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19389 Roscommon St
D Composite 41.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

19389 Roscommon St · Harper Woods, MI 48225
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 910 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 82 Days on market
Built 1943 5,227 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-full bath ranch in Harper Woods. This property offers a full basement with great storage or finishing potential. Spacious 2.5-car garage on a great sized lot. Beautifully updated kitchen with backsplash and new counter tops. Newer furnace (2020) and hot water tank. Move-in ready! All appliances included!

Key facts

  • Great storage
  • New counter tops
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTSPACIOUS GARAGEUPDATED KITCHENNEW COUNTER TOPSGREAT STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: WOODSIDE FARMS 2; Cross street: N of Maross / E of Kelly
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with garage door opener (2.5 garage spaces)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Concrete basement
  • Exterior features: Publicly maintained road; Lot approximately 40 x 125 (0.12 acres); No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: High-speed internet
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($811/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (18.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $130k (18.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools D-.
  • Harper Woods School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #524 of 540 in MI (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 69% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 133 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $129,759 (18.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.81%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$67,340
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18746 Woodside St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (+1) 921 (+1%) 2mo $110,000 $119 70
16301 Coram St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 929 (+2%) 1mo $19,500 $21 59
20300 Mccormick St 0.63mi 3/1.0 (+1) 940 (+3%) 1mo $60,000 $64 57
18591 Kingsville St 0.52mi 2/1.0 824 (-10%) 1mo $74,000 $90 57
18905 Woodland St 0.38mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,023 (+12%) 1mo $105,000 $103 56
11017 Worden St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 961 (+6%) 0mo $47,500 $49 53
16277 Liberal St 0.72mi 3/1.0 (+1) 945 (+4%) 1mo $25,000 $26 52
11640 Somerset Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,028 (+13%) 0mo $70,000 $68 49
20244 Mccormick St 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (+10%) 1mo $75,000 $75 48
12897 Riad St 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 831 (-9%) 1mo $63,000 $76 48
11545 Roxbury St 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,003 (+10%) 1mo $65,000 $65 41
12893 Payton St 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,020 (+12%) 2mo $75,000 $74 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.1% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.58×
Total profit
$-18,895
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
0.2%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$789
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48225

Rents YoY
5.1%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,298 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $622/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$272
Net cashflow
$68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,212
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19152 Woodside St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 916 $1,500 $1.64 17d 1 0.16mi
19661 Kenosha St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 0.20mi
19442 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 17d 1 0.25mi
19639 Moross Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 44d 1 0.36mi
19144 Moross Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 44d 1 0.41mi
19982 McCormick St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 866 $1,200 $1.39 4d 1 0.47mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 15d 1 0.48mi
12075 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,245 $1.13 44d 1 0.48mi
10985 Peerless St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 5d 1 0.64mi
16241 Seven Mile E Unit 4 Detroit, MI 1.0 1.0 650 $650 $1.00 44d 1 0.65mi
16212 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 13d 1 0.67mi
12716 Riad St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 974 $1,275 $1.31 17d 1 0.69mi
11776 Rossiter St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 964 $1,150 $1.19 11d 1 0.70mi
11529 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 720 $1,200 $1.67 13d 1 0.75mi
11611 Morang Ave Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 709 $1,040 $1.47 44d 1 0.80mi
20015 Lochmoor St Harper Woods, MI 3.0 1.0 1006 $1,500 $1.49 17d 1 0.81mi
15909 Maddelein St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 894 $1,266 $1.42 44d 1 0.83mi
12201 Morang Ave Unit 8 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 610 $875 $1.43 44d 1 0.88mi
10542 Lanark St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,250 $1.22 44d 1 0.90mi
10692 Meuse St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 955 $1,250 $1.31 13d 1 0.92mi
16291 Eastburn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,364 $1.36 24d 1 0.96mi
11235 Roxbury St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,325 $1.25 17d 1 1.00mi
16410 Edmore Dr Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,250 $1.47 15d 1 1.01mi
10400 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 890 $1,100 $1.24 44d 1 1.02mi
19203 Edgefield St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 24d 1 1.03mi
10370 Britain St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 1.03mi
20600 Balfour St Harper Woods, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 971 $1,671 $1.72 2d 12 1.09mi
15494 Mapleridge St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 937 $1,275 $1.36 44d 1 1.15mi
10177 Boleyn St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 767 $1,250 $1.63 44d 1 1.16mi
21301 Kingsville St Apt 108 Harper Woods, MI 1.0 1.0 700 $900 $1.29 4d 1 1.16mi
17710 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 984 $1,250 $1.27 44d 1 1.18mi
17720 Chester St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 986 $1,250 $1.27 44d 1 1.18mi
10037 Grayton St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 4d 1 1.23mi
21401 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI 2.0 1.0 944 $1,200 $1.27 24d 1 1.24mi
6325 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 3d 1 1.25mi
6301 Lodewyck St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,300 $1.20 13d 1 1.26mi
6304 Bluehill St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1088 $1,500 $1.38 44d 1 1.29mi
6175 Marseilles St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 44d 1 1.31mi
6181 Neff Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1102 $1,299 $1.18 18d 1 1.32mi
10404 Somerset Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1108 $1,475 $1.33 4d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $160,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $160,000 Active 81 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $160,000 Active 80 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $160,000 Active 79 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $160,000 Active 76 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $160,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $160,000 Active 72 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $160,000 Active 71 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $160,000 Active 68 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $160,000 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-03-29
    listed $165,000 Active
  16. 2026-03-28
    listed $165,000 Active 347-char remark
    Show marketing remark (347 chars)

    Charming and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-full bath ranch in Harper Woods. This property offers a full basement with great storage or finishing potential. Spacious 2.5-car garage on a great sized lot. Beautifully updated kitchen with backsplash and new counter tops. Newer furnace (2020) and hot water tank. Move-in ready! All appliances included!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$622 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,543 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$921/yr (+$77/mo · 148.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,571
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$622
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,246
− Management
−$1,246
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable loss
−$1,959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$470
After-tax cash flow
$1,281/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harper Woods School District
NCES district ID
2617760
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$46,155
Composite
8.8/100
National rank
#9892
State rank
#524 of 540 in MI

Livability — Harper Woods

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5054

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Harper Woods, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
16,098
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
16,098
Household income
$61,750
Rent vs Own
33.8% rent · 66.2% own
Severe rent burden
410.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1% German 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.40%
Current HPI
181.4961
Rent YoY
▲ 5.10%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $165,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $165,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $622 · -56.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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