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2144 4th St
C Composite 55.25
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.4/5.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

2144 4th St · Trenton, MI 48183
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 870 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1923 5,227 sqft lot $178/sqft · at area comps Est $176k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

WOW, JUST WOW! This cute home has been fully refurbished and is just ready for its next owner. Not to mention the price! Finding a 3-bedroom home, this close to the water and in Trenton all for under 200K is insane! Property has too many updates to list. Brand new custom kitchen, custom spa-like bathroom, new roof, brand new furnace and tankless hot water, new flooring, paint throughout inside and out and much, much more! Good sized lot with nice shed in the back. Get over to this house now and put in your best offer, it won't last!!!

Key facts

  • Custom kitchen
  • New furnace
  • Tankless hot water

Tags

FULLY REFURBISHEDCUSTOM KITCHENCUSTOM SPA-LIKE BATHROOMNEW ROOFNEW FURNACETANKLESS HOT WATER

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (40 x 129)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $150k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.3% vs local median 4.1% in Trenton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 88/100 on livability (#15 in MI, #250 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
  • Trenton Public Schools (suburban): math 44% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #109 of 540 in MI (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($150k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1923 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,350 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1923 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,009
List price
$155,000
Delta
-11.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2217 Third St 0.11mi 3/1.0 918 (+6%) 3mo $180,000 $196 83
2343 3rd St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 912 (+5%) 1mo $184,500 $202 76
2365 Dickinson St 0.25mi 3/1.5 861 (-1%) 14mo $149,900 $174 73
2463 Dickinson St 0.33mi 3/1.0 879 (+1%) 14mo $65,000 $74 72
2358 Superior St 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 830 (-5%) 24mo $150,000 $181 56
2419 4th St 0.25mi 2/1.0 (-1) 748 (-14%) 16mo $132,000 $176 47
2341 Medford St 0.55mi 3/1.0 985 (+13%) 15mo $175,000 $178 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.5%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-16,630
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
-1.1%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,416
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48183

Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,577 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$236 /mo · $2,830/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,409
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2901 W Jefferson Ave Unit 2901 Trenton, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,650 $1.94 1d 1 0.74mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $155,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $155,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    WOW, JUST WOW! This cute home has been fully refurbished and is just ready for its next owner. Not to mention the price! Finding a 3-bedroom home, this close to the water and in Trenton all for under 200K is insane! Property has too many updates to list. Brand new custom kitchen, custom spa-like bathroom, new roof, brand new furnace and tankless hot water, new flooring, paint throughout inside and out and much, much more! Good sized lot with nice shed in the back. Get over to this house now and put in your best offer, it won't last!!!

  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-04-27
    listed $165,000 Active 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    WOW, JUST WOW! This cute home has been fully refurbished and is just ready for its next owner. Not to mention the price! Finding a 3-bedroom home, this close to the water and in Trenton all for under 200K is insane! Property has too many updates to list. Brand new custom kitchen, custom spa-like bathroom, new roof, brand new furnace and tankless hot water, new flooring, paint throughout inside and out and much, much more! Good sized lot with nice shed in the back. Get over to this house now and put in your best offer, it won't last!!!

  15. 2026-04-27
    listed $165,000 Active 540-char remark
    Show marketing remark (540 chars)

    WOW, JUST WOW! This cute home has been fully refurbished and is just ready for its next owner. Not to mention the price! Finding a 3-bedroom home, this close to the water and in Trenton all for under 200K is insane! Property has too many updates to list. Brand new custom kitchen, custom spa-like bathroom, new roof, brand new furnace and tankless hot water, new flooring, paint throughout inside and out and much, much more! Good sized lot with nice shed in the back. Get over to this house now and put in your best offer, it won't last!!!

  16. 2012-09-07
    historical
  17. 2012-09-07
    historical
  18. 2012-09-05
    listed $11,900
  19. 2012-09-05
    listed $11,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,830 · $236/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,830 · $236/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,923
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,830
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,514
− Management
−$1,514
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable loss
−$902
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$216
After-tax cash flow
$1,806/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trenton Public Schools
NCES district ID
2633900
Math proficiency
44% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$55,947
Composite
42.08/100
National rank
#3321
State rank
#109 of 540 in MI

Livability — Trenton

Score
88/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#250

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trenton, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
41,765
Household income
$83,508
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
836.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 5% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 15% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.34%
Current HPI
216.3623
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1202.5% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $155,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-03 Price Changed $155,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $165,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $165,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-09-07 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-09-07 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2012-09-05 Listed $11,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2012-09-05 Listed $11,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,830 · +8.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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