10955 N 79th Ave #179 · Peoria, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home, perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot. This move-in ready home features a brand new roof, fresh paint, updated flooring, and modernized wiring throughout—providing peace of mind and a fresh, contemporary feel. Enjoy outdoor living with two spacious covered patios, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests. The property also includes covered parking for convenience and protection from the elements. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with thoughtful updates inside and out!
Key facts
- Modernized wiring
- Covered parking
- Brand new roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 3.3% in Peoria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#14 in AZ, #3,603 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, commute A, employment A; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities D, health & safety F.
- Peoria Unified School District (4237) (suburban): math 36% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #64 of 249 in AZ (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 333 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 36,011 units permitted in Maricopa County in 2024 (12,801 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($67k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Maricopa County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 427 days — a 12% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 427 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.99%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,892
- List price
- $79,000
- Delta
- 43.92%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 9 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10955 N 79th Ave #60 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 972 (+2%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $67 | 87 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #128 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 980 (+3%) | 2mo | $40,000 | $41 | 86 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #33 | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 952 (+0%) | 12mo | $85,000 | $89 | 81 |
| 10955 N 79th Ave #3 | 0.00mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 952 (+0%) | 16mo | $46,000 | $48 | 79 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #166 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 896 (-6%) | 7mo | $57,000 | $64 | 78 |
| 10955 N 79th Ave #37 | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 980 (+3%) | 15mo | $88,000 | $90 | 75 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #30 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+11%) | 11mo | $106,000 | $100 | 58 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #153 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+11%) | 12mo | $105,000 | $99 | 57 |
| 7810 W Peoria Ave #125 | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+11%) | 21mo | $117,000 | $111 | 53 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #65 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,056 (+11%) | 3mo | $66,500 | $63 | 47 |
| 7344 W Peoria Ave #21 | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 980 (+3%) | 15mo | $17,000 | $17 | 47 |
| 7302 W Peoria Ave #50 | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 840 (-12%) | 8mo | $18,000 | $21 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.62% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 39.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.63×
- Total profit
- $35,974
- Equity at exit
- $11,779
- IRR
- 44.6%
- Equity multiple
- 4.78×
- Total profit
- $83,516
- Equity at exit
- $6,830
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85345
- Home prices YoY
- -19.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 333
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,741 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $829
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11600 N 75th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 814 | $1,325 | $1.63 | 2d | 4 | 0.57mi |
| 8280 W Madison St Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 800 | $1,400 | $1.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 7951 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1411 | $2,540 | $1.80 | 1d | 30 | 0.78mi |
| 8165 W Whitney Dr Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 911 | $2,223 | $2.44 | 1d | 229 | 0.79mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Unit 87 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,149 | $1.47 | 5d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,225 | $1.57 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 10860 N 85th Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 630 | $1,350 | $2.14 | 3d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 8560 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $1,450 | $1.63 | 1d | 8 | 0.92mi |
| 8650 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 836 | $1,492 | $1.78 | 2d | 19 | 1.01mi |
| 6960 W Peoria Ave #90 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,320 | $1.88 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 9201 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 981 | $1,975 | $2.01 | 1d | 29 | 1.17mi |
| 8757 W Peoria Ave Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $1,539 | $2.73 | 2d | 14 | 1.18mi |
| 8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,595 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 8821 W Sahuaro Dr Peoria, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,595 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 9190 N 83rd Ave Peoria, AZ | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 821 | $2,203 | $2.68 | 14d | 10 | 1.35mi |
| 11411 N 91st Ave Unit 213 Peoria, AZ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 858 | $1,399 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 427 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 426 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 425 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 424 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 422 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 421 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 418 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 417 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 416 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 413 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 412 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $79,000 Active 411 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $79,000 Active 410 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $79,000 Active 409 DOM
-
2026-02-12price $79,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home, perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot. This move-in ready home features a brand new roof, fresh paint, updated flooring, and modernized wiring throughout—providing peace of mind and a fresh, contemporary feel. Enjoy outdoor living with two spacious covered patios, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests. The property also includes covered parking for convenience and protection from the elements. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with thoughtful updates inside and out!
-
2025-09-11price $89,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home, perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot. This move-in ready home features a brand new roof, fresh paint, updated flooring, and modernized wiring throughout—providing peace of mind and a fresh, contemporary feel. Enjoy outdoor living with two spacious covered patios, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests. The property also includes covered parking for convenience and protection from the elements. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with thoughtful updates inside and out!
-
2025-06-30price $98,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home, perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot. This move-in ready home features a brand new roof, fresh paint, updated flooring, and modernized wiring throughout—providing peace of mind and a fresh, contemporary feel. Enjoy outdoor living with two spacious covered patios, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests. The property also includes covered parking for convenience and protection from the elements. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with thoughtful updates inside and out!
-
2025-04-13$112,000 Active 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to this updated 3-bedroom, 2-bath mobile home, perfectly situated on a desirable corner lot. This move-in ready home features a brand new roof, fresh paint, updated flooring, and modernized wiring throughout—providing peace of mind and a fresh, contemporary feel. Enjoy outdoor living with two spacious covered patios, ideal for relaxing or entertaining guests. The property also includes covered parking for convenience and protection from the elements. Don't miss this opportunity to own a well-maintained home with thoughtful updates inside and out!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥113°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,891
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,671
- − Management
- −$1,671
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $9,245
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,219
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,733/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This mobile home is in fair condition with cosmetic updates needed. It has a good roof and solid foundation, but some exterior paint and landscaping require attention. Updates to the exterior and flooring would significantly enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor exterior paint — some wear
- Minor landscaping — overgrown areas
Value-add opportunities
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal
- Resale landscaping — improves curb appeal
- Both update flooring — modernizes interior and improves resale value
- Both update paint — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| exterior paint · some wear | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| landscaping · overgrown areas | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 2 items | $1,000–6,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale paint exterior — enhances curb appeal ↑
- Resale landscaping — improves curb appeal ↑
- Both update flooring — modernizes interior and improves resale value ↑
- Both update paint — enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peoria Unified School District (4237)
- NCES district ID
- 0406250
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,171
- Composite
- 34.62/100
- National rank
- #5152
- State rank
- #64 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Peoria
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #3603
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Peoria, AZ
- County
- Maricopa County · 4,537,380 people
- City population
- 206,687
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,918
- Household income
- $67,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1879.0
Population outlook (Maricopa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 4,979,203 people
- By 2030
- 5,378,229 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 6,156,598 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 6,872,376 · +38.0%
- By 2075
- 8,401,270 · +68.7%
- By 2100
- 9,247,439 · +85.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 14% Black 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 29%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 18% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Maricopa
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.2% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -3.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+3.5 2012: R+12.0 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -80.77%
- Current HPI
- 328.1069
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.62%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-29.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Price Changed $79,000 ARMLS
- 2025-09-11 Price Changed $89,000 ARMLS
- 2025-06-30 Price Changed $98,000 ARMLS
- 2025-04-13 Listed $112,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…