Multi-family
22 Ridge Rd · Rumson, NJ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$3,399,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks
This enchanting Dutch Colonial is set on 1.13 private, landscaped acres and offers resort-style living with a pool and Har-Tru clay tennis court. Boasting 5-6 bedrooms and 5.1 baths, the home features over 5,400 sq. ft. of refined living space, including a large open kitchen, spacious L-shaped family room, and elegant formal living and dining rooms. The large master suite is complemented by a stunning bath, while a cozy den with custom built-ins, a sunlit sitting room overlooking the backyard oasis, and two fireplaces add warmth and charm throughout. A private guest suite with its own bedroom, living area, and kitchenette is seamlessly connected to the main home. Truly country club living a
Key facts
- Private guest suite
- Sunlit sitting room
- Large open kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Level lot
- Exterior features: Wood roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Double wall oven; Countertop range / stove (gas cooking); Microwave; Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator; Self-cleaning oven
- Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Wood
- Bathrooms: 5 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Radiant heating; Forced air heating; Three-plus zoned heat; Central air conditioning; Three-plus zoned air conditioning
- Interior features: Outdoor lighting; Track lighting; Ceiling fans; Awnings; Attic fan; Garage door opener; Bilco style basement doors; Partial finished basement with workshop/workbench; Two fireplaces
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/5.5-bath multifamily listed at $3.40M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $2.96M (13.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $2.96M (13.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 3.6% in Rumson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#326 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Rumson-Fair Haven Regional High School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #82 of 612 in NJ (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 80 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,840 units permitted in Monmouth County in 2024 (484 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $24k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $102k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monmouth County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $2.10M; list at $3.40M implies a 62% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.14%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-443,680
- Equity at exit
- $506,951
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-250,104
- Equity at exit
- $293,970
Cash invested: $952,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 07760
- Active inventory
- 80
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $29,574 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$17,830
- Tax from tax record
- −$2,422 /mo · $29,068/yr
- Insurance
- −$1,417
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$6,211
- Net cashflow
- $1,695
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $850,000
- Closing costs
- $102,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — Rumson, NJ | 4.0 | 3.5 | 3688 | $35,000 | $9.49 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 29 Lafayette St Rumson, NJ | 4.0 | 4.5 | 4033 | $14,000 | $3.47 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-10status $3,399,999 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $3,399,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $3,399,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $3,399,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $3,399,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-04$3,399,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $29,068 · $2,422/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $56,864 · $4,739/mo
- Expected delta
- +$27,796/yr (+$2,316/mo · 95.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $354,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$190,453
- − Property taxes
- −$29,068
- − Insurance
- −$17,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$28,391
- − Management
- −$28,391
- − Depreciation
- −$98,909
- Taxable loss
- −$37,320
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$8,957
- After-tax cash flow
- $29,294/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rumson-Fair Haven Regional High School District
- NCES district ID
- 3414400
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▲ 20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 15.00%
- Median HH income
- $140,294
- Composite
- 68.77/100
- National rank
- #677
- State rank
- #82 of 612 in NJ
Livability — Rumson
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #326
- US rank
- #10228
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rumson, NJ
- City population
- 9,557
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,557
Population outlook (Monmouth County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 620,308 people
- By 2030
- 612,309 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 587,297 · -5.3%
- By 2050
- 551,342 · -11.1%
- By 2075
- 472,934 · -23.8%
- By 2100
- 381,534 · -38.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Scotch-Irish 3% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monmouth
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.4% · R 54.8% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -3.7pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: R+2.8 2016: R+9.5 2012: R+5.5 2008: R+3.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -567.27%
- Current HPI
- 369.2564
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+1788.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $3,399,999 MOMLS
- 2008-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $2,100,000 Public Records
- 1981-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $29,068 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…