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1024 Bolton Rd
D Composite 44.19
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +4.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$235,000

1024 Bolton Rd · Richmond, VA 23225
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,094 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1962 0.26 ac lot Est $257k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This single-level, easy-to-maintain home is in the quiet and neatly maintained neighborhood of Clinton Court and is in move-in condition. Three bedrooms and one full bathroom, original hardwood floors throughout. Updated bathroom and kitchen with a stove and dishwasher to convey with the property. Large fenced-in backyard provides generous space for outdoor entertainment. On and off-street parking. Home offers endless potential for buyers looking to make it their own or investors/flippers looking for a project. Convenient to Midlothian TPK, Chippenham PKY North or South and Hull Street. Shopping, dining, and entertainment in each direction.

Key facts

  • Updated kitchen
  • Updated bathroom
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSUPDATED BATHROOMUPDATED KITCHENLARGE FENCED-IN BACKYARDOUTDOOR ENTERTAINMENTON AND OFF-STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Two-car garage; Carport; Off-street parking and on-street parking available
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-story home; Resale property; R-3 zoning
  • Construction: Brick, block, frame, drywall, and vinyl siding construction; Composition/shingle roof; Built as actual year (year built details available)
  • Exterior features: Stoop; Back yard with chain-link fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric stove / smooth cooktop; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor; bedrooms have original hardwood floors and replacement windows
  • Flooring: Original hardwood floors; Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub and shower on the first floor
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump (provides cooling and heating); Electric heating options including baseboard and forced air
  • Interior features: Thermal windows; Storm door(s); Smoke detector(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $235k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-4 ($-52/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $234k (0.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (20.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $188k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.3% in Richmond — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#33 in VA, #793 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D-.
  • Richmond City Public School District (urban): math 32% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #123 of 131 in VA (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 167 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,540 units permitted in Richmond city in 2024 (2,077 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Richmond County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $63k; list at $235k implies a 273% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $187,846 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.27%
Cash-on-cash
-0.08%
DSCR
1.00
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$257,090
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
906 Andros Rd 0.27mi 3/1.5 1,098 (+0%) 8mo $239,700 $218 78
1001 Whitehead Rd 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,140 (+4%) 8mo $175,000 $154 77
621 Tilton Ct 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,049 (-4%) 7mo $253,800 $242 69
6521 Worthington Rd 0.54mi 3/1.5 1,098 (+0%) 8mo $265,000 $241 66
5717 Warwick Rd 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,154 (+6%) 4mo $330,000 $286 65
6607 Holliday Rd 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,098 (+0%) 9mo $264,500 $241 61
943 Barlen Dr 0.39mi 3/1.0 984 (-10%) 5mo $229,000 $233 61
1627 Silverwood Dr 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,007 (-8%) 2mo $176,000 $175 54
1709 Whitehead Rd 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,064 (-3%) 6mo $249,950 $235 54
6411 Daytona Dr 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,160 (+6%) 9mo $310,000 $267 51
912 Rosemont Rd 0.70mi 3/1.5 994 (-9%) 9mo $202,000 $203 43
705 Yorkshire Dr 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+10%) 7mo $215,000 $179 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.9%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-42,785
Equity at exit
$35,039
10-year hold
IRR
-16.7%
Equity multiple
0.16×
Total profit
$-54,956
Equity at exit
$20,319

Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23225

Rents YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
167
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,878 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,232
Tax from tax record
$158 /mo · $1,896/yr
Insurance
$98
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$394
Net cashflow
$-4

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,884
Max offer price $234,241
Occupancy floor 95%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$58,750
Closing costs
$7,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1018 Barlen Dr Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0 935 $1,700 $1.82 44d 1 0.29mi
6540 Greenbank Rd Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 887 $1,790 $2.02 1d 59 0.61mi
1244 Canterbury Ridge Rd Unit 1 Richmond, VA 3.0 2.5 1250 $2,000 $1.60 4d 1 0.64mi
1501 Ivymount Rd Richmond, VA 3.0 1.5 1084 $1,750 $1.61 44d 1 0.74mi
6925 Starview Ct Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.5 953 $1,642 $1.72 2d 4 0.86mi
2336 Sara Ln Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0 1120 $1,695 $1.51 44d 1 0.87mi
1840 Powell Rd Richmond, VA 2.0 1.0 1228 $1,695 $1.38 16d 1 1.06mi
311 Karl Linn Dr North Chesterfield, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1271 $3,416 $2.69 1d 21 1.14mi
5616 Kendall Rd Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0 1054 $1,575 $1.49 21d 1 1.20mi
1200 Southwood Pkwy Richmond, VA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 916 $1,605 $1.75 44d 11 1.28mi
6839 Carnation St Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 938 $1,915 $2.04 1d 21 1.30mi
435 German School Rd Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 956 $1,744 $1.82 1d 18 1.31mi
161 Hioaks Rd Richmond, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 983 $1,601 $1.63 4d 7 1.35mi
101 Springline Dr North Chesterfield, VA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 981 $2,825 $2.88 1d 49 1.44mi
152 Brandon Rd Richmond, VA 3.0 1.0 1237 $2,109 $1.70 23d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-18
    listed $235,000 Active
  3. 2002-10-01
    soldstatus $63,000
  4. 1965-09-17
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,896 · $158/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,927 · $161/mo
Expected delta
+$31/yr (+$3/mo · 1.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,542
− Mortgage interest
−$13,164
− Property taxes
−$1,896
− Insurance
−$1,175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,803
− Management
−$1,803
− Depreciation
−$6,836
Taxable loss
−$4,136
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$993
After-tax cash flow
$941/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richmond City Public School District
NCES district ID
5103240
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$40,276
Composite
33.09/100
National rank
#5564
State rank
#123 of 131 in VA

Livability — Richmond

Score
84/100
State rank
#33
US rank
#793

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B- Crime D- Employment C Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richmond, VA
County
Richmond City · 178,280 people
City population
287,109
Metro
Richmond, VA
Population (ZIP)
42,771
Household income
$62,949
Rent vs Own
52.2% rent · 47.8% own
Severe rent burden
2516.0

Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,263 people
By 2030
284,503 · +8.5%
By 2040
327,353 · +24.8%
By 2050
367,946 · +40.3%
By 2075
449,560 · +71.4%
By 2100
500,301 · +90.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Richmond

2024 margin
Solid D (+66.3) · D 82.0% · R 15.8% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+7.2pp toward D · 2008: 59.1pp · 2024: 66.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+66.3 2020: D+68.0 2016: D+63.8 2012: D+55.7 2008: D+59.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -392.89%
Current HPI
339.408
Rent YoY
▲ 0.63%
Metro
Richmond, VA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1858.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending CVRMLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $235,000 CVRMLS
  • 2002-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $63,000 Public Records
  • 1965-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,896 · +50.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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