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407 Cedar St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 78.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

407 Cedar St · Charles City, IA 50616
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,492 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 208 Days on market
Built 1910 0.34 ac lot Est $116k · 40% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

The north unit of this duplex rents for $550 per month and is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit and the landlord pays the utilities and this is a month to month lease and the landlord owns the stove and the refrigerator. is the tenants. The south unit is 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and has a new furnace, breaker service, main level laundry, new flooring and paint and living room floor joists (there was a fire in this unit in 2024). This unit is currently vacant, and was renting for $975 monthly and the landlord pays all utilities. The utilities are all split on this duplex. The property taxes are $890 per year and the property insurance $1822.15 yearly.

Key facts

  • 0.34 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots
  • Built 1910

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $70,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$116,376) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×1bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $844 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $422/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 6.7% in Charles City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $29k; list at $70k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $61,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.38%
Cap rate
20.76%
Cash-on-cash
51.68%
DSCR
3.30
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$116,376
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
810 and 810.5 Cedar St. St 0.28mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,275 (-14%) 17mo $100,000 $78 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
49.6%
Equity multiple
3.17×
Total profit
$42,438
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
55.1%
Equity multiple
6.42×
Total profit
$106,252
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50616

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Active inventory
71
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,664 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$74 /mo · $890/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$349
Net cashflow
$844

Break-even live

Break-even rent $595
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $884 -5% $864 +0% $844 +5% $824 +10% $805
Rent -10% $713 -5% $778 +0% $844 +5% $910 +10% $976
Rate -1.0pp $879 -0.5pp $862 base $844 +0.5pp $826 +1.0pp $808

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 1 1 $775
1× unit 2 1 $889
Total (2 units) $1,664

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1030 13th Ave Charles City, IA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 926 $1,927 $2.08 44d 28 1.23mi
1004 20th Ave Charles City, IA 3.0 2.0 960 $975 $1.02 24d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $70,000 Active 208 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $70,000 Active 206 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $70,000 Active 205 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $70,000 Active 204 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $70,000 Active 203 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $70,000 Active 201 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $70,000 Active 200 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $70,000 Active 197 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $70,000 Active 196 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 195 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $70,000 Active 194 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $70,000 Active 191 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $70,000 Active 190 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $70,000 Active 189 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 188 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $70,000 Active 187 DOM
  17. 2025-11-22
    listed $70,000 Active 656-char remark
    Show marketing remark (656 chars)

    The north unit of this duplex rents for $550 per month and is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit and the landlord pays the utilities and this is a month to month lease and the landlord owns the stove and the refrigerator. is the tenants. The south unit is 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and has a new furnace, breaker service, main level laundry, new flooring and paint and living room floor joists (there was a fire in this unit in 2024). This unit is currently vacant, and was renting for $975 monthly and the landlord pays all utilities. The utilities are all split on this duplex. The property taxes are $890 per year and the property insurance $1822.15 yearly.

  18. 2018-01-08
    soldstatus $29,000
  19. 1998-04-08
    soldstatus $20,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$890 · $74/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$994 · $83/mo
Expected delta
+$104/yr (+$9/mo · 11.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,968
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$890
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,597
− Management
−$1,597
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$9,576
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,298
After-tax cash flow
$7,832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Charles City Community School District
NCES district ID
1907080
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▲ 9.00%
Median HH income
$41,414
Composite
47.32/100
National rank
#2299
State rank
#262 of 289 in IA

Livability — Charles City

Score
77/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#2944

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Charles City, IA
City population
9,419
Population (ZIP)
9,419

Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,524 people
By 2030
15,254 · -1.7%
By 2040
14,830 · -4.5%
By 2050
14,660 · -5.6%
By 2075
15,548 · +0.2%
By 2100
17,406 · +12.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 6% Scandinavian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Floyd

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.5% · R 62.2% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-47.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: -25.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.7 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+14.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.03%
Current HPI
187.4742
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-22 Listed $70,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2018-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $890 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…