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128 Larchwood Dr
B- Composite 66.07
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

128 Larchwood Dr · Slidell, LA 70461
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,414 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 2015 0.25 ac lot $99/sqft · 23% below area Est $312k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This two story 4 Beds/2.5 Baths single-family home offers 2,414 sq ft of well planned living space. The kitchen features wooden cabinetry, granite countertops, appliances, and a pantry for added storage. The main living area includes a fireplace, while LVT flooring runs throughout for durability and easy maintenance. Bedrooms offer functional storage with open cabinetry, and bathrooms are finished with matching wood cabinets, granite tops, tile flooring, and a tub in full baths. Situated on a 0.25-acre lot, the exterior includes a well-maintained front yard and a covered front porch. The wide, fully fenced backyard provides space to relax or play, complete with a wooden slide and trampoline

Key facts

  • Tub in full baths
  • Tile flooring
  • Granite countertops

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSPANTRY FOR ADDED STORAGELVT FLOORINGTILE FLOORINGTUB IN FULL BATHSWELL-MAINTAINED FRONT YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $481 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.9% in Slidell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 589 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $201k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $232,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.70%
Cash-on-cash
8.60%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$311,706
List price
$240,000
Delta
-23.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
102 Circlewood Ct 0.33mi 4/2.5 2,411 (-0%) 1mo $265,000 $110 84
245 Cross Gates Blvd 0.15mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,284 (-5%) 1mo $345,000 $151 78
105 Honeywood Dr 0.35mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,275 (-6%) 0mo $270,000 $119 68
228 Blue Crane 1 Dr 0.12mi 4/2.5 2,747 (+14%) 4mo $409,500 $149 68
148 Woodruff Dr 0.58mi 4/2.5 2,348 (-3%) 1mo $386,000 $164 67
511 Cross Gates Blvd 0.45mi 4/2.0 2,281 (-6%) 4mo $325,000 $142 65
632 Whitney Dr 0.37mi 4/2.5 2,183 (-10%) 5mo $384,000 $176 63
195 Woodruff Dr 0.31mi 4/3.0 2,721 (+13%) 0mo $385,000 $141 62
543 Cross Gates Blvd 0.62mi 4/2.0 2,328 (-4%) 3mo $300,000 $129 60
111 Thatcher Dr 0.72mi 4/2.0 2,353 (-2%) 1mo $290,000 $123 59
307 N Buckingham Dr 0.68mi 4/2.0 2,260 (-6%) 1mo $265,000 $117 55
317 Steele Rd 0.63mi 4/2.5 2,739 (+14%) 3mo $315,000 $115 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.7%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-11,534
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
3.5%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$16,218
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70461

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
1.7%
Active inventory
589
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,581 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$199 /mo · $2,390/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$542
Net cashflow
$481

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,972
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 Cross Gates Blvd Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 2045 $2,150 $1.05 24d 1 0.44mi
555 Cross Gates Blvd Slidell, LA 4.0 2.5 2300 $2,425 $1.05 44d 1 0.69mi
361 Autumn Lakes Rd Slidell, LA 4.0 2.5 2250 $3,500 $1.56 44d 1 0.99mi
361 Autumn Lakes Rd Slidell, LA 4.0 2.5 2250 $3,000 $1.33 12d 1 0.99mi
812 N Lake Verret Ct Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 1862 $2,500 $1.34 24d 1 1.11mi
1305 Spring Ridge Cir Slidell, LA 4.0 3.0 2950 $3,350 $1.14 12d 1 1.18mi
3517 Meadow Lake Dr W Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 1931 $2,200 $1.14 44d 1 1.22mi
221 Lake Tahoe Dr Slidell, LA 3.0 2.0 1671 $1,850 $1.11 44d 1 1.22mi
403 Sandpiper Ct Slidell, LA 4.0 2.0 2060 $2,650 $1.29 3d 1 1.33mi
401 Starling Dr Slidell, LA 4.0 2.5 2816 $2,800 $0.99 20d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $240,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $254,500 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $259,500 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $259,500 Active 39 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $259,500 Active 38 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    price $269,500 848-char remark
  15. 2026-05-11
    price $269,500 848-char remark
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $274,500 Active 848-char remark
  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $274,500 Active 848-char remark
  18. 2015-05-28
    soldstatus $201,000
  19. 2015-05-22
    soldstatus $201,000 Sold
  20. 2015-04-07
    listed $198,900
  21. 2015-04-07
    listed $198,900
  22. 2015-01-14
    soldstatus $120,000
  23. 2002-03-25
    soldstatus $133,600
  24. 2002-03-21
    soldstatus $133,600
  25. 2001-11-06
    listed $132,500
  26. 2001-11-06
    listed $132,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,390 · $199/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,390 · $199/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,975
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,390
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,478
− Management
−$2,478
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$2,003
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$481
After-tax cash flow
$5,296/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Tammany Parish
NCES district ID
2201650
Math proficiency
43% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -26.00%
Median HH income
$61,752
Composite
43.04/100
National rank
#3098
State rank
#11 of 98 in LA

Livability — Slidell

Score
70/100
State rank
#57
US rank
#7673

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
City population
95,511
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
34,808
Household income
$89,003
Rent vs Own
23.1% rent · 76.9% own
Severe rent burden
328.0

Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,725 people
By 2030
304,175 · +6.1%
By 2040
336,203 · +17.3%
By 2050
364,590 · +27.2%
By 2075
433,362 · +51.1%
By 2100
470,333 · +64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 9% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.47%
Current HPI
151.3353
Rent YoY
▲ 1.72%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+81.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $240,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $240,000 GSREIN
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $254,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $254,500 GSREIN
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $259,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $259,500 GSREIN
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $264,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $264,500 GSREIN
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $269,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $269,500 GSREIN
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $274,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2015-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $201,000 Public Records
  • 2015-05-22 Sold (MLS) $201,000 GSREIN
  • 2015-04-07 Listed $198,900 AcadianaMLS
  • 2015-04-07 Listed $198,900 GSREIN
  • 2015-01-14 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
  • 2002-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $133,600 Public Records
  • 2002-03-21 Sold (MLS) $133,600 GSREIN
  • 2001-11-06 Listed $132,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2001-11-06 Listed $132,500 GSREIN

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,390 · -3.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…