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165 Antioch Church Dr
D- Composite 35.33
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.1/15.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.6/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$369,990

165 Antioch Church Dr · Buda, TX 78610
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,199 sqft · SingleFamily · 158 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,009 sqft lot Garage $168/sqft · 13% below area Est $423k · 13% under $60/mo HOA · 3% of rent ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 165 Antioch Church Drive, Buda, Texas — a stunning new construction home built by M/I Homes. This 2-story home offers 2,103 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and 1 half bathroom. Step inside to discover an open-concept living space that creates a seamless flow between gathering areas, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The quality of design is evident throughout, with carefully selected finishes and a well-planned floorplan that maximizes comfort and functionality across both levels. Key Features: New construction by M/I Homes 2,103 square feet of living space 3 bedrooms 1 full bathroom and 1 half bathroom 2-story layout Open-concept living space Covered patio for outdoor enjoyment The owner's bedroom serves as a comfortable retreat with an en-suite full bathroom, providing a private space to unwind. The additional 2 bedrooms offer flexible space for family, guests, or a home office. The conveniently placed half bathroom ensures ease for daily routines and when hosting visitors. Outside, the covered patio extends your living space and provides a shaded area perfect for relaxing or gathering with friends and family. This home is situated in a welcoming neighborhood with convenient proximity to parks, making it easy to enjoy the outdoors and stay active.

Key facts

  • Designer kitchen
  • Ample windows
  • Covered patio

Tags

COVERED PATIODESIGNER KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCUSTOM KITCHEN BACK-SPLASHMUD SET TILE SHOWER FLOORAMPLE WINDOWS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $370k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-771 ($-9k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $258k (30.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (36.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (36.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#339 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Elm Grove El (math 61% / reading 72%, grade B+, #220 of 4,322 statewide, top 5%, 706 students, 13% FRL); Eric Dahlstrom Middle (math 56% / reading 53%, grade B-, #256 of 1,662 statewide, top 16%, 902 students, 15% FRL); Jack C Hays H S (math 41% / reading 47%, grade F, #697 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,062 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 43% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hays CISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 1703 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 49d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 68% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 5,270 units permitted in Hays County in 2024 (1,464 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hays County population projected at +93% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($326k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $70k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $233,698 (36.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63% ✗
Cap rate
3.79%
Cash-on-cash
-8.93%
DSCR
0.60
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$423,053
List price
$369,990
Delta
-12.54%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
116 International 0.30mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,203 (+0%) 0mo $399,990 $182 80
175 International St 0.29mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,224 (+1%) 2mo $401,990 $181 78
376 Orleanian Dr 0.33mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,226 (+1%) 3mo $429,990 $193 75
185 International St 0.29mi 3/2.5 2,028 (-8%) 2mo $418,490 $206 72
188 Danbark Dr 0.47mi 3/2.5 2,121 (-4%) 3mo $430,000 $203 69
424 Burlington Dr 0.34mi 3/2.5 2,028 (-8%) 3mo $381,390 $188 68
503 Stonewood Ln 0.37mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,099 (-4%) 2mo $410,000 $195 66
389 Still Hollow Crk 0.49mi 3/2.0 2,100 (-4%) 4mo $380,000 $181 64
194 Sugar Crk 0.52mi 3/3.0 2,392 (+9%) 2mo $449,990 $188 57
345 Callahan Loop 0.39mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,449 (+11%) 1mo $454,990 $186 55
179 Belwood Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,870 (-15%) 5mo $399,000 $213 48
703 Patriot Dr 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,512 (+14%) 5mo $440,000 $175 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-35.6%
Equity multiple
-0.12×
Total profit
$-115,817
Equity at exit
$55,167
10-year hold
IRR
-71.5%
Equity multiple
-0.84×
Total profit
$-190,232
Equity at exit
$31,990

Cash invested: $103,597 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
72 active · 34 under contract
Months of supply
16.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$404,990 ($195/sqft)
Median days on market
110 d
This list price
19% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
-1.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 78610

