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1107 Kimball Dr
D+ Composite 46.54
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

1107 Kimball Dr · Ocoee, FL 34761
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,051 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1959 8,296 sqft lot Est $271k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome! This two-bedroom, one-bathroom home presents an excellent opportunity in the heart of Ocoee. Inside features vaulted ceilings, with a spacious living area and bedrooms, and a dedicated den/study, providing a versatile home fit for life’s ever-changing needs. Its private backyard adds to the versatility, offering a lovely outdoor space prime for relaxing or entertaining. The location offers exceptional convenience with proximity to schools, local shopping and dining options, highway access, and a variety of recreation activities, including Forest Lake Golf Club, Jim Beech Recreation Center, and numerous parks, placing everyday needs and entertainment activities just moments aw

Key facts

  • 8,296 sq ft lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 52 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned R-1; Total living area approximately 1,051 square feet; Total building area approximately 1,126 square feet
  • Financial info: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
  • HOA & community: No HOA; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking details provided
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; Water service available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; Faces northwest; Entry on main level
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on a 0.19-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Sidewalk; Landscaped lot; Paved surfaces

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances included
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Living room and dining room combo; 6 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($61/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (12.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Ocoee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#602 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Spring Lake Elementary (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,152 of 2,144 statewide, top 55%, 442 students, 72% FRL); Ocoee High (math 17% / reading 38%, grade F, #470 of 667 statewide, top 71%, 2,536 students, 50% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $82k; list at $240k implies a 193% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,013 (12.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
6.32%
Cash-on-cash
0.09%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$271,158
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
405 Caballero Rd 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,025 (-2%) 2mo $192,000 $187 68
1909 Lauren Beth Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-5%) 2mo $298,900 $299 60
1402 Samantha St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,050 (-0%) 23mo $306,000 $291 59
911 Ursula St 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,075 (+2%) 12mo $265,000 $247 58
1405 Snowden St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,124 (+7%) 3mo $290,000 $258 55
1906 Jessica Lea Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,066 (+1%) 10mo $266,000 $250 55
1006 Idaho Ct 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-4%) 16mo $240,000 $238 54
624 Cardinal St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,002 (-5%) 12mo $228,500 $228 51
1604 Starfire Ln 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,102 (+5%) 18mo $316,000 $287 51
1009 Arizona Ct 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-4%) 20mo $278,000 $276 50
1907 Jessica Lea Ln 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,008 (-4%) 15mo $295,000 $293 46
708 Snowden St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 897 (-15%) 7mo $188,500 $210 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-42,586
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-15.0%
Equity multiple
0.22×
Total profit
$-52,519
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34761

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
351
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,090 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$288 /mo · $3,450/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$5

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,084
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 95%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $141 -5% $73 +0% $5 +5% $-63 +10% $-131
Rent -10% $-160 -5% $-77 +0% $5 +5% $88 +10% $170
Rate -1.0pp $126 -0.5pp $66 base $5 +0.5pp $-57 +1.0pp $-120

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1204 Sandy Beach Rd Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1380 $2,175 $1.58 8d 1 0.32mi
1013 Arizona Ct Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1108 $1,850 $1.67 5d 1 0.47mi
2007 Shari Lynn Ter Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1378 $2,175 $1.58 5d 1 0.75mi
1903 Brancaster Cir Ocoee, FL 2.0 2.5 1275 $1,900 $1.49 13d 1 1.00mi
224 10th Ave Ocoee, FL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,500 $1.00 24d 1 1.01mi
10536 3rd Ave Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1425 $2,040 $1.43 21d 1 1.07mi
611 N Lakewood Ave Ocoee, FL 2.0 1.0 944 $800 $0.85 24d 1 1.08mi
114 Parker Cove Ct Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1425 $2,115 $1.48 24d 1 1.15mi
772 Olympic Cir Unit H2 Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1401 $1,995 $1.42 13d 1 1.30mi
763 Olympic Cir Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1401 $2,200 $1.57 24d 1 1.32mi
611 Olympic Dr Unit B Ocoee, FL 2.0 2.0 1493 $1,770 $1.19 5d 1 1.41mi
1512 Prairie Lake Blvd Ocoee, FL 3.0 2.0 1340 $2,100 $1.57 22d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $240,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $250,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $250,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $250,000 Active 49 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 47 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $250,000 Active 46 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $250,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $250,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $250,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $250,000 Active 38 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $250,000 Active 37 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 36 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $250,000 Active 35 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $250,000 Active 34 DOM
  16. 2026-04-27
    listed $250,000 Active
  17. 2022-02-09
    listed $124,000 Active
  18. 2013-10-17
    historical
  19. 2013-05-16
    listed $50,000
  20. 2002-08-14
    soldstatus $82,000
  21. 1991-09-01
    soldstatus $57,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,450 · $288/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,450 · $288/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,082
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$3,450
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,007
− Management
−$2,007
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$4,007
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$962
After-tax cash flow
$1,023/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orange
NCES district ID
1201440
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$49,350
Composite
41.47/100
National rank
#3461
State rank
#43 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ocoee

Score
66/100
State rank
#602
US rank
#11554

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocoee, FL
County
Orange County · 1,471,359 people
City population
47,327
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
47,327
Household income
$96,415
Rent vs Own
27.9% rent · 72.1% own
Severe rent burden
1197.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,618,226 people
By 2030
1,787,404 · +10.5%
By 2040
2,125,621 · +31.4%
By 2050
2,454,016 · +51.6%
By 2075
3,173,711 · +96.1%
By 2100
3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 39% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 19% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% German 2%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.83%
Current HPI
290.5598
Rent YoY
▲ 1.04%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+338.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $250,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-09 Listed $124,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-10-17 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-16 Listed $50,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-08-14 Sold (Public Records) $82,000 Public Records
  • 1991-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,450 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…