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4647 Winter Ave Spc 2
C+ Composite 60.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

4647 Winter Ave Spc 2 · Altamont, OR 97603
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · Manufactured public records · 11 Days on market
Built 1996 $98/sqft · 24% above area Est $89k · 24% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Bright and open, this recently updated home is move in ready with all new flooring, fresh interior paint, and new drywall in two bedrooms. The kitchen features new appliances including a refrigerator and oven, along with a large corner pantry. A dedicated laundry room near the back door includes a new washer and dryer. Both bathrooms offer new tub/shower combos. The spacious layout provides great natural light throughout. The primary suite includes a walk-in closet and private ensuite bath. Exterior upgrades include a brand new roof for added peace of mind.

Key facts

  • New drywall
  • New flooring
  • New appliances

Tags

NEW FLOORINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTNEW DRYWALLNEW APPLIANCESLARGE CORNER PANTRYDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Not rented; No audio or video surveillance on premises; No short-term rental permit
  • Financial info: Monthly land lease: $525
  • HOA & community: No CCRs

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached carport; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Mobile home (double wide) located in a park; One level; May remain in park; On leased land
  • Construction: Built in 1996; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Composition roof; Vinyl window frames

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (includes primary bedroom)
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced-air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Pantry; Shower/tub combo; Smart thermostat; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $525 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.7% in Altamont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#195 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, crime F.
  • Klamath County SD (rural): math 21% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #46 of 58 in OR (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Peterson Elementary School (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #218 of 412 statewide, top 58%, 606 students, 74% FRL); Mazama High School (math 12% / reading 42%, grade F, #115 of 143 statewide, top 82%, 690 students, 72% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 263 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $110,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
12.02%
Cash-on-cash
20.45%
DSCR
1.91
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$88,596
List price
$110,000
Delta
24.16%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4647 Winter Ave Spc 36 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,100 (-2%) 3mo $86,500 $79 94
4647 Winter Ave Spc 65 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+2%) 6mo $113,000 $99 91
4647 Winter Ave #78 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,173 (+5%) 3mo $125,000 $107 90
4647 Winter Ave #92 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,173 (+5%) 5mo $123,000 $105 87
4647 Winter Ave Spc 53 0.02mi 3/2.0 1,173 (+5%) 8mo $130,000 $111 85
4647 Winter Ave #70 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,080 (-4%) 12mo $90,000 $83 84
4647 Winter Ave Spc 55 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,260 (+12%) 9mo $79,000 $63 72
3500 Summers Ln Unit 17 0.45mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (-4%) 4mo $69,500 $64 64
4200 Summers Ln Unit 10 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,109 (-1%) 5mo $75,000 $68 60
4200 Summers Ln Unit 69 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (+6%) 0mo $72,500 $61 55
4333 Bartlett Ave 0.66mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,080 (-4%) 9mo $110,000 $102 51
4200 Summers Ln #17 0.63mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (+6%) 10mo $90,000 $76 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.5%
Equity multiple
1.55×
Total profit
$16,798
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
22.9%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$62,631
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Oregon
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
SB608 (2019): statewide rent cap (7% + CPI) and just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr. Portland has relocation assistance ordinance.

ZIP-level market 97603

Rents YoY
3.8%
Active inventory
263
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,505 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$42 /mo · $500/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$316
Net cashflow
$525

Break-even live

Break-even rent $841
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4195 Bristol Ct Klamath Falls, OR 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,350 $1.25 43d 1 0.29mi
3039 Kane St Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 2.0 988 $1,395 $1.41 43d 1 0.49mi
4306 Fargo St Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 2.0 1288 $1,850 $1.44 43d 1 0.49mi
4519 Cannon Ave Unit 22 Klamath Falls, OR 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 43d 1 0.82mi
4519 Cannon Ave Apt 2 Klamath Falls, OR 2.0 1.0 850 $1,050 $1.24 43d 1 0.82mi
4831 Darwin Pl Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 1.0 1092 $1,475 $1.35 43d 1 0.83mi
4507 Cannon Ave Apt 52 Klamath Falls, OR 2.0 1.0 850 $1,000 $1.18 43d 1 0.84mi
2439 Homedale Rd Klamath Falls, OR 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,400 $1.06 43d 1 0.93mi
2160 Arthur St Unit 5 Klamath Falls, OR 2.0 1.0 740 $995 $1.34 43d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 563-char remark
  2. 2026-05-05
    listed $110,000 Active 563-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$500 · $42/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,067 · $89/mo
Expected delta
+$567/yr (+$47/mo · 113.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 38 unhealthy d/yr today · 39 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,066
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$500
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,445
− Management
−$1,445
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$4,764
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,143
After-tax cash flow
$5,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Klamath County SD
NCES district ID
4107020
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$44,906
Composite
24.83/100
National rank
#7593
State rank
#46 of 58 in OR

Livability — Altamont

Score
65/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#12638

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Altamont, OR
County
Klamath County · 56,186 people
Metro
Klamath Falls, OR
Population (ZIP)
33,222
Household income
$66,937
Rent vs Own
29.7% rent · 70.3% own
Severe rent burden
1147.0

Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,870 people
By 2030
62,279 · -2.5%
By 2040
58,891 · -7.8%
By 2050
56,207 · -12.0%
By 2075
51,239 · -19.8%
By 2100
46,526 · -27.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 13% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Italian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Klamath

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -122.75%
Current HPI
198.1814
Rent YoY
▲ 3.80%
Metro
Klamath Falls, OR
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Pending MLSCO
  • 2026-05-05 Listed $110,000 MLSCO

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $500 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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