CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
160 NE 203rd Ter #18 🌊 Lakefront
C+ Composite 62.5
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.4/10.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

160 NE 203rd Ter #18 · Miami Gardens, FL 33179
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 902 sqft · Condo public records · 515 Days on market
Built 1970 $355/mo HOA · 16% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

LARGE CORNER UNIT 2/2 APARTMENT FOR SALE, OWNER OCCUPIED. DO NOT DISTURB OWNER, THIS UNIT HOPA VERIFIED. THIS CONDOMINIUM HAS "NO RESERVES"

Key facts

  • $355 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Association-managed pool
  • Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee; Association amenities include clubhouse, community kitchen, fitness center, hobby room, laundry, and pool; Association fee covers amenities, structure maintenance, and pool(s)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 assigned covered space
  • Utilities: Cable available
  • Home design: Attached property; 2 stories; Entry on level 2; Faces north; Has a view
  • Construction: Block construction; Effective year built
  • Exterior features: Balcony; Open balcony/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator; Some gas appliances
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Second-floor entry; Combined living and dining area; Unfurnished
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-111 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (10.7% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.1% in Miami Gardens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#338 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, crime D-, amenities F.
  • Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 572 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 515 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $41k; list at $150k implies a 267% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 4→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $132,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 515 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  7. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  8. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  9. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  10. This sits on a lake — are riparian / water-frontage rights deeded with the parcel? Any dock permits, shoreline easements, or HOA water-use restrictions?
  11. What's the documented flood / surge / shoreline-erosion history here (FEMA AND non-FEMA — e.g., storm surge, creek backup, septic-field saturation)?
  12. Any water-quality or seasonal algae-bloom issues that affect tenant satisfaction or short-term-rental demand?
  13. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  14. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  15. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.44%
Cap rate
8.82%
Cash-on-cash
9.01%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.22% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.1%
Equity multiple
0.12×
Total profit
$-36,753
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-59.8%
Equity multiple
-0.47×
Total profit
$-61,861
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33179

Rents YoY
0.2%
Active inventory
572
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,161 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$355
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$454
Net cashflow
$-111

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,301
Max offer price $133,918
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-7 -5% $-59 +0% $-111 +5% $-163 +10% $-215
Rent -10% $-282 -5% $-196 +0% $-111 +5% $-26 +10% $60
Rate -1.0pp $-36 -0.5pp $-73 base $-111 +0.5pp $-150 +1.0pp $-190

