Duplex
98-22 Alstyne Ave · New York, NY
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.7/10.0
- Cash flow +6.4/30.0
- ARV discount +5.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +0.7/10.0
- 1% rule +0.6/10.0
$899,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Welcome to this magnificent gem located in the heart of Corona. Legal Attached Two Family being used as a One Family. Hardwood Floors throughout the House. 4 Total Bedrooms. 2.5 Total Bathrooms. Low Taxes ($5440). 16 x 102.42 Lot Size. R5 Zoning. 2 Electric & 1 Gas Meters. First Floor: Porch. Large Living Room. Dining Room. Kitchen. A Spacious Bedroom. Full Bathroom. A Bonus Office Room Area. On the Second Floor: 3 Spacious Bedrooms. A Full Bathroom. Finished Basement w/ Storage Space, Laundry, Half Bathroom & a Separate Entrance. Spacious Backyard with/ 2 Car Parking Spots. Conveniently located near Big Brand Stores (Costco, Aldis, Queens Center Mall & More) Near the Subw
Key facts
- 1,639 sq ft lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 109 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × ?-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $899k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-19k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-782/mo.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $623k (30.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $505k (43.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $505k (43.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: 243 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,054/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($72k/yr) (locally 6817% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $73k of equity ($6k loan paydown + $67k appreciation (7.4% local appreciation)).
- Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$116k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 109 days — a 9% lower offer ($818k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 109 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.56% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -7.46%
- DSCR
- 0.67
- GRM
- 14.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $860,001
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53-16 96th St | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 | 1,272 (-3%) | 9mo | $870,000 | $684 | 74 |
| 100-30 Martense Ave | 0.42mi | 5/2.0 | 1,260 (-4%) | 4mo | $820,000 | $651 | 70 |
| 102-56 46th Ave | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 4mo | $810,000 | $563 | 68 |
| 102-09 Martense Ave | 0.41mi | 6/2.0 | 1,440 (+9%) | 1mo | $940,000 | $653 | 64 |
| 106-09 Otis Ave | 0.52mi | 9/2.0 | 1,260 (-4%) | 9mo | $1,510,000 | $1,198 | 61 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.4% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.94×
- Total profit
- $236,160
- Equity at exit
- $646,609
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.01×
- Total profit
- $758,653
- Equity at exit
- $1,250,283
Cash invested: $251,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11368
- Home prices YoY
- 2.7%
- Active inventory
- 243
- Price-to-rent
- 29.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,054 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,714
- Tax from tax record
- −$468 /mo · $5,618/yr
- Insurance
- −$375
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,061
- Net cashflow
- $-1,565
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-1,056 | -5% $-1,310 | +0% $-1,565 | +5% $-1,819 | +10% $-2,073 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,964 | -5% $-1,764 | +0% $-1,565 | +5% $-1,365 | +10% $-1,165 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-1,112 | -0.5pp $-1,336 | base $-1,565 | +0.5pp $-1,798 | +1.0pp $-2,035 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 0 | 1 | $5,054 |
| #1 | 0 | 1 | $2,527 |
| #2 | 0 | 1 | $2,527 |
| Total (2 units) | $5,054 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $224,750
- Closing costs
- $26,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4911 108th St Unit 4A Corona, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1027 | $3,600 | $3.51 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 9209 43rd Ave Unit 2 Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 54-01 108th St Unit 2R Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,050 | $3.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 91-04 43rd Ave Unit 2ND Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,600 | $3.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 10869 50th Ave Corona, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $3,300 | $3.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 94-30 60th Ave Apt 1H Queens, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,200 | $2.67 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 40-85 Denman St Unit 2 Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 4050 Case St Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $3,900 | $3.95 | 8d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 6145 98th St Rego Park, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,775 | $3.36 | 3d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 6145 98th St Rego Park, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $2,850 | $3.45 | 25d | 3 | 0.69mi |
| 102-06 63rd Ave #2 Queens, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6336 99th St Unit 5E Rego Park, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1333 | $4,600 | $3.45 | 5d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 9941 64th Ave Unit C16 Rego Park, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,200 | $2.91 | 0d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 60-24 Wetherole St Unit 3rd Fl Elmhurst, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,400 | $3.40 | 4d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 9941 64th Ave Rego Park, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $3,200 | $3.28 | 20d | 2 | 0.93mi |
| 61-20 Grand Central Pkwy Unit Bb706 Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 970 | $2,850 | $2.94 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 61-20 Grand Central Pkwy Unit A 106 Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,100 | $2.38 | 20d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 6405 Yellowstone Blvd Flushing, NY | 1.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 920 | $3,075 | $3.34 | 25d | 2 | 1.00mi |
| 10525 65th Ave Unit 4F Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $3,998 | $4.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 97-12 65th Rd Apt 23D Rego Park, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $6,750 | $4.82 | 0d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 98-81 Queens Blvd Unit 14K Rego Park, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $4,490 | $4.73 | 14d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 102-39 66th Ave Unit 1 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 981 | $3,000 | $3.06 | 2d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 110-55 64th Rd Unit 25 Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,400 | $2.62 | 8d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 58-14 84th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,650 | $3.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 58-28 84th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $3,650 | $3.04 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 10210 66th Rd Unit 17B Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1175 | $3,350 | $2.85 | 5d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 10025 Queens Blvd Unit 3M Forest Hills, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,900 | $3.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 54-40 80th St Unit 1 Elmhurst, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 956 | $3,000 | $3.14 | 25d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5440 80th St Elmhurst, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 996 | $3,000 | $3.01 | 3d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 631-27 Fitchett St Unit 1 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $3,800 | $3.45 | 0d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 63127 Fitchett St Rego Park, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,800 | $3.11 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 25-45 97th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $2,800 | $2.22 | 8d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2025-07-03soldstatus $855,000
-
2025-02-27status Pending
-
2024-11-10$899,000 Active
-
1996-10-09soldstatus $145,000
-
1996-05-10soldstatus $96,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $5,618 · $468/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,406 · $867/mo
- Expected delta
- +$4,787/yr (+$399/mo · 85.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $60,648
- − Mortgage interest
- −$50,358
- − Property taxes
- −$5,618
- − Insurance
- −$4,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,852
- − Management
- −$4,852
- − Depreciation
- −$26,153
- Taxable loss
- −$35,680
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,563
- After-tax cash flow
- $-10,212/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Queens County · 1,914,869 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 105,716
- Household income
- $72,270
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6817.0
Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,546,320 people
- By 2030
- 2,643,059 · +3.8%
- By 2040
- 2,815,563 · +10.6%
- By 2050
- 2,944,423 · +15.6%
- By 2075
- 3,123,338 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 3,098,688 · +21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 75% Two or more races 14% Asian 12% Black 8% White 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 14%
- Foreign-born
- 60% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 70% Chinese 6% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Queens
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.40%
- Current HPI
- 282.8276
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+790.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-03 Sold (Public Records) $855,000 Public Records
- 2025-02-27 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-10 Listed $899,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-10 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $5,618 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…