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302 Persons St
B- Composite 68.34
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

302 Persons St · Fort Valley, GA 31030
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1930 0.36 ac lot $60/sqft · 19% below area Est $135k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Spacious, charming home with fenced yard. So much potential!

Key facts

  • 0.36 acre lot
  • Built 1930
  • Listed 38 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.7% in Fort Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#220 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Peach County (rural): math 17% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #141 of 174 in GA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 149 units permitted in Peach County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Peach County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $106,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
9.63%
Cash-on-cash
11.91%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,450
List price
$110,000
Delta
-18.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
310 Persons St 0.05mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,720 (-6%) 10mo $50,000 $29 70
410 Chamlee Dr 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,716 (-7%) 5mo $185,000 $108 64
510 Anderson Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,694 (-8%) 4mo $209,000 $123 56
400 W Church St 0.21mi 3/2.0 2,038 (+11%) 23mo $215,000 $105 49
600 Hardeman Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,744 (-5%) 12mo $135,000 $77 47
204 S Montrose St 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,692 (-8%) 17mo $157,000 $93 45
522 Anderson Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,694 (-8%) 15mo $149,000 $88 41
400 Troutman Ave 0.70mi 3/2.0 2,033 (+10%) 13mo $105,000 $52 35
304 Magnolia St 0.68mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,065 (+12%) 20mo $199,900 $97 18

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.4%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,647
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$26,535
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31030

Home prices YoY
-14.7%
Active inventory
116
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,328 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$121 /mo · $1,453/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$279
Net cashflow
$306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $941
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 72%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
310 Central Ave Fort Valley, GA 3.0 2.0 2063 $1,300 $0.63 20d 1 0.22mi
310 Central Ave Fort Valley, GA 3.0 2.0 2063 $1,300 $0.63 43d 1 0.22mi
412 Vienna Cir Fort Valley, GA 4.0 2.0 1501 $1,400 $0.93 13d 1 0.86mi
307 Christopher Cir Fort Valley, GA 4.0 1.0 1272 $1,550 $1.22 13d 1 1.25mi
14 Flint Dr Fort Valley, GA 3.0 1.5 1404 $1,400 $1.00 13d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    listed $110,000 Active 60-char remark
    Show marketing remark (60 chars)

    Spacious, charming home with fenced yard. So much potential!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,453 · $121/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,453 · $121/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,939
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$1,453
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,275
− Management
−$1,275
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$2,024
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$486
After-tax cash flow
$3,181/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Peach County
NCES district ID
1304050
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,348
Composite
17.89/100
National rank
#9000
State rank
#141 of 174 in GA

Livability — Fort Valley

Score
65/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#12957

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Valley, GA
City population
17,987
Population (ZIP)
17,987

Population outlook (Peach County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
26,481 people
By 2030
25,723 · -2.9%
By 2040
23,812 · -10.1%
By 2050
21,724 · -18.0%
By 2075
17,513 · -33.9%
By 2100
14,235 · -46.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Peach

2024 margin
Lean R (+6.0) · D 46.8% · R 52.8%
2008→2024 swing
-12.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.8pp · 2024: -6.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+6.0 2020: R+4.7 2016: R+3.0 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+6.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.82%
Current HPI
202.0025
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $110,000 CGMLS

Property tax history

-0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,453 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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