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5721 SW 41st St West Park, FL 3.0 1.0 839 $2,650 $3.16 24d 1 0.77mi
5525 SW 41st St Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 1031 $2,145 $2.08 3d 1 0.83mi
5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 815 $1,799 $2.21 4d 4 0.89mi
5100 SW 41st St Pembroke Park, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 815 $1,750 $2.15 20d 3 0.89mi
5540 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $2,000 $2.60 11d 1 0.91mi
5460 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 890 $2,350 $2.64 24d 1 0.92mi
5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,900 $2.47 8d 1 0.92mi
5440 SW 38th Ct West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $1,900 $2.47 24d 1 0.92mi
5710 SW 38th St West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 835 $2,400 $2.87 24d 1 0.92mi
5510 SW 38th St West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 855 $2,250 $2.63 2d 1 0.96mi
5510 SW 38th St Unit 5510 West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $2,250 $2.74 4d 1 0.96mi
5510 SW 38th St Unit 5510 West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 822 $2,250 $2.74 4d 1 0.96mi
3721 SW 54th Ave West Park, FL 2.0 1.0 768 $2,100 $2.73 13d 1 1.02mi
3700 SW 52nd Ave Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 850 $1,446 $1.70 24d 1 1.04mi
3842 SW 48th Ave Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 966 $2,000 $2.07 24d 1 1.05mi
3856 SW 48th Ave #3856 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,150 $2.26 17d 1 1.06mi
3838 SW 48th Ave Unit 3838 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 966 $2,200 $2.28 24d 1 1.06mi
3828 SW 48th Ave Unit D27 Hollywood, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,300 $2.42 24d 1 1.08mi
3874 SW 48th Ave #3874 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,150 $2.26 8d 1 1.08mi
3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,200 $2.32 15d 1 1.10mi
3826 SW 48th Ave Unit 3826 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 2.0 950 $2,200 $2.32 5d 1 1.10mi
6112 SW 37th St Unit B Miramar, FL 2.0 1.0 850 $1,800 $2.12 22d 1 1.11mi
5521 SW 34th St Unit 2 Pembroke Park, FL 2.0 1.0 692 $1,750 $2.53 24d 1 1.29mi
6033 SW 35th St Unit 101 Miramar, FL 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,995 $2.00 24d 1 1.32mi
4141 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL 3.0 1.0 1048 $2,700 $2.58 8d 1 1.48mi
4141 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL 3.0 1.0 1048 $2,700 $2.58 24d 1 1.48mi
4628 SW 32nd Dr West Park, FL 3.0 1.0 1082 $2,800 $2.59 24d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$355 · $4,260/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 515 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 514 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 513 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 512 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 510 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $150,000 Active 506 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 505 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 504 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 501 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 500 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $150,000 Active 499 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 498 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 497 DOM
  14. 2026-04-01
    status Active
  15. 2026-03-31
    historical
  16. 2025-04-01
    status Active
  17. 2025-02-10
    historical Active Under Contract
  18. 2025-01-17
    listed $150,000 Active
  19. 2025-01-04
    historical $2,200
  20. 2024-12-20
    price $2,200
  21. 2024-12-17
    status Active
  22. 2024-12-16
    historical
  23. 2024-11-11
    listed $2,400
  24. 2024-11-08
    status Pending
  25. 2024-06-21
    listed $150,000 Active
  26. 2024-06-15
    historical
  27. 2024-05-13
    status Active
  28. 2024-04-10
    status Active
  29. 2024-03-11
    historical Active Under Contract
  30. 2024-02-13
    listed $150,000 Active
  31. 2000-08-04
    soldstatus $40,833

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AE · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 4 d/yr ≥105°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,929
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$5,868
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,074
− Management
−$2,074
− HOA
−$4,260
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$3,364
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$807
After-tax cash flow
$-526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Miami-Dade
NCES district ID
1200390
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,928
Composite
41.76/100
National rank
#3397
State rank
#40 of 73 in FL

Livability — Miami Gardens

Score
72/100
State rank
#338
US rank
#5854

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Miami Gardens, FL
County
Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
City population
81,592
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
Population (ZIP)
51,591
Household income
$65,211
Rent vs Own
43.3% rent · 56.7% own
Severe rent burden
3123.0

Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,126,439 people
By 2030
3,325,765 · +6.4%
By 2040
3,697,561 · +18.3%
By 2050
4,012,134 · +28.3%
By 2075
4,605,612 · +47.3%
By 2100
4,866,598 · +55.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 38% Two or more races 23% White 19% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 6% Dominican 3% Salvadoran 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 13% Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
48% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
42% English-only · Spanish 37% French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade

2024 margin
R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
2008→2024 swing
-27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -608.34%
Current HPI
328.1733
Rent YoY
▲ 0.22%
Metro
Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+267.3% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2025-02-10 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2025-01-17 Listed $150,000 MARMLS
  • 2025-01-04 Rental Removed $2,200 MARMLS
  • 2024-12-20 Price Changed $2,200 MARMLS
  • 2024-12-17 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2024-12-16 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2024-11-11 Listed for Rent $2,400 MARMLS
  • 2024-11-08 Pending MARMLS
  • 2024-06-21 Listed $150,000 MARMLS
  • 2024-06-15 Listing Removed MARMLS
  • 2024-05-13 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2024-04-10 Relisted MARMLS
  • 2024-03-11 Contingent MARMLS
  • 2024-02-13 Listed $150,000 MARMLS
  • 2000-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $40,833 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $288 · +8.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…