2200 N Delaware Dr #76 · Apache Junction, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.6/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-In-Ready 4 Bedroom Home in a Sought-After All-Ages East Valley Community Motivated buyers searching for an updated, affordable, and low-maintenance home in the East Valley will appreciate this spacious 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence located in a highly desired all-ages mobile home park. Designed with a split floor plan, this home offers the perfect balance of privacy and functionality--ideal for household, seasonal residents, or anyone seeking versatile living space. Inside, you'll find luxury vinyl flooring, plush carpet in the bedrooms, and a clean, modern interior that's fully equipped with all appliances included, making your move-in seamless and stress-free. Recent updates add even
Key facts
- Modern interior
- Recent updates
- Split floor plan
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Land lease of $700 per month; Association maintains grounds; Association rules prohibit visible trucks, trailers, RVs, and boats; Community pool; Playground
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: City water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured/mobile home; Leasehold property
- Construction: Vertical siding; Steel frame construction; Painted exterior; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Gravel/stone front and back; Chain-link fencing; Private maintained road; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen island; Laminate countertops; Pantry; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: Up to 4 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fans; Programmable thermostat; Has heating and cooling
- Interior features: High-speed internet; Double vanity in bathroom; Vaulted ceilings; Kitchen island; Pantry; Full bathroom in master bedroom; Separate shower and tub; Laminate countertops
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.3% vs local median 3.5% in Apache Junction — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#70 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443) (suburban): math 15% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #195 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Four Peaks Elementary School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #898 of 1,109 statewide, top 83%, 498 students, 73% FRL); Cactus Canyon Junior High (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #151 of 218 statewide, top 70%, 702 students, 50% FRL); Apache Junction High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #267 of 381 statewide, top 72%, 999 students, 48% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 468 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,414/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 686% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.93% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 35.76%
- DSCR
- 2.59
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $298,800
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2200 N Delaware Dr #19 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,980 (+10%) | 8mo | $137,000 | $69 | 72 |
| 1943 N Main Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,729 (-4%) | 5mo | $327,500 | $189 | 66 |
| 1903 W Windsong St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,922 (+7%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $75 | 64 |
| 2762 W Smoketree St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-7%) | 12mo | $324,000 | $193 | 57 |
| 2687 W Foothill St | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,650 (-8%) | 22mo | $300,000 | $182 | 54 |
| 2292 N Ironwood Dr #112 | 0.52mi | 4/1.8 | 1,568 (-13%) | 14mo | $37,000 | $24 | 42 |
| 1903 W Shiprock St | 0.72mi | 4/2.0 | 1,961 (+9%) | 16mo | $326,000 | $166 | 39 |
| 2625 W Manzanita St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,537 (-15%) | 3mo | $104,000 | $68 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.12×
- Total profit
- $39,132
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 33.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.64×
- Total profit
- $92,420
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85120
- Home prices YoY
- -29.0%
- Rents YoY
- -3.5%
- Active inventory
- 468
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,414 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$507
- Net cashflow
- $1,043
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,129 | -5% $1,086 | +0% $1,043 | +5% $1,000 | +10% $957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $852 | -5% $948 | +0% $1,043 | +5% $1,138 | +10% $1,234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,106 | -0.5pp $1,075 | base $1,043 | +0.5pp $1,011 | +1.0pp $978 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1877 W Overland St Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $1,999 | $1.41 | 18d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 651 N Ironwood Dr Apache Junction, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1748 | $2,408 | $1.38 | 7d | 13 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $125,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $125,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $125,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $125,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $125,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $125,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $125,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $125,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $125,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $125,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $125,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $125,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-04-27price $125,000
-
2026-04-20price $120,000
-
2026-04-12price $140,000
-
2026-04-02price $145,000
-
2026-02-23$155,000 Active
-
2025-07-14historical
-
2025-06-24status Active
-
2025-02-28historical
-
2025-01-31$155,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,964
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,317
- − Management
- −$2,317
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $11,191
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,686
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,829/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Apache Junction Unified District (4443)
- NCES district ID
- 0400790
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,930
- Composite
- 15.34/100
- National rank
- #9325
- State rank
- #195 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Apache Junction
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #70
- US rank
- #11242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Apache Junction, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 56,611
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,191
- Household income
- $57,786
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 686.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 10% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -128.31%
- Current HPI
- 313.4666
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -3.50%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
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| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
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Price history
-19.4% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $125,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $120,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-12 Price Changed $140,000 ARMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $145,000 ARMLS
- 2026-02-23 Listed $155,000 ARMLS
- 2025-07-14 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-06-24 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2025-02-28 Listing Removed — ARMLS
- 2025-01-31 Listed $155,000 ARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…