302 Persons St · Fort Valley, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.3/10.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious, charming home with fenced yard. So much potential!
Key facts
- 0.36 acre lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 38 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 5.7% in Fort Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#220 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Peach County (rural): math 17% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #141 of 174 in GA (top 81%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 116 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 149 units permitted in Peach County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Peach County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.91%
- DSCR
- 1.53
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $135,450
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -18.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Persons St | 0.05mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,720 (-6%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $29 | 70 |
| 410 Chamlee Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,716 (-7%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $108 | 64 |
| 510 Anderson Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (-8%) | 4mo | $209,000 | $123 | 56 |
| 400 W Church St | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 2,038 (+11%) | 23mo | $215,000 | $105 | 49 |
| 600 Hardeman Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,744 (-5%) | 12mo | $135,000 | $77 | 47 |
| 204 S Montrose St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,692 (-8%) | 17mo | $157,000 | $93 | 45 |
| 522 Anderson Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (-8%) | 15mo | $149,000 | $88 | 41 |
| 400 Troutman Ave | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 2,033 (+10%) | 13mo | $105,000 | $52 | 35 |
| 304 Magnolia St | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,065 (+12%) | 20mo | $199,900 | $97 | 18 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $1,647
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.86×
- Total profit
- $26,535
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31030
- Home prices YoY
- -14.7%
- Active inventory
- 116
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,328 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,453/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 Central Ave Fort Valley, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2063 | $1,300 | $0.63 | 20d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 310 Central Ave Fort Valley, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2063 | $1,300 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 412 Vienna Cir Fort Valley, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 307 Christopher Cir Fort Valley, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,550 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 14 Flint Dr Fort Valley, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1404 | $1,400 | $1.00 | 13d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-14$110,000 Active 60-char remark
Show marketing remark (60 chars)
Spacious, charming home with fenced yard. So much potential!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,453 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,453 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,939
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$1,453
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,275
- − Management
- −$1,275
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $2,024
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$486
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,181/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Peach County
- NCES district ID
- 1304050
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,348
- Composite
- 17.89/100
- National rank
- #9000
- State rank
- #141 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fort Valley
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #12957
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Valley, GA
- City population
- 17,987
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,987
Population outlook (Peach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,481 people
- By 2030
- 25,723 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 23,812 · -10.1%
- By 2050
- 21,724 · -18.0%
- By 2075
- 17,513 · -33.9%
- By 2100
- 14,235 · -46.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 49% White 35% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Italian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Peach
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.0) · D 46.8% · R 52.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.8pp · 2024: -6.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.0 2020: R+4.7 2016: R+3.0 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+6.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.82%
- Current HPI
- 202.0025
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Listed $110,000 CGMLS
Property tax history
-0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,453 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…