3052 Tate Rd · Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tenant occupied home paying 525 per month. Do not approach with out appointment. Clean.
Key facts
- Built 1954
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $147 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 5.3% in Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance) — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Richmond County (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #154 of 174 in GA (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 43% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 561 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $100k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.32%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $73,440
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2454 Ridge Road Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 832 (+2%) | 12mo | $75,000 | $90 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-9,889
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- -5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-8,391
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30906
- Home prices YoY
- -21.6%
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 364
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,052 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,408/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$221
- Net cashflow
- $147
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2830 Lumpkin Rd Unit A Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3126 Arcadia Dr Unit B Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $1,025 | $1.37 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3126 Arcadia Dr Unit B Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $895 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 3018 Acorn Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,115 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 2544 Dover St Unit 2544 Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $900 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 2818 Gordy Rd Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 888 | $825 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2824 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2820 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2438 Lumpkin Rd Augusta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,500 | $1.74 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2816 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2663 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1250 | $1,063 | $0.85 | 23d | 3 | 1.20mi |
| 2810 Thomas Ln Augusta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $975 | $0.95 | 43d | 6 | 1.25mi |
| 526 Richmond Hill Rd W Augusta, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $810 | $1.05 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3200 Deans Bridge Rd Augusta, GA | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1075 | $816 | $0.76 | 23d | 6 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-26$100,000 Active
-
2015-11-09soldstatus $25,000
-
2015-10-30soldstatus $25,000 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Tenant occupied home paying 525 per month. Do not approach with out appointment. Clean.
-
2015-10-30soldstatus $25,000 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Tenant occupied home paying 525 per month. Do not approach with out appointment. Clean.
-
2015-07-17$29,900 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Tenant occupied home paying 525 per month. Do not approach with out appointment. Clean.
-
2015-07-17$29,900 87-char remark
Show marketing remark (87 chars)
Tenant occupied home paying 525 per month. Do not approach with out appointment. Clean.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,408 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,408 · $117/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,620
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,408
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,010
- − Management
- −$1,010
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $182
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$44
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,725/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County
- NCES district ID
- 1304380
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,069
- Composite
- 13.43/100
- National rank
- #9524
- State rank
- #154 of 174 in GA
Livability — Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance)
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Augusta-Richmond County consolidated government (balance), GA
- County
- Richmond County · 190,917 people
- City population
- 154,035
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,423
- Household income
- $45,999
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3363.0
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 200,753 people
- By 2030
- 200,232 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 196,813 · -2.0%
- By 2050
- 190,347 · -5.2%
- By 2075
- 172,496 · -14.1%
- By 2100
- 146,284 · -27.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 27% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+36.1) · D 67.8% · R 31.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.3pp toward D · 2008: 31.8pp · 2024: 36.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+36.1 2020: D+37.2 2016: D+32.4 2012: D+33.8 2008: D+31.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.99%
- Current HPI
- 213.5733
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.25%
- Metro
- Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+234.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $100,000 FSBO.com
- 2015-11-09 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2015-10-30 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Hive MLS
- 2015-10-30 Sold (MLS) $25,000 Hive MLS
- 2015-07-17 Listed $29,900 Hive MLS
- 2015-07-17 Listed $29,900 Hive MLS
Property tax history
+13.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,408 · +15.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…