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1016 Pine St
D- Composite 37.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$368,800

1016 Pine St · Darien, GA 31305
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,537 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 86 Days on market
Built 2024 0.35 ac lot $240/sqft · 67% above area Est $275k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NO HOA!!! - Welcome Home to this ALMOST BRAND NEW CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOUSE! You will love the OPEN FLOORPLAN from the moment you walk into the family room from the covered front porch. The spacious kitchen features a large island and tons of cabinets along with a fully walk-in PANTRY. Granite countertops complete the kitchen and all the bathrooms. The Primary Bedroom features a separate sitting room with a large walk in closet. Plus you'll find the extra large MAIN closet inside the Primary Bathroom adjacent from the very large shower featuring beautiful tile. A Double Vanity and Private Water Closet complete the primary suite. With one more bedroom on the main floor and an additional VERY LARGE bedroom upstairs, you're sure to have plenty of space for everyone in your family. Enjoy the backyard while sipping coffee from your covered back porch. This home has so many great features from Hardie Board Siding, Granite Countertops, double vanities, 30 year architectural shingles, spray foam insulation, YKK energy star certified windows, LVP Flooring throughout, stainless steel appliances and an irrigation system. All that is missing is. .. .. YOU!

Key facts

  • Open floorplan
  • Large island
  • Granite countertops

Tags

CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOUSEOPEN FLOORPLANLARGE ISLANDFULLY WALK-IN PANTRYGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSEPARATE SITTING ROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $369k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-140 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $344k (6.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $295k (20.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $295k (20.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.0% in Darien — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#397 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mcintosh County (town): math 23% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #118 of 174 in GA (top 68%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in McIntosh County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • McIntosh County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($347k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $303k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $295,000 (20.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.84%
Cash-on-cash
-1.63%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,283
List price
$368,800
Delta
33.97%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
905 SE Wayne Street No Street Suffix Unit 40-B 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,471 (-4%) 3mo $345,000 $235 69
700 Fort King George Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,522 (-1%) 7mo $333,000 $219 65
1202 Market St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,544 (+0%) 1mo $229,000 $148 62
309 Haven Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,588 (+3%) 6mo $335,000 $211 62
1202 Market St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,544 (+0%) 1mo $229,000 $148 62
505 Madison St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,700 (+11%) 4mo $304,500 $179 56
300 Second St E Unit E 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,375 (-10%) 2mo $330,000 $240 56
1202 Market St 0.66mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,469 (-4%) 8mo $205,000 $140 50
1213 Market St 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,413 (-8%) 4mo $275,000 $195 50
286 Bridgewater Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-11%) 3mo $270,000 $198 48
286 Bridgewater Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-11%) 3mo $270,000 $198 48
282 Bridgewater Ln 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-11%) 4mo $249,050 $182 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$191,936
Equity at exit
$332,244
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
6.54×
Total profit
$572,226
Equity at exit
$716,497

Cash invested: $103,264 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31305

Home prices YoY
20.2%
Active inventory
126
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,934
Tax from tax record
$383 /mo · $4,594/yr
Insurance
$154
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$620
Net cashflow
$-140

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,127
Max offer price $344,062
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,200
Closing costs
$11,064
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
905 Wayne St Darien, GA 3.0 2.0 1482 $2,950 $1.99 43d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $368,800 Active 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $368,800 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $368,800 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $368,800 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $368,800 Active 82 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $368,800 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricestatusdays on market $368,800 Price Change 79 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $368,900 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $368,900 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $368,900 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $368,900 Active 74 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $368,900 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $368,900 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $368,900 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $368,900 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $368,900 Active 67 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $368,900 Active 66 DOM
  18. 2026-05-07
    price $369,900 1159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1153 chars)

    Welcome Home to this ALMOST BRAND NEW CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOUSE! You will love the OPEN FLOORPLAN from the moment you walk into the family room from the covered front porch. The spacious kitchen features a large island and tons of cabinets along with a fully walk-in PANTRY. Granite countertops complete the kitchen and all the bathrooms. The Primary Bedroom features a separate sitting room with a large walk in closet. Plus you'll find the extra large MAIN closet inside the Primary Bathroom adjacent from the very large shower featuring beautiful tile. A Double Vanity and Private Water Closet complete the primary suite. With one more bedroom on the main floor and an additional VERY LARGE bedroom upstairs, you're sure to have plenty of space for everyone in your family. Enjoy the backyard while sipping coffee from your covered back porch. This home has so many great features from Hardie Board Siding, Granite Countertops, double vanities, 30 year architectural shingles, spray foam insulation, YKK energy star certified windows, LVP Flooring throughout, stainless steel appliances and an irrigation system. All that is missing is.....YOU!

