128 Larchwood Dr · Slidell, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.55%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This two story 4 Beds/2.5 Baths single-family home offers 2,414 sq ft of well planned living space. The kitchen features wooden cabinetry, granite countertops, appliances, and a pantry for added storage. The main living area includes a fireplace, while LVT flooring runs throughout for durability and easy maintenance. Bedrooms offer functional storage with open cabinetry, and bathrooms are finished with matching wood cabinets, granite tops, tile flooring, and a tub in full baths. Situated on a 0.25-acre lot, the exterior includes a well-maintained front yard and a covered front porch. The wide, fully fenced backyard provides space to relax or play, complete with a wooden slide and trampoline
Key facts
- Tub in full baths
- Tile flooring
- Granite countertops
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.9% in Slidell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 589 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $201k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.60%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $311,706
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -23.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Circlewood Ct | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 2,411 (-0%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $110 | 84 |
| 245 Cross Gates Blvd | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,284 (-5%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $151 | 78 |
| 105 Honeywood Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,275 (-6%) | 0mo | $270,000 | $119 | 68 |
| 228 Blue Crane 1 Dr | 0.12mi | 4/2.5 | 2,747 (+14%) | 4mo | $409,500 | $149 | 68 |
| 148 Woodruff Dr | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 | 2,348 (-3%) | 1mo | $386,000 | $164 | 67 |
| 511 Cross Gates Blvd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,281 (-6%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $142 | 65 |
| 632 Whitney Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.5 | 2,183 (-10%) | 5mo | $384,000 | $176 | 63 |
| 195 Woodruff Dr | 0.31mi | 4/3.0 | 2,721 (+13%) | 0mo | $385,000 | $141 | 62 |
| 543 Cross Gates Blvd | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 | 2,328 (-4%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $129 | 60 |
| 111 Thatcher Dr | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 2,353 (-2%) | 1mo | $290,000 | $123 | 59 |
| 307 N Buckingham Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,260 (-6%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $117 | 55 |
| 317 Steele Rd | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 | 2,739 (+14%) | 3mo | $315,000 | $115 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-11,534
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $16,218
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70461
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 589
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,581 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,390/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$542
- Net cashflow
- $481
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Cross Gates Blvd Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,150 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 555 Cross Gates Blvd Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $2,425 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 361 Autumn Lakes Rd Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $3,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 361 Autumn Lakes Rd Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $3,000 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 812 N Lake Verret Ct Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1305 Spring Ridge Cir Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2950 | $3,350 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3517 Meadow Lake Dr W Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1931 | $2,200 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 221 Lake Tahoe Dr Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1671 | $1,850 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 403 Sandpiper Ct Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2060 | $2,650 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 401 Starling Dr Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2816 | $2,800 | $0.99 | 20d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $240,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $254,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $259,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $259,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $259,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $269,500 848-char remark
-
2026-05-11price $269,500 848-char remark
-
2026-04-23$274,500 Active 848-char remark
-
2026-04-23$274,500 Active 848-char remark
-
2015-05-28soldstatus $201,000
-
2015-05-22soldstatus $201,000 Sold
-
2015-04-07$198,900
-
2015-04-07$198,900
-
2015-01-14soldstatus $120,000
-
2002-03-25soldstatus $133,600
-
2002-03-21soldstatus $133,600
-
2001-11-06$132,500
-
2001-11-06$132,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,390 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,390 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 55% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,975
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,390
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,478
- − Management
- −$2,478
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $2,003
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$481
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,296/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Slidell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #7673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 95,511
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,808
- Household income
- $89,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 328.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.47%
- Current HPI
- 151.3353
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
+81.1% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-05 Price Changed $240,000 GSREIN
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $254,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $254,500 GSREIN
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $259,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-28 Price Changed $259,500 GSREIN
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $264,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-21 Price Changed $264,500 GSREIN
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $269,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $269,500 GSREIN
- 2026-04-23 Listed $274,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $201,000 Public Records
- 2015-05-22 Sold (MLS) $201,000 GSREIN
- 2015-04-07 Listed $198,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-04-07 Listed $198,900 GSREIN
- 2015-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
- 2002-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $133,600 Public Records
- 2002-03-21 Sold (MLS) $133,600 GSREIN
- 2001-11-06 Listed $132,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2001-11-06 Listed $132,500 GSREIN
Property tax history
-0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,390 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…