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1411 Gingerwood Ln
D+ Composite 49.06
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$249,900

1411 Gingerwood Ln · Tuscaloosa, AL 35405
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,551 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2005 6,534 sqft lot $161/sqft · at area comps Est $252k · at est. $33/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!

Key facts

  • Gingerwood community
  • Fresh new carpet
  • 6,534 sq ft lot

Tags

GINGERWOOD COMMUNITYFRESH NEW CARPETPEACEFUL QUIET LIVINGDESIRABLE NEIGHBORHOOD

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $400 (about $33.33/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; Driveway; Concrete surfaces
  • Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation; Composition shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Patio; Block fencing; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Gas water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 7
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating; Has cooling; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Blinds on windows; Fireplace with gas log in the living room
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry area in kitchen

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $219k (12.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $219k (12.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.4% in Tuscaloosa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#9 in AL, #2,909 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Tuscaloosa County (suburban): math 21% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #47 of 129 in AL (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hillcrest High School (math 18% / reading 26%, grade F, #142 of 305 statewide, top 51%, 1,356 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 45% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.4%/yr); 457 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 622 units permitted in Tuscaloosa County in 2024 (69 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tuscaloosa County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $167k; 50% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 60% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $219,117 (12.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.04%
DSCR
1.18
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$252,476
List price
$249,900
Delta
-1.02%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1322 Gingerwood Lane Ln 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,531 (-1%) 1mo $250,000 $163 96
1406 Plantation Rd 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,526 (-2%) 11mo $209,900 $138 82
1725 Crabtree Circle Cir 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,554 (+0%) 0mo $240,000 $154 75
1010 61st St 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,474 (-5%) 2mo $200,000 $136 72
1601 Hunters Run 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,669 (+8%) 9mo $250,000 $150 55
6225 Mimosa Gardens Cir 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,322 (-15%) 2mo $230,000 $174 53
850 Walnut Dr 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-15%) 11mo $275,000 $208 53
2238 Summer Haven Ln 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,690 (+9%) 0mo $258,900 $153 52
6204 Mimosa Gardens Cir 0.47mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,418 (-9%) 12mo $220,000 $155 48
6298 Mimosa Gardens Cir 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,360 (-12%) 12mo $224,900 $165 48
629 71st St 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,319 (-15%) 12mo $220,000 $167 38
1775 Crabtree Cir 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,320 (-15%) 11mo $242,000 $183 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.6%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-20,148
Equity at exit
$37,261
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.36×
Total profit
$24,878
Equity at exit
$21,607

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35405

Home prices YoY
-26.9%
Rents YoY
5.4%
Active inventory
457
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,191 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $576/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$460
Net cashflow
$235

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,893
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 10 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1092 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1745 $2,450 $1.40 43d 1 0.26mi
984 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1745 $2,450 $1.40 43d 1 0.32mi
1009 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1745 $2,450 $1.40 43d 1 0.33mi
820 Stonebrook Ln Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1745 $2,450 $1.40 43d 1 0.35mi
815 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.5 1745 $2,450 $1.40 43d 1 0.39mi
801 Stonebrook Cir Tuscaloosa, AL 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1397 $2,500 $1.79 21d 11 0.40mi
1800 Links Blvd Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,095 $1.34 43d 1 0.68mi
7501 Links Blvd Tuscaloosa, AL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 818 $2,170 $2.65 43d 1 0.89mi
8002 Shadesbrook Dr Tuscaloosa, AL 3.0 2.0 1620 $1,510 $0.93 21d 1 0.99mi
8005 Shadesbrook Dr Tuscaloosa, AL 4.0 2.0 1620 $1,995 $1.23 13d 1 1.01mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr
Likely covers
pool

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on marketlisting id $249,900 Active 1 DOM
  2. 2026-04-28
    status Active 614-char remark
  3. 2026-04-22
    status Pending 614-char remark
  4. 2026-04-20
    listed $249,900 Active 614-char remark
  5. 2019-05-31
    soldstatus $167,000 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!

  6. 2019-05-31
    soldstatus $167,000
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!

  7. 2019-03-21
    listed $169,900 400-char remark
    Show marketing remark (400 chars)

    Private garden home community, close to interstate and downtown. In the Hillcrest School zone. Very popular home plan, with 3 bedrooms and 2 baths, master has whirlpool tub and a separate shower, formal dining room and a breakfast area! A covered back porch. This home is ready to go! With new carpets and freshly painted and a new heating and cooling system, washer and dryer and refrigerator stay!!

  8. 2014-09-19
    soldstatus $171,214

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$576 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,025 · $85/mo
Expected delta
+$448/yr (+$37/mo · 77.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 60% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,294
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$576
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,104
− Management
−$2,104
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable loss
−$1,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$337
After-tax cash flow
$3,161/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tuscaloosa County
NCES district ID
0103390
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$53,000
Composite
28.88/100
National rank
#6641
State rank
#47 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tuscaloosa

Score
77/100
State rank
#9
US rank
#2909

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute C Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tuscaloosa County · 206,491 people
City population
134,228
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
Population (ZIP)
49,420
Household income
$62,301
Rent vs Own
45.6% rent · 54.4% own
Severe rent burden
1963.0

Population outlook (Tuscaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,293 people
By 2030
240,551 · +5.4%
By 2040
263,856 · +15.6%
By 2050
286,491 · +25.5%
By 2075
335,783 · +47.1%
By 2100
370,520 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 56% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tuscaloosa

2024 margin
Strong R (+20.4) · D 39.4% · R 59.8%
2008→2024 swing
-4.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.0pp · 2024: -20.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+20.4 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+19.5 2012: R+17.4 2008: R+16.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.25%
Current HPI
193.1929
Rent YoY
▲ 5.42%
Metro
Tuscaloosa, AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $249,900 WAMLS
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted WAMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Pending WAMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $249,900 WAMLS
  • 2019-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $167,000 Public Records
  • 2019-05-31 Sold (MLS) $167,000 WAMLS
  • 2019-03-21 Listed $169,900 WAMLS
  • 2014-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $171,214 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $576 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…