22726 202 Hwy · Moulton, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for a affordable home in the country this 3 bedroom 1 bath home is sitting on a hard surface road right along hwy 202 north of Moulton Iowa. The home offers potentials for a single family residence or a investor looking for a fixer upper as well as a nice 24x30 pole barn with concrete floors.
Key facts
- Pole barn
- Hard surface road
- Concrete floors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#866 in IA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, employment D+.
- Moulton-Udell Community School District (rural): math 55% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #319 of 330 in IA (top 97%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Appanoose County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.6% local appreciation)).
- Appanoose County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 238 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (26%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 238 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.62%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $83,830
- List price
- $100,000
- Delta
- 19.29%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
4.6% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $32,112
- Equity at exit
- $54,248
- IRR
- 18.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.16×
- Total profit
- $88,463
- Equity at exit
- $91,681
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52572
- Home prices YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 238 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $100,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $115,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $115,000 Active 222 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $115,000 Active 221 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $115,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-04-20status Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Great opportunity for a affordable home in the country this 3 bedroom 1 bath home is sitting on a hard surface road right along hwy 202 north of Moulton Iowa. The home offers potentials for a single family residence or a investor looking for a fixer upper as well as a nice 24x30 pole barn with concrete floors.
-
2026-04-10historical Active Under Contract 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Great opportunity for a affordable home in the country this 3 bedroom 1 bath home is sitting on a hard surface road right along hwy 202 north of Moulton Iowa. The home offers potentials for a single family residence or a investor looking for a fixer upper as well as a nice 24x30 pole barn with concrete floors.
-
2026-03-19status Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Great opportunity for a affordable home in the country this 3 bedroom 1 bath home is sitting on a hard surface road right along hwy 202 north of Moulton Iowa. The home offers potentials for a single family residence or a investor looking for a fixer upper as well as a nice 24x30 pole barn with concrete floors.
-
2025-08-29price $115,000 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Great opportunity for a affordable home in the country this 3 bedroom 1 bath home is sitting on a hard surface road right along hwy 202 north of Moulton Iowa. The home offers potentials for a single family residence or a investor looking for a fixer upper as well as a nice 24x30 pole barn with concrete floors.
-
2025-07-07$135,000 Active 311-char remark
Show marketing remark (311 chars)
Great opportunity for a affordable home in the country this 3 bedroom 1 bath home is sitting on a hard surface road right along hwy 202 north of Moulton Iowa. The home offers potentials for a single family residence or a investor looking for a fixer upper as well as a nice 24x30 pole barn with concrete floors.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $575
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$138
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,995/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moulton-Udell Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1919800
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,255
- Composite
- 46.05/100
- National rank
- #5496
- State rank
- #319 of 330 in IA
Livability — Moulton
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #866
- US rank
- #20163
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 963
Population outlook (Appanoose County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,726 people
- By 2030
- 11,194 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 10,063 · -14.2%
- By 2050
- 8,976 · -23.5%
- By 2075
- 6,785 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 4,819 · -58.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · German/W. Germanic 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Appanoose
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 26.1% · R 72.8% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -44.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+40.2 2016: R+36.4 2012: R+3.5 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Current HPI
- 139.5038
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-14.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — IAR
- 2026-04-10 Contingent — IAR
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — IAR
- 2025-08-29 Price Changed $115,000 IAR
- 2025-07-07 Listed $135,000 IAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…