Rents YoY
-1.8%
Active inventory
1703
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,337 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,940
Tax est. 1.5%
−$462 /mo · $5,550/yr
Insurance
−$154
HOA
−$60
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$491
Net cashflow
$-771

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,313
Max offer price $258,469
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-515 -5% $-643 +0% $-771 +5% $-899 +10% $-1,026
Rent -10% $-955 -5% $-863 +0% $-771 +5% $-678 +10% $-586
Rate -1.0pp $-584 -0.5pp $-677 base $-771 +0.5pp $-867 +1.0pp $-964

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$92,498
Closing costs
$11,100
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
175 International St Buda, TX 4.0 2.5 2224 $2,700 $1.21 0d 1 0.30mi
200 Callahan Loop Buda, TX 4.0 3.0 2038 $2,600 $1.28 138d 1 0.38mi
319 Serene Hollow Ln Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1692 $2,350 $1.39 36d 1 0.41mi
301 Bluff St Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 2030 $2,900 $1.43 0d 1 0.46mi
301 Bluff St Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 2030 $2,900 $1.43 9d 1 0.46mi
188 Danbark Dr Buda, TX 3.0 2.5 2121 $2,400 $1.13 49d 1 0.47mi
188 Danbark Dr Buda, TX 3.0 2.5 2121 $2,199 $1.04 3d 1 0.47mi
160 Sangaree Dr Buda, TX 4.0 2.5 2005 $2,199 $1.10 3d 1 0.50mi
160 Sangaree Dr Unit T2 Buda, TX 4.0 2.5 2170 $2,400 $1.11 21d 1 0.50mi
179 Blushing Dr Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,595 $1.42 41d 1 0.51mi
179 Blushing Dr Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 1830 $2,595 $1.42 37d 1 0.51mi
122 Sangaree Dr Buda, TX 4.0 3.0 2320 $2,475 $1.07 10d 1 0.54mi
680 Middle Crk Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 2177 $2,200 $1.01 184d 1 0.59mi
197 Patriot Dr Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1870 $2,150 $1.15 162d 1 0.66mi
481 Bayou Bend Dr Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1738 $2,340 $1.35 184d 1 0.70mi
313 Summer Pointe Dr Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 2345 $2,600 $1.11 108d 1 0.72mi
201 W Goforth Rd Buda, TX 2.0 1.0 1887 $1,400 $0.74 23d 1 0.77mi
400 Sunbonnet Dr Buda, TX 2.0 2.0 1687 $1,695 $1.00 10d 1 0.81mi
135 Lear Ave Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 2270 $2,400 $1.06 87d 1 0.84mi
3075 Old Black Colony Rd Unit D Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1870 $1,695 $0.91 10d 1 0.86mi
299 Clear Springs Holw Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 2101 $2,350 $1.12 69d 1 0.87mi
2375 Garlic Creek Dr Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1880 $2,200 $1.17 155d 1 0.93mi
413 Sunbonnet Dr Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 1804 $2,995 $1.66 43d 1 0.99mi
413 Sunbonnet Dr Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 1804 $2,995 $1.66 69d 1 0.99mi
100 Madisons Way Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1722 $2,150 $1.25 164d 1 1.02mi
261 Mystic Holw Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1697 $2,495 $1.47 134d 1 1.04mi
133 Calline Mayes Run Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1557 $2,150 $1.38 69d 1 1.05mi
170 Wildhorse Crk Buda, TX 3.0 2.5 2803 $2,500 $0.89 37d 1 1.08mi
125 Kelly Ln Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1590 $2,300 $1.45 10d 1 1.09mi
153 Carrington Dr Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1533 $2,200 $1.44 105d 1 1.12mi
342 Carolyns Way Buda, TX 4.0 2.5 2480 $2,400 $0.97 49d 1 1.12mi
149 Crizer Ct Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,000 $1.21 47d 1 1.13mi
130 Mystic Holw Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1530 $2,300 $1.50 184d 1 1.13mi
100 Giancarlos Ln Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 2238 $1,850 $0.83 10d 1 1.15mi
1178 Clark Brothers Dr Buda, TX 3.0 3.0 1650 $2,100 $1.27 164d 1 1.15mi
1098 Giberson Way Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,100 $1.27 34d 1 1.21mi
1098 Giberson Way Buda, TX 3.0 2.0 1650 $2,100 $1.27 51d 1 1.21mi
199 Saffron Spgs Buda, TX 4.0 2.5 2731 $1,820 $0.67 50d 1 1.22mi
199 Saffron Spgs Buda, TX 4.0 2.5 2731 $1,820 $0.67 10d 1 1.22mi
310 Wildhorse Crk Buda, TX 4.0 2.0 1751 $2,275 $1.30 125d 1 1.23mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Colony at Cole Springs communityQuarterly association fee of $180Community features include common grounds, community mailbox, playground, park, pool, street lights, sidewalks, trails/paths, and internet access

