Fourplex
318 & 320 N 19th Ave · Bozeman, MT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 88°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$749,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Key facts
- 8,025 sq ft lot
- Built 1973
- Listed 649 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Actual rents listed for units (examples: $1,600 and $1,800)
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel and paved parking (driveway spot on 19th and additional parking accessible via alley)
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Duplex (residential income property); One level
- Construction: R3 zoning (Residential Medium Density)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Partial fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Multiple 3-bedroom units (ground-level units included)
- Bathrooms: Multiple 1-bath units
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Washer; Dryer
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer and Dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $750k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($50k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $750k).
- Recommended offer: $660k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.9% vs local median 2.1% in Bozeman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in MT, #537 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime D, cost of living D-.
- Bozeman Elementary (town): math 56% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #7 of 116 in MT (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 524 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,706 units permitted in Gallatin County in 2024 (533 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $11,056/mo this rent would consume 134% of the median local household income ($99k/yr) (locally 1786% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gallatin County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $210k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 650 days — a 12% lower offer ($660k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask is 45354% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 650 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.58%
- DSCR
- 2.05
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $108,663
- Equity at exit
- $111,827
- IRR
- 20.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.46×
- Total profit
- $307,022
- Equity at exit
- $64,846
Cash invested: $210,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59718
- Rents YoY
- -0.6%
- Active inventory
- 524
- Price-to-rent
- 22.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $11,056 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,933
- Tax from tax record
- −$363 /mo · $4,353/yr
- Insurance
- −$312
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,322
- Net cashflow
- $4,126
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $4,550 | -5% $4,338 | +0% $4,126 | +5% $3,914 | +10% $3,701 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $3,252 | -5% $3,689 | +0% $4,126 | +5% $4,563 | +10% $4,999 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $4,504 | -0.5pp $4,317 | base $4,126 | +0.5pp $3,932 | +1.0pp $3,734 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 3 | 1 | $11,056 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $2,764 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $2,764 |
| #3 | 3 | 1 | $2,764 |
| #4 | 3 | 1 | $2,764 |
| Total (4 units) | $11,056 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $187,500
- Closing costs
- $22,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 N 19th Ave Bozeman, MT | 6.0 | 2.0 | 2804 | $5,000 | $1.78 | 22d | 1 | 0.14mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $749,999 Active 650 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $749,999 Active 649 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $749,999 Active 648 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $749,999 Active 647 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $749,999 Active 646 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $749,999 Active 644 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $749,999 Active 643 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $749,999 Active 641 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $749,999 Active 640 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $749,999 Active 639 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $749,999 Active 638 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $749,999 Active 635 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $749,999 Active 633 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $749,999 Active 632 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $749,999 Active 631 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $749,999 Active 630 DOM
-
2025-09-08price $749,999
-
2024-10-06historical $1,650
-
2024-10-03$1,650
-
2024-09-15historical $1,700
-
2024-09-05$1,700
-
2024-09-05$750,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,353 · $363/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,300 · $525/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,947/yr (+$162/mo · 44.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥88°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $132,672
- − Mortgage interest
- −$42,012
- − Property taxes
- −$4,353
- − Insurance
- −$3,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$10,614
- − Management
- −$10,614
- − Depreciation
- −$21,818
- Taxable income
- $39,512
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9,483
- After-tax cash flow
- $40,028/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bozeman Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 3004560
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,664
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1635
- State rank
- #7 of 116 in MT
Livability — Bozeman
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #537
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bozeman, MT
- County
- Gallatin County · 108,510 people
- City population
- 84,228
- Metro
- Bozeman, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,585
- Household income
- $99,123
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1786.0
Population outlook (Gallatin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 129,625 people
- By 2030
- 144,940 · +11.8%
- By 2040
- 176,266 · +36.0%
- By 2050
- 209,250 · +61.4%
- By 2075
- 294,207 · +127.0%
- By 2100
- 360,558 · +178.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gallatin
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 46.8% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.2pp no change · 2008: 3.4pp · 2024: 3.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+3.2 2020: D+7.5 2016: D+1.0 2012: R+5.3 2008: D+3.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -316.82%
- Current HPI
- 272.8072
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Metro
- Bozeman, MT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2025-09-08 Price Changed $749,999 BSCMLS
- 2024-10-06 Rental Removed $1,650 APPFOLIO
- 2024-10-03 Listed for Rent $1,650 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-15 Rental Removed $1,700 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-05 Listed for Rent $1,700 APPFOLIO
- 2024-09-05 Listed $750,000 BSCMLS
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $4,353 · -2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…