CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
429 W Fairchild Dr
C Composite 59.04
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$120,000

429 W Fairchild Dr · Midwest City, OK 73110
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,475 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1960 8,904 sqft lot Est $180k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Short sale approved at this price. Home with a ton of potential. Nice neighborhood and great location close. Some repairs needed but lots of equity on the table.

Key facts

  • Convenient access
  • Spacious lot
  • Major improvements

Tags

ESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODCONVENIENT ACCESSFUNCTIONAL FLOOR PLANSPACIOUS LOTMAJOR IMPROVEMENTSVALUE-ADD OPPORTUNITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed as existing; No historical designation; Occupied: No
  • Financial info: Loan qualification allowed; Not assumable
  • HOA & community: No mandatory association dues

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Homestead tax status indicated
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-level home; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick and frame construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Interior lot; Outbuildings

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Interior features: One living area; No fireplace; Outbuildings on the property

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $172 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 5.6% in Midwest City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#30 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Midwest City-Del City (suburban): math 10% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #231 of 270 in OK (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Midwest City Es (math 13% / reading 13%, grade F, #647 of 845 statewide, top 77%, 793 students, 0% FRL); Midwest City Hs (math 7% / reading 17%, grade F, #359 of 447 statewide, top 80%, 1,368 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 6 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $19k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $55k; list at $120k implies a 118% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $120,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.06%
Cap rate
8.02%
Cash-on-cash
6.16%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$179,950
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
417 W Douglas Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,513 (+3%) 4mo $160,000 $106 86
806 Stansell Dr 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,428 (-3%) 3mo $41,200 $29 77
408 W Douglas Dr 0.19mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,543 (+5%) 7mo $130,000 $84 70
410 W Douglas Dr 0.18mi 3/1.5 1,612 (+9%) 9mo $130,000 $81 66
1009 Stansell Dr 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-8%) 0mo $164,900 $122 66
104 E Northrup St 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,477 (+0%) 5mo $193,000 $131 63
430 W Ercoupe Dr 0.09mi 3/1.5 1,265 (-14%) 10mo $159,000 $126 62
6605 SE 15th St 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,467 (-0%) 8mo $190,000 $130 61
106 W Lilac Ct 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,443 (-2%) 10mo $160,000 $111 60
311 W Lilac Ln 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,332 (-10%) 5mo $170,000 $128 57
201 E Ercoupe Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,632 (+11%) 2mo $50,000 $31 50
6609 SE 15th St 0.66mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,363 (-8%) 8mo $183,000 $134 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.8%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-8,448
Equity at exit
$17,892
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$6,832
Equity at exit
$10,375

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73110

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,277 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,880/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$172

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,058
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $240 -5% $206 +0% $172 +5% $139 +10% $105
Rent -10% $72 -5% $122 +0% $172 +5% $223 +10% $273
Rate -1.0pp $233 -0.5pp $203 base $172 +0.5pp $141 +1.0pp $110

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 38 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
423 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1014 $1,095 $1.08 22d 1 0.09mi
407 W Fairchild Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,045 $0.98 3d 1 0.12mi
2220 S Air Depot Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,395 $1.37 24d 1 0.26mi
218 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1578 $1,500 $0.95 3d 1 0.32mi
208 W Ercoupe Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1125 $1,500 $1.33 24d 1 0.33mi
209 W Douglas Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 952 $895 $0.94 17d 1 0.34mi
201 W Fairchild Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 984 $975 $0.99 3d 1 0.35mi
210 W Jacobs Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,200 $1.00 24d 1 0.36mi
1111 Jet Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1067 $1,095 $1.03 5d 1 0.50mi
1111 Jet Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1067 $1,095 $1.03 22d 1 0.50mi
317 W Peach St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 878 $1,045 $1.19 3d 1 0.57mi
6608 SE 15th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1103 $1,425 $1.29 22d 1 0.66mi
110 E Myrtle Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1236 $1,300 $1.05 12d 1 0.73mi
306 E Grumman Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1219 $1,300 $1.07 24d 1 0.74mi
120 E Northrup Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1364 $1,475 $1.08 24d 1 0.76mi
124 E Northrup Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 1.0 1085 $1,400 $1.29 24d 1 0.78mi
316 E Harmon Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1212 $1,395 $1.15 3d 1 0.80mi
205 N Key Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 1047 $995 $0.95 22d 1 0.95mi
444 1/2 Babb Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 920 $895 $0.97 5d 1 0.96mi
1436 Maple Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1409 $1,350 $0.96 16d 1 0.97mi
442 Babb Dr Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 920 $925 $1.01 5d 1 0.97mi
204 Elm St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1098 $1,250 $1.14 24d 1 1.00mi
1933 Rulane Dr Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,250 $0.83 24d 1 1.07mi
4772 SE 23rd St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1044 $1,300 $1.25 3d 1 1.15mi
4769 SE 27th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 24d 1 1.17mi
616 Lions Park Pl Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 906 $950 $1.05 3d 1 1.23mi
6001 SE 8th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1435 $1,900 $1.32 2d 1 1.26mi
4722 SE 27th St Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 2.0 1130 $1,175 $1.04 24d 1 1.28mi
2105 Maple Dr Midwest City, OK 3.0 2.0 1032 $1,295 $1.25 24d 1 1.29mi
2113 Candy Ln Del City, OK 4.0 2.0 1597 $1,550 $0.97 2d 1 1.31mi
4628 SE 27th St Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 1.0 1432 $1,225 $0.86 2d 1 1.37mi
4650 SE 29th St Del City, OK 2.0 1.0 1100 $900 $0.82 24d 1 1.39mi
4638 SE 29th St Del City, OK 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,300 $1.04 24d 1 1.40mi
4613 SE 28th St Del City, OK 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,255 $1.19 2d 1 1.43mi
4625 Tinker Diagonal Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 2.0 900 $1,050 $1.17 12d 1 1.49mi
4625 Tinker Diagonal Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 3.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 17d 1 1.49mi
407 E Key Blvd Oklahoma City, OK 4.0 2.0 1200 $1,395 $1.16 24d 1 1.49mi
221 E Kerr Dr Oklahoma City, OK 3.0 1.5 1339 $1,145 $0.86 5d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $120,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    price $120,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    listed $139,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,880 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,880 · $157/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,318
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$1,880
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,225
− Management
−$1,225
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$175
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$42
After-tax cash flow
$2,028/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Midwest City-Del City
NCES district ID
4019950
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,724
Composite
12.09/100
National rank
#9658
State rank
#231 of 270 in OK

Livability — Midwest City

Score
71/100
State rank
#30
US rank
#6637

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Midwest City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
57,386
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
32,348
Household income
$51,228
Rent vs Own
54.9% rent · 45.1% own
Severe rent burden
1440.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 25% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 4% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.25%
Current HPI
257.0791
Rent YoY
▲ 2.99%
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+125.3% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $139,000 MLSOK
  • 2014-05-01 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2014-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
  • 2014-04-25 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MLSOK
  • 2014-02-12 Listed $60,000 MLSOK
  • 2014-02-12 Listed $60,000 MLSOK
  • 2007-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
  • 2007-03-01 Sold (MLS) $97,600 MLSOK
  • 2006-08-03 Listed $99,900 MLSOK
  • 2004-07-28 Sold (MLS) $54,500 MLSOK
  • 2004-06-10 Listed $59,900 MLSOK
  • 2004-04-05 Listing Removed MLSOK
  • 2003-10-17 Listed $61,700 MLSOK

Property tax history

+4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,880 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…