  19. 2026-05-07
    price $369,900 1153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1153 chars)

    Welcome Home to this ALMOST BRAND NEW CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOUSE! You will love the OPEN FLOORPLAN from the moment you walk into the family room from the covered front porch. The spacious kitchen features a large island and tons of cabinets along with a fully walk-in PANTRY. Granite countertops complete the kitchen and all the bathrooms. The Primary Bedroom features a separate sitting room with a large walk in closet. Plus you'll find the extra large MAIN closet inside the Primary Bathroom adjacent from the very large shower featuring beautiful tile. A Double Vanity and Private Water Closet complete the primary suite. With one more bedroom on the main floor and an additional VERY LARGE bedroom upstairs, you're sure to have plenty of space for everyone in your family. Enjoy the backyard while sipping coffee from your covered back porch. This home has so many great features from Hardie Board Siding, Granite Countertops, double vanities, 30 year architectural shingles, spray foam insulation, YKK energy star certified windows, LVP Flooring throughout, stainless steel appliances and an irrigation system. All that is missing is.....YOU!

  20. 2026-03-24
    listed $379,900 New 1153-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1159 chars)

    NO HOA!!! - Welcome Home to this ALMOST BRAND NEW CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOUSE! You will love the OPEN FLOORPLAN from the moment you walk into the family room from the covered front porch. The spacious kitchen features a large island and tons of cabinets along with a fully walk-in PANTRY. Granite countertops complete the kitchen and all the bathrooms. The Primary Bedroom features a separate sitting room with a large walk in closet. Plus you'll find the extra large MAIN closet inside the Primary Bathroom adjacent from the very large shower featuring beautiful tile. A Double Vanity and Private Water Closet complete the primary suite. With one more bedroom on the main floor and an additional VERY LARGE bedroom upstairs, you're sure to have plenty of space for everyone in your family. Enjoy the backyard while sipping coffee from your covered back porch. This home has so many great features from Hardie Board Siding, Granite Countertops, double vanities, 30 year architectural shingles, spray foam insulation, YKK energy star certified windows, LVP Flooring throughout, stainless steel appliances and an irrigation system. All that is missing is. .. .. YOU!

  21. 2026-03-24
    listed $379,900 Active 1159-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1159 chars)

    NO HOA!!! - Welcome Home to this ALMOST BRAND NEW CRAFTSMAN STYLE HOUSE! You will love the OPEN FLOORPLAN from the moment you walk into the family room from the covered front porch. The spacious kitchen features a large island and tons of cabinets along with a fully walk-in PANTRY. Granite countertops complete the kitchen and all the bathrooms. The Primary Bedroom features a separate sitting room with a large walk in closet. Plus you'll find the extra large MAIN closet inside the Primary Bathroom adjacent from the very large shower featuring beautiful tile. A Double Vanity and Private Water Closet complete the primary suite. With one more bedroom on the main floor and an additional VERY LARGE bedroom upstairs, you're sure to have plenty of space for everyone in your family. Enjoy the backyard while sipping coffee from your covered back porch. This home has so many great features from Hardie Board Siding, Granite Countertops, double vanities, 30 year architectural shingles, spray foam insulation, YKK energy star certified windows, LVP Flooring throughout, stainless steel appliances and an irrigation system. All that is missing is. .. .. YOU!

  22. 2024-12-04
    soldstatus $303,000 Closed
  23. 2024-11-13
    status Pending
  24. 2024-10-03
    listed $319,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,594 · $383/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,594 · $383/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,400
− Mortgage interest
−$20,659
− Property taxes
−$4,594
− Insurance
−$1,844
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,832
− Management
−$2,832
− Depreciation
−$10,729
Taxable loss
−$8,089
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,941
After-tax cash flow
$261/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mcintosh County
NCES district ID
1303600
Math proficiency
23% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,742
Composite
22.08/100
National rank
#8188
State rank
#118 of 174 in GA

Livability — Darien

Score
59/100
State rank
#397
US rank
#19613

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Darien, GA
Population (ZIP)
5,119

Population outlook (McIntosh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,922 people
By 2030
12,156 · -5.9%
By 2040
10,332 · -20.0%
By 2050
8,526 · -34.0%
By 2075
5,506 · -57.4%
By 2100
3,635 · -71.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (61%)
Race & ethnicity
White 61% Black 31% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 6% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · McIntosh

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.6) · D 35.5% · R 64.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.0pp · 2024: -28.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.6 2020: R+21.0 2016: R+20.1 2012: R+8.6 2008: R+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 52.35%
Current HPI
311.3591
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $369,900 GIAR
  • 2026-05-07 Price Changed $369,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $379,900 GIAR
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $379,900 GAMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Sold (MLS) $303,000 GIAR
  • 2024-11-13 Pending GIAR
  • 2024-10-03 Listed $319,900 GIAR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…