1412 Ransbottom Dr · Alexandria, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.8/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fresh open floor plan with abundant natural light that has been recently updated. Neutral colors are ready for you to decorate in your own style. Large pantry is the perfect compliment to this beautiful kitchen! 2 detached storage sheds remain in the rear yard. If you want a move-in ready home, call before this one is GONE!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large pantry
- 0.29 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; Carport
- Home design: Single family residence
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Partial fencing; Covered patio/porch; Workshop
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (Bedroom 1, Bedroom 2, Bedroom 3)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Living Room; Dining Room; Kitchen; Bedroom 1; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $204k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $394 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $204k).
- Recommended offer: $201k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 4.9% in Alexandria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#160 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Rapides Parish (urban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 98 in LA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 51 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 239 units permitted in Rapides Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rapides County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.26%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $162,680
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3828 Howard St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,664 (+0%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $93 | 60 |
| 3908 Mertens St | 0.65mi | 3/1.5 | 1,700 (+2%) | 4mo | $46,000 | $27 | 60 |
| 3819 Norman St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,694 (+2%) | 19mo | $178,500 | $105 | 56 |
| 3810 Lisa St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-8%) | 1mo | $162,965 | $107 | 55 |
| 3910 Howard St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (+2%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $112 | 53 |
| 6327 Joyce St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,685 (+2%) | 20mo | $164,900 | $98 | 46 |
| 3903 Jennifer St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,885 (+14%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $93 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-8,045
- Equity at exit
- $30,492
- IRR
- 5.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $25,280
- Equity at exit
- $17,681
Cash invested: $57,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71302
- Home prices YoY
- -12.7%
- Active inventory
- 51
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,072
- Tax from tax record
- −$186 /mo · $2,235/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $394
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,125
- Closing costs
- $6,135
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2608 Horseshoe Dr Alexandria, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,200 | $1.29 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $204,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $204,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $204,500 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $204,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $204,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $204,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $204,500 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $204,500 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $204,500 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $204,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $204,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $204,500 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $204,500 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $204,500 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $204,500 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $204,500 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-21$204,500 Active
-
2022-06-10soldstatus $183,000
-
2022-05-20$189,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,235 · $186/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,235 · $186/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,455
- − Property taxes
- −$2,235
- − Insurance
- −$1,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$5,949
- Taxable income
- $1,514
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$363
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,366/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rapides Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201290
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,057
- Composite
- 30.68/100
- National rank
- #6179
- State rank
- #31 of 98 in LA
Livability — Alexandria
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #13698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Alexandria, LA
- City population
- 25,138
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,128
Population outlook (Rapides County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,047 people
- By 2030
- 132,333 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 129,355 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 124,535 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 110,338 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 88,641 · -33.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 14% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rapides
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.8) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -28.7pp · 2024: -36.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.8 2020: R+32.1 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -28.36%
- Current HPI
- 195.3699
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+7.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $204,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-06-10 Sold (Public Records) $183,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-20 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+13.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,235 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…