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with inside entranceGarage faces frontGarage door openerCovered parking for 2 cars (garage) plus driveway parking (total 4 parking spaces)Concrete driveway
Security
Smoke detectorsCarbon monoxide detectors
Utilities
Public water (Municipal Utility District)Public sewer (Municipal Utility District)Electricity availableNatural gas availableCable availableFiber optic availableHigh speed internet availablePhone availableUnderground utilities
Home design
Two-story homeNew construction by M/I HomesFaces westSlab foundationComposition roofExterior finished with board-and-batten siding, brick, masonry and stone
Construction
Built in 2026 (builder source)Blown-in insulationBrick, masonry and stone accents
Exterior features
Private fenced backyard with wood privacy fencing and gateCovered side porchIn-wall pest control systemExterior lightingRain guttersLandscaped yard with automatic sprinklers (front and rear) and rain sensorAlley accessSmall treesCommunity pool

Interior

Kitchen
Dishwasher (ENERGY STAR qualified)Gas range and gas ovenSelf-cleaning ovenRange hoodMicrowaveDisposalStainless steel appliances
Bedrooms
One main-level bedroom
Flooring
CarpetTileVinyl
Bathrooms
Two full bathroomsOne half bathroomDouble vanity(s)
Heating & cooling
Central heating (natural gas)Central cooling (electric)Zoned HVACENERGY STAR qualified heating and cooling equipmentCeiling fans
Interior features
High ceilingsOpen floor planKitchen islandPantryRecessed lightingCeiling fansDouble vanityMain-level primary bedroomWalk-in closetsWired for data and soundSmart thermostatHigh speed internetBlindsDouble pane, low-emissivity windowsWindow screens
Laundry & utility
Main-level laundry roomElectric dryer hookupTankless gas water heaterGas water heater (listed separately in equipment)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-11-08
    days on market $369,990 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-11-07
    days on market $369,990 Active 157 DOM
  3. 2026-11-06
    days on market $369,990 Active 156 DOM
  4. 2026-11-05
    days on market $369,990 Active 155 DOM
  5. 2026-11-04
    days on market $369,990 Active 154 DOM
  6. 2026-11-02
    days on market $369,990 Active 152 DOM
  7. 2026-11-01
    days on market $369,990 Active 151 DOM
  8. 2026-10-31
    days on market $369,990 Active 150 DOM
  9. 2026-10-30
    days on market $369,990 Active 149 DOM
  10. 2026-10-29
    days on market $369,990 Active 148 DOM
  11. 2026-10-28
    days on market $369,990 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-10-27
    pricedays on market $369,990 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-10-26
    days on market $389,990 Active 145 DOM
  14. 2026-10-25
    days on market $389,990 Active 144 DOM
  15. 2026-10-24
    days on market $389,990 Active 143 DOM
  16. 2026-10-23
    days on market $389,990 Active 142 DOM
  17. 2026-10-22
    days on market $389,990 Active 141 DOM
  18. 2026-10-21
    days on market $389,990 Active 140 DOM
  19. 2026-10-20
    days on market $389,990 Active 139 DOM
  20. 2026-10-19
    days on market $389,990 Active 138 DOM
  21. 2026-10-18
    days on market $389,990 Active 137 DOM
  22. 2026-10-17
    days on market $389,990 Active 136 DOM
  23. 2026-10-16
    days on market $389,990 Active 135 DOM
  24. 2026-10-15
    days on market $389,990 Active 134 DOM
  25. 2026-10-14
    days on market $389,990 Active 133 DOM
  26. 2026-10-13
    days on market $389,990 Active 132 DOM
  27. 2026-10-12
    days on market $389,990 Active 131 DOM
  28. 2026-10-11
    days on market $389,990 Active 130 DOM
  29. 2026-10-10
    pricedays on market $389,990 Active 129 DOM
  30. 2026-10-09
    days on market $404,990 Active 128 DOM
  31. 2026-10-09
    price $404,990 Active 127 DOM
  32. 2026-10-08
    days on market $399,990 Active 127 DOM
  33. 2026-10-07
    days on market $399,990 Active 126 DOM
