8523 Runion Rd · San Angelo, TX 76905

$89,900

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 756 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market

Built 1990 1.69 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +9.4/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Here is an affordable small house out in the country. Lots of potential for the handy man. Beautiful sun rises in the mornings and sun sets in the evening. Plenty of roaming for horses etc. The property is being sold 'AS IS'. No repairs will be done by the seller.

Key facts

• 1.69 acre lot
• Garage
• Built 1990

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $470 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
• Grape Creek ISD (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #675 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: 178 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $89,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 12.56%
• Cash-on-cash: 22.40%
• DSCR: 2.00
• GRM: 5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 15.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.61×
• Total profit: $15,336
• Equity at exit: $13,404

10-year hold

• IRR: 23.9%
• Equity multiple: 3.06×
• Total profit: $51,799
• Equity at exit: $7,773

Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 76905

• Home prices YoY: -32.1%
• Active inventory: 178
• Price-to-rent: 5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,295 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$471
• Tax from tax record: −$45 /mo · $536/yr
• Insurance: −$37
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$272
• Net cashflow: $470

Break-even live

Break-even rent $701

Max offer price $89,900

Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $521	-5% $495	+0% $470	+5% $444	+10% $419
Rent	-10% $368	-5% $419	+0% $470	+5% $521	+10% $572
Rate	-1.0pp $515	-0.5pp $493	base $470	+0.5pp $447	+1.0pp $423

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,475
• Closing costs: $2,697
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 16 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $89,900 Active 3 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $89,900 Active 2 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   pricedays on marketlisting id $89,900 Active 1 DOM
4. 2026-06-05
   days on market $114,900 Active 444 DOM
5. 2026-06-03
   days on market $114,900 Active 443 DOM
6. 2026-06-02
   days on market $114,900 Active 442 DOM
7. 2026-06-01
   days on market $114,900 Active 441 DOM
8. 2026-05-31
   days on market $114,900 Active 440 DOM
9. 2026-05-30
   days on market $114,900 Active 439 DOM
10. 2025-12-17
    status Active
11. 2025-08-16
    status Active
12. 2025-06-04
    listed $113,900 Active
13. 2023-08-22
    status Active
14. 2023-08-12
    historical
15. 2023-03-09
    listed $114,900 Active
16. 2007-12-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $536 · $45/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,645 · $137/mo
• Expected delta: +$1,109/yr (+$92/mo · 207.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 8 d/yr ≥104°F today · 26 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,545
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,036
• − Property taxes: −$536
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,244
• − Management: −$1,244
• − Depreciation: −$2,615
• Taxable income: $4,422
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,061
• After-tax cash flow: $4,577/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Grape Creek ISD
• NCES district ID: 4821600
• Math proficiency: 25% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 29% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $48,891
• Composite: 23.6/100
• National rank: #7849
• State rank: #675 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #199
• US rank: #5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Tom Green County · 113,188 people
• City population: 81,357
• Metro: San Angelo, TX
• Population (ZIP): 14,456
• Household income: $84,712
• Rent vs Own: 28.6% rent · 71.4% own
• Severe rent burden: 307.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 135,110 people
• By 2030: 144,090 · +6.6%
• By 2040: 162,561 · +20.3%
• By 2050: 182,158 · +34.8%
• By 2075: 232,274 · +71.9%
• By 2100: 268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
• Race & ethnicity: White 52% Hispanic / Latino 40% Two or more races 17% Black 1% Asian 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 38%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 19% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -96.60%
• Current HPI: 203.9934
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: San Angelo, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2025-06-04 Listed $113,900 SAAR TX
• 2007-12-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+10.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $536 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.