453 S Front Ave · Middleport, OH
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$33,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to buy this one story home located in the village of Middleport, OH in Meigs County and sitting on a . 14 acre lot (66x92) with a detached garage and attached carport. The interior has 1068 sq. ft. with 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom, living room, kitchen and dining room.
Key facts
- Attached carport
- One story home
- .14 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Detached parking; 1-car garage; 1-car carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Above-grade living area approximately 1,068
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Metal roof; Built as reported by an appraiser
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 66 x 92
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $34k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($984 rent vs $34k).
- Recommended offer: $32k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#765 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Meigs Local (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #594 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 9 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 3 units permitted in Meigs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $251 of equity ($232 loan paydown + $19 appreciation (0.1% local appreciation)).
- Meigs County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($32k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.88%
- DSCR
- 4.02
- GRM
- 2.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $83,304
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 690 Brownell Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,148 (+8%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 159 Cole St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-4%) | 21mo | $45,000 | $44 | 50 |
| 543 Grant St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 984 (-8%) | 19mo | $20,000 | $20 | 50 |
| 3 Peach Circle Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,164 (+9%) | 19mo | $109,900 | $94 | 43 |
| 761 Ash St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-10%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $78 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $6,026
- Equity at exit
- $9,823
- IRR
- 18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $19,444
- Equity at exit
- $11,885
Cash invested: $9,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45760
- Home prices YoY
- 0.0%
- Active inventory
- 9
- Price-to-rent
- 2.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $984 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$176
- Tax from tax record
- −$57 /mo · $684/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,375
- Closing costs
- $1,005
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-09price $33,500
-
2026-03-24price $42,900
-
2026-03-05$47,700 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $684 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,806
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,877
- − Property taxes
- −$684
- − Insurance
- −$5,286
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$944
- − Management
- −$944
- − Depreciation
- −$975
- Taxable income
- $1,096
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$263
- After-tax cash flow
- $986/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Meigs Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904852
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,110
- Composite
- 22.56/100
- National rank
- #8079
- State rank
- #594 of 656 in OH
Livability — Middleport
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #765
- US rank
- #13813
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middleport, OH
- County
- Meigs · 23,356 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,682
- Household income
- $37,014
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 9.3
Population outlook (Meigs County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,933 people
- By 2030
- 20,975 · -4.4%
- By 2040
- 18,650 · -15.0%
- By 2050
- 16,243 · -25.9%
- By 2075
- 10,860 · -50.5%
- By 2100
- 6,510 · -70.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% German 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Meigs
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.0) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.6pp · 2024: -57.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.0 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.06%
- Current HPI
- 141.1158
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
-29.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $33,500 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $42,900 MLSNOW
- 2026-03-05 Listed $47,700 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $684 · +10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…