  34. 2026-10-06
    days on market $399,990 Active 125 DOM
  35. 2026-10-05
    price $399,990 Active 124 DOM
  36. 2026-10-05
    days on market $404,990 Active 124 DOM
  37. 2026-10-04
    days on market $404,990 Active 123 DOM
  38. 2026-10-04
    days on market $404,990 Active 122 DOM
  39. 2026-10-02
    days on market $404,990 Active 121 DOM
  40. 2026-10-01
    days on market $404,990 Active 120 DOM
  41. 2026-09-30
    days on market $404,990 Active 119 DOM
  42. 2026-09-29
    days on market $404,990 Active 118 DOM
  43. 2026-09-28
    days on market $404,990 Active 117 DOM
  44. 2026-09-27
    days on market $404,990 Active 116 DOM
  45. 2026-09-25
    days on market $404,990 Active 114 DOM
  46. 2026-09-24
    days on market $404,990 Active 113 DOM
  47. 2026-09-23
    days on market $404,990 Active 112 DOM
  48. 2026-09-22
    days on market $404,990 Active 111 DOM
  49. 2026-09-21
    days on market $404,990 Active 110 DOM
  50. 2026-09-20
    days on market $404,990 Active 109 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,044
− Mortgage interest
−$20,725
− Property taxes
−$5,550
− Insurance
−$1,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,244
− Management
−$2,244
− HOA
−$720
− Depreciation
−$10,763
Taxable loss
−$16,051
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,852
After-tax cash flow
$-5,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This two-story home in Buda, TX, is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a well-designed floor plan with three bedrooms and two full baths. The home is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The highest-ROI updates to increase its value include painting the exterior and interior, landscaping improvements, and updating the kitchen and bathrooms.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
  • Resale Kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers ↑
  • Resale Bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathrooms and appeals to potential buyers ↑
D Composite school gradezoned avg 57/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Elm Grove El B+ TX #220/4,322 Nat'l #4,825/41,679 Middle Eric Dahlstrom Middle B- TX #256/1,662 Nat'l #2,564/14,009 High Moe And Gene Johnson H S D TX #509/1,632 Nat'l #5,677/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hays CISD
NCES district ID
4800010
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$70,570
Composite
34.78/100
National rank
#5118
State rank
#390 of 826 in TX
B Composite livability gradescore 70/100

Livability — Buda

Score
70/100
State rank
#339
US rank
#7407

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buda, TX
County
Hays County · 286,948 people
City population
48,319
Metro
Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
Population (ZIP)
48,319
Household income
$119,698
Rent vs Own
21.2% rent · 78.8% own
Severe rent burden
14% of renters

Population outlook (Hays County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,948 people
By 2030
336,923 · +17.4%
By 2040
441,894 · +54.0%
By 2050
553,462 · +92.9%
By 2075
838,261 · +192.1%
By 2100
1,063,658 · +270.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35%
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 20% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hays

2024 margin
Lean D (+5.7) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+7.7pp toward D · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: 5.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+5.7 2020: D+10.8 2016: R+0.9 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+2.0

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-3.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-07-14 Price Changed $425,990 Zillow
  • 2026-07-14 Price Changed $425,990 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-06-03 Listed $439,990 Unlock MLS
  • 2026-05-23 Listed $439,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…