05-08$25,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $197 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $197 · $16/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,400
- − Property taxes
- −$197
- − Insurance
- −$125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$948
- − Management
- −$948
- − Depreciation
- −$727
- Taxable income
- $7,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,802
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,668/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Prichard
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #24080
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prichard, AL
- City population
- 13,402
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,692
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 97% Hispanic / Latino 1% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.37%
- Current HPI
- 42.6203
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-10 Pending — GCMLS AL
- 2026-05-08 Listed $25,000 GCMLS AL
Property tax history
-8.5%/yrLatest (2025): $197 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…