1411 Gingerwood Ln · Tuscaloosa, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 60.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.4/30.0
- ARV discount +8.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!
Key facts
- Gingerwood community
- Fresh new carpet
- 6,534 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $400 (about $33.33/month)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; Concrete surfaces
- Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Composition shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Block fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Gas water heater
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Blinds on windows; Fireplace with gas log in the living room
- Laundry & utility: Laundry area in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (12.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $219k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hillcrest High School (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,356 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 45% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $167k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.04%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $252,476
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -1.02%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1322 Gingerwood Lane Ln | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 | 1,531 (-1%) | 1mo | $250,000 | $163 | 96 |
| 1406 Plantation Rd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,526 (-2%) | 11mo | $209,900 | $138 | 82 |
| 1725 Crabtree Circle Cir | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,554 (+0%) | 0mo | $240,000 | $154 | 75 |
| 1010 61st St | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,474 (-5%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $136 | 72 |
| 1601 Hunters Run | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,669 (+8%) | 9mo | $250,000 | $150 | 55 |
| 6225 Mimosa Gardens Cir | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,322 (-15%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $174 | 53 |
| 850 Walnut Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-15%) | 11mo | $275,000 | $208 | 53 |
| 2238 Summer Haven Ln | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 | 1,690 (+9%) | 0mo | $258,900 | $153 | 52 |
| 6204 Mimosa Gardens Cir | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,418 (-9%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $155 | 48 |
| 6298 Mimosa Gardens Cir | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (-12%) | 12mo | $224,900 | $165 | 48 |
| 629 71st St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,319 (-15%) | 12mo | $220,000 | $167 | 38 |
| 1775 Crabtree Cir | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (-15%) | 11mo | $242,000 | $183 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-20,148
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $24,878
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35405
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Rents YoY
- 5.4%
- Active inventory
- 457
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,191 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $576/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$460
- Net cashflow
- $235
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1092 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 984 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 1009 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 820 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 815 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1745 | $2,450 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 801 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1397 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 21d | 11 | 0.40mi |
| 1800 Links Blvd Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $1,095 | $1.34 | 43d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 7501 Links Blvd Tuscaloosa, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 818 | $2,170 | $2.65 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 8002 Shadesbrook Dr Tuscaloosa, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,510 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 8005 Shadesbrook Dr Tuscaloosa, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-04-28status Active 614-char remark
-
2026-04-22status Pending 614-char remark
-
2026-04-20$249,900 Active 614-char remark
-
2019-05-31soldstatus $167,000 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!
-
2019-05-31soldstatus $167,000
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!
-
2019-03-21$169,900 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!
-
2014-09-19soldstatus $171,214
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $576 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,025 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- +$448/yr (+$37/mo · 77.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,294
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$576
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,104
- − Management
- −$2,104
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$1,403
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$337
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,161/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tuscaloosa County
- NCES district ID
- 0103390
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,000
- Composite
- 28.88/100
- National rank
- #6641
- State rank
- #47 of 129 in AL
Livability — Tuscaloosa
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #9
- US rank
- #2909
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
- City population
- 134,228
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 49,420
- Household income
- $62,301
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1963.0
Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,293 people
- By 2030
- 240,551 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 263,856 · +15.6%
- By 2050
- 286,491 · +25.5%
- By 2075
- 335,783 · +47.1%
- By 2100
- 370,520 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.25%
- Current HPI
- 193.1929
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.42%
- Metro
- Tuscaloosa, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+46.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $249,900 WAMLS
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — WAMLS
- 2026-04-22 Pending — WAMLS
- 2026-04-20 Listed $249,900 WAMLS
- 2019-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
- 2019-05-31 Sold (MLS) $167,000 WAMLS
- 2019-03-21 Listed $169,900 WAMLS
- 2014-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $171,214 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2025): $576 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…