7801 34th Ave N #30 · St. Petersburg, FL 33710

$105,000

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 600 sqft · Manufactured public records · 65 Days on market

Built 2024 6.84 ac lot Est $71k · 48% over $177/mo HOA · 12% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +26.9/30.0
• DSCR +9.3/10.0
• 1% rule +8.9/10.0
• Schools +4.3/10.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.4/5.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Step into this beautifully maintained Keystone Model by Fleetwood, offering 600 sq ft of open-concept living that feels incredibly spacious and inviting. The combined living, dining, and kitchen areas are perfect for both relaxed everyday living and entertaining guests. The fully equipped kitchen features sleek stainless steel appliances and abundant cabinetry, providing ample storage and style. The bedroom offers generous closet space and easy access to a luxurious bathroom and a convenient utility room with an in-unit washer and dryer. Located in a welcoming 55+ community that’s pet-friendly, residents enjoy access to a clubhouse and a vibrant neighborhood atmosphere. Just steps awa

Key facts

• Pet-friendly
• Abundant cabinetry
• Open-concept living

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT LIVING
• FULLY EQUIPPED KITCHEN
• ABUNDANT CABINETRY
• GENEROUS CLOSET SPACE
• IN-UNIT WASHER AND DRYER
• PET-FRIENDLY

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Total annual fees reported as $2,124
• Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: Has HOA with required monthly fee of $177 (association approval required); Senior community; Cats and dogs allowed

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway access (asphalt road surface)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Cable connected; Broadband/high‑speed internet available
• Home design: Manufactured single wide home; One story; Faces west; Completed condition
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Building area about 600 square feet
• Exterior features: Asphalt road access; Lot approximately 6.84 acres

Interior

• Kitchen: Convection oven; Cooktop; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Freezer
• Bedrooms: 1 bedroom
• Flooring: Vinyl
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Thermostat
• Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $105k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
• Recommended offer: $99k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Seventy-Fourth St. Elementary (math 30% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,015 of 2,144 statewide, top 94%, 444 students, 72% FRL); Boca Ciega High School (math 24% / reading 33%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,423 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 48% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 27% at this address vs 51% district-wide (-24 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Pinellas average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 313 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($99k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $28k; list at $105k implies a 275% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $98,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.61%
• Cash-on-cash: 11.83%
• DSCR: 1.53
• GRM: 6.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $70,800
• Comps found: 3

Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7801 34th Ave N #11	0.00mi	1/1.0	552 (-8%)	9mo	$65,000	$118	79
4235 72nd Way N #99	0.69mi	2/1.5 (+1)	588 (-2%)	3mo	$88,000	$150	55
4100 72nd Way N #56	0.62mi	1/1.0	552 (-8%)	13mo	$59,000	$107	46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.91×
• Total profit: $-2,719
• Equity at exit: $15,656

10-year hold

• IRR: 3.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.18×
• Total profit: $5,333
• Equity at exit: $9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33710

• Rents YoY: -0.5%
• Active inventory: 313
• Price-to-rent: 6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,456 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$551
• Tax from tax record: −$89 /mo · $1,073/yr
• Insurance: −$44
• HOA: −$177
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$306
• Net cashflow: $290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,090

Max offer price $105,000

Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $349	-5% $320	+0% $290	+5% $260	+10% $230
Rent	-10% $175	-5% $232	+0% $290	+5% $347	+10% $405
Rate	-1.0pp $343	-0.5pp $317	base $290	+0.5pp $263	+1.0pp $235

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $26,250
• Closing costs: $3,150
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 18 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
7801 34th Ave N #88 Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	624	$1,300	$2.08	2d	1	0.02mi
7801 34th Ave N #88 Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	624	$1,400	$2.24	25d	1	0.02mi
7045 30th Ave N Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	825	$1,225	$1.48	8d	1	0.79mi
7317 46th Ave N Unit 4 St. Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	528	$1,200	$2.27	14d	1	0.84mi
4801 71st St N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	726	$1,900	$2.62	5d	1	1.03mi
4801 71st St N St Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	726	$1,900	$2.62	18d	1	1.03mi
8800 Bay Pines Blvd #320 Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	506	$2,200	$4.35	4d	1	1.07mi
3556 66th St N St. Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	610	$1,300	$2.13	15d	1	1.10mi
5257 81st Ln N #6 Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	745	$1,375	$1.85	25d	1	1.13mi
6939 Stones Throw Cir N #6207 Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	680	$1,595	$2.35	25d	1	1.16mi
6801 48th Ave N Unit B St. Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	650	$1,525	$2.35	25d	1	1.18mi
4701 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	700	$1,099	$1.57	25d	1	1.19mi
5140 70th St N Unit 3 St. Petersburg, FL	1.0	1.0	450	$1,200	$2.67	25d	1	1.22mi
6908 Stones Throw Cir N #10208 Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.5	730	$1,900	$2.60	15d	1	1.23mi
6538 42nd Ave N Unit 7 Kenneth City, FL	2.0	1.0	648	$2,000	$3.09	25d	1	1.25mi
3980 64th St N Saint Petersburg, FL	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	707	$1,350	$1.91	4d	6	1.36mi
1699 68th St N Saint Petersburg, FL	3.0	1.0–2.0	775	$1,661	$2.14	3d	43	1.37mi
5411 70th Ln N Saint Petersburg, FL	2.0	1.0	600	$1,800	$3.00	25d	1	1.38mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $177 · $2,124/yr

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $105,000 Active 65 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $105,000 Active 64 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $105,000 Active 63 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $105,000 Active 62 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $105,000 Active 60 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $105,000 Active 56 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $105,000 Active 55 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   days on market $105,000 Active 54 DOM
9. 2026-06-04
   days on market $105,000 Active 51 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 50 DOM
11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 48 DOM
12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 47 DOM
13. 2026-04-14
    listed $105,000 Active
14. 2023-03-20
    soldstatus $28,000
15. 2008-12-11
    soldstatus $20,000
16. 2005-05-01
    soldstatus $18,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,073 · $89/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,073 · $89/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,477
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,882
• − Property taxes: −$1,073
• − Insurance: −$525
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,398
• − Management: −$1,398
• − HOA: −$2,124
• − Depreciation: −$3,055
• Taxable income: $2,023
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$486
• After-tax cash flow: $2,992/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Pinellas
• NCES district ID: 1201560
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $46,270
• Composite: 43.27/100
• National rank: #3046
• State rank: #31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: St. Petersburg, FL
• County: Pinellas County · 939,478 people
• City population: 249,151
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,796
• Household income: $78,611
• Rent vs Own: 18.1% rent · 81.9% own
• Severe rent burden: 542.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,027,532 people
• By 2030: 1,063,586 · +3.5%
• By 2040: 1,125,020 · +9.5%
• By 2050: 1,168,637 · +13.7%
• By 2075: 1,265,188 · +23.1%
• By 2100: 1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (77%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 77% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 5% Black 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 85% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

• 2024 margin: Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -547.31%
• Current HPI: 405.0731
• Rent YoY: ▼ -0.48%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+483.3% since first listed

4 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-14 Listed $105,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2023-03-20 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
• 2008-12-11 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
• 2005-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,073 · +32.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.