🏷️ Likely Rental
407 Cedar St · Charles City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
The north unit of this duplex rents for $550 per month and is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit and the landlord pays the utilities and this is a month to month lease and the landlord owns the stove and the refrigerator. is the tenants. The south unit is 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and has a new furnace, breaker service, main level laundry, new flooring and paint and living room floor joists (there was a fire in this unit in 2024). This unit is currently vacant, and was renting for $975 monthly and the landlord pays all utilities. The utilities are all split on this duplex. The property taxes are $890 per year and the property insurance $1822.15 yearly.
Key facts
- 0.34 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×1bd/1.0ba + 1×2bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $844 ($10k/yr) — positive. Per door: $422/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.8% vs local median 6.7% in Charles City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#161 in IA, #2,944 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Charles City Community School District (town): math 52% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #262 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 38 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $29k; list at $70k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.38% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.76%
- Cash-on-cash
- 51.68%
- DSCR
- 3.30
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $116,376
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 810 and 810.5 Cedar St. St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,275 (-14%) | 17mo | $100,000 | $78 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $42,438
- Equity at exit
- $10,437
- IRR
- 55.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.42×
- Total profit
- $106,252
- Equity at exit
- $6,052
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50616
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,664 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $890/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $844
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $884 | -5% $864 | +0% $844 | +5% $824 | +10% $805 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $713 | -5% $778 | +0% $844 | +5% $910 | +10% $976 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $879 | -0.5pp $862 | base $844 | +0.5pp $826 | +1.0pp $808 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 1 | 1 | $775 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $889 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,664 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1030 13th Ave Charles City, IA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 926 | $1,927 | $2.08 | 44d | 28 | 1.23mi |
| 1004 20th Ave Charles City, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 960 | $975 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $70,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2025-11-22$70,000 Active 656-char remark
Show marketing remark (656 chars)
The north unit of this duplex rents for $550 per month and is a 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom unit and the landlord pays the utilities and this is a month to month lease and the landlord owns the stove and the refrigerator. is the tenants. The south unit is 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom and has a new furnace, breaker service, main level laundry, new flooring and paint and living room floor joists (there was a fire in this unit in 2024). This unit is currently vacant, and was renting for $975 monthly and the landlord pays all utilities. The utilities are all split on this duplex. The property taxes are $890 per year and the property insurance $1822.15 yearly.
-
2018-01-08soldstatus $29,000
-
1998-04-08soldstatus $20,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $890 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $994 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$104/yr (+$9/mo · 11.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$890
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,597
- − Management
- −$1,597
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $9,576
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,298
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,832/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charles City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1907080
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,414
- Composite
- 47.32/100
- National rank
- #2299
- State rank
- #262 of 289 in IA
Livability — Charles City
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #2944
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Charles City, IA
- City population
- 9,419
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,419
Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,524 people
- By 2030
- 15,254 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 14,830 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 14,660 · -5.6%
- By 2075
- 15,548 · +0.2%
- By 2100
- 17,406 · +12.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Scandinavian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Floyd
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.7) · D 36.5% · R 62.2% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.6pp toward R · 2008: 21.9pp · 2024: -25.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.7 2020: R+19.4 2016: R+14.9 2012: D+14.7 2008: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.03%
- Current HPI
- 187.4742
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+250.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-22 Listed $70,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2018-01-08 Sold (Public Records) $29,000 Public Records
- 1998-04-08 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $890 · +0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…