429 W Fairchild Dr · Midwest City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Short sale approved at this price. Home with a ton of potential. Nice neighborhood and great location close. Some repairs needed but lots of equity on the table.
Key facts
- Convenient access
- Spacious lot
- Major improvements
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as existing; No historical designation; Occupied: No
- Financial info: Loan qualification allowed; Not assumable
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: 1-car garage
- Utilities: Homestead tax status indicated
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level home; Residential property
- Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Interior lot; Outbuildings
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Interior features: One living area; No fireplace; Outbuildings on the property
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.6% in Midwest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Midwest City-Del City (suburban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #231 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Midwest City Es (math 13% / reading 13%, grade F, #647 of 845 statewide, top 77%, 793 students, 0% FRL); Midwest City Hs (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #359 of 447 statewide, top 80%, 1,368 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $120k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.16%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $179,950
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 417 W Douglas Dr | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,513 (+3%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $106 | 86 |
| 806 Stansell Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,428 (-3%) | 3mo | $41,200 | $29 | 77 |
| 408 W Douglas Dr | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,543 (+5%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $84 | 70 |
| 410 W Douglas Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 | 1,612 (+9%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $81 | 66 |
| 1009 Stansell Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (-8%) | 0mo | $164,900 | $122 | 66 |
| 104 E Northrup St | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,477 (+0%) | 5mo | $193,000 | $131 | 63 |
| 430 W Ercoupe Dr | 0.09mi | 3/1.5 | 1,265 (-14%) | 10mo | $159,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 6605 SE 15th St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,467 (-0%) | 8mo | $190,000 | $130 | 61 |
| 106 W Lilac Ct | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,443 (-2%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $111 | 60 |
| 311 W Lilac Ln | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,332 (-10%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $128 | 57 |
| 201 E Ercoupe Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,632 (+11%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $31 | 50 |
| 6609 SE 15th St | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,363 (-8%) | 8mo | $183,000 | $134 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-8,448
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.20×
- Total profit
- $6,832
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73110
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 171
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,277 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$157 /mo · $1,880/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $172
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $240 | -5% $206 | +0% $172 | +5% $139 | +10% $105 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $72 | -5% $122 | +0% $172 | +5% $223 | +10% $273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $233 | -0.5pp $203 | base $172 | +0.5pp $141 | +1.0pp $110 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 423 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1014 | $1,095 | $1.08 | 22d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 407 W Fairchild Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,045 | $0.98 | 3d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 2220 S Air Depot Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,395 | $1.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 218 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1578 | $1,500 | $0.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 208 W Ercoupe Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,500 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 209 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $895 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 201 W Fairchild Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $975 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 210 W Jacobs Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1111 Jet Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1067 | $1,095 | $1.03 | 5d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1111 Jet Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1067 | $1,095 | $1.03 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 317 W Peach St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 878 | $1,045 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 6608 SE 15th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1103 | $1,425 | $1.29 | 22d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 110 E Myrtle Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1236 | $1,300 | $1.05 | 12d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 306 E Grumman Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1219 | $1,300 | $1.07 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 120 E Northrup Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,475 | $1.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 124 E Northrup Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,400 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 316 E Harmon Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 205 N Key Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1047 | $995 | $0.95 | 22d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 444 1/2 Babb Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $895 | $0.97 | 5d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1436 Maple Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $1,350 | $0.96 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 442 Babb Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $925 | $1.01 | 5d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 204 Elm St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1933 Rulane Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,250 | $0.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4772 SE 23rd St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,300 | $1.25 | 3d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 4769 SE 27th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 616 Lions Park Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 906 | $950 | $1.05 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 6001 SE 8th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1435 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 2d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4722 SE 27th St Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1130 | $1,175 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2105 Maple Dr Midwest City, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2113 Candy Ln Del City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1597 | $1,550 | $0.97 | 2d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4628 SE 27th St Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1432 | $1,225 | $0.86 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 4650 SE 29th St Del City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $900 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 4638 SE 29th St Del City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 4613 SE 28th St Del City, OK | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,255 | $1.19 | 2d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 4625 Tinker Diagonal Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,050 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 4625 Tinker Diagonal Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,300 | $0.93 | 17d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 407 E Key Blvd Oklahoma City, OK | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 221 E Kerr Dr Oklahoma City, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1339 | $1,145 | $0.86 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-08$139,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,880 · $157/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,880 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,318
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,880
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,225
- − Management
- −$1,225
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $175
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$42
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,028/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midwest City-Del City
- NCES district ID
- 4019950
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,724
- Composite
- 12.09/100
- National rank
- #9658
- State rank
- #231 of 270 in OK
Livability — Midwest City
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #6637
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midwest City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 57,386
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,348
- Household income
- $51,228
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1440.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.25%
- Current HPI
- 257.0791
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.99%
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+125.3% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $139,000 MLSOK
- 2014-05-01 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2014-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2014-04-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MLSOK
- 2014-02-12 Listed $60,000 MLSOK
- 2014-02-12 Listed $60,000 MLSOK
- 2007-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 2007-03-01 Sold (MLS) $97,600 MLSOK
- 2006-08-03 Listed $99,900 MLSOK
- 2004-07-28 Sold (MLS) $54,500 MLSOK
- 2004-06-10 Listed $59,900 MLSOK
- 2004-04-05 Listing Removed — MLSOK
- 2003-10-17 Listed $61,700 MLSOK
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,880 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…