165 Antioch Church Dr · Buda, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Cash flow +4.7/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.1/5.0
- 1% rule +0.8/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$404,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 165 Antioch Church Drive, Buda, Texas — a stunning new construction home built by M/I Homes. This 2-story home offers 2,103 square feet of thoughtfully designed living space, featuring 3 bedrooms, 1 full bathroom, and 1 half bathroom. Step inside to discover an open-concept living space that creates a seamless flow between gathering areas, ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The quality of design is evident throughout, with carefully selected finishes and a well-planned floorplan that maximizes comfort and functionality across both levels. Key Features: New construction by M/I Homes 2,103 square feet of living space 3 bedrooms 1 full bathroom and 1 half bathroom 2-story layout Open-concept living space Covered patio for outdoor enjoyment The owner's bedroom serves as a comfortable retreat with an en-suite full bathroom, providing a private space to unwind. The additional 2 bedrooms offer flexible space for family, guests, or a home office. The conveniently placed half bathroom ensures ease for daily routines and when hosting visitors. Outside, the covered patio extends your living space and provides a shaded area perfect for relaxing or gathering with friends and family. This home is situated in a welcoming neighborhood with convenient proximity to parks, making it easy to enjoy the outdoors and stay active.
Key facts
- Designer kitchen
- Ample windows
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $405k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-12k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $260k (35.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (42.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $235k (42.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#339 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Hays CISD (rural): math 35% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Elm Grove El (math 61% / reading 72%, grade B+, #220 of 4,322 statewide, top 5%, 706 students, 13% FRL); Eric Dahlstrom Middle (math 56% / reading 53%, grade B-, #256 of 1,662 statewide, top 16%, 902 students, 15% FRL); Jack C Hays H S (math 41% / reading 47%, grade F, #697 of 1,632 statewide, top 43%, 2,062 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools average 21% FRL vs 43% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 55% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+17 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hays CISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.8%/yr); 1513 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 68d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 5,270 units permitted in Hays County in 2024 (1,464 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hays County population projected at +93% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($369k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.58% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.32%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.61%
- DSCR
- 0.53
- GRM
- 14.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $424,168
- List price
- $404,990
- Delta
- -4.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175 International St | 0.29mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,224 (+1%) | 1mo | $401,990 | $181 | 79 |
| 376 Orleanian Dr | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,226 (+1%) | 2mo | $429,990 | $193 | 76 |
| 185 International St | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 2,028 (-8%) | 1mo | $418,490 | $206 | 73 |
| 188 Danbark Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.5 | 2,121 (-4%) | 2mo | $430,000 | $203 | 71 |
| 424 Burlington Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 | 2,028 (-8%) | 2mo | $381,390 | $188 | 70 |
| 503 Stonewood Ln | 0.37mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,099 (-4%) | 0mo | $410,000 | $195 | 68 |
| 389 Still Hollow Crk | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 2,100 (-4%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $181 | 66 |
| 210 Callaghan Loop | 0.36mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,038 (-7%) | 4mo | $484,990 | $238 | 63 |
| 194 Sugar Crk | 0.52mi | 3/3.0 | 2,392 (+9%) | 1mo | $449,990 | $188 | 58 |
| 179 Belwood Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (-15%) | 3mo | $399,000 | $213 | 49 |
| 703 Patriot Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,512 (+14%) | 3mo | $440,000 | $175 | 48 |
| 1665 Oyster Crk | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,870 (-15%) | 4mo | $399,990 | $214 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -38.9%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-136,324
- Equity at exit
- $60,385
- IRR
- -82.9%
- Equity multiple
- -1.00×
- Total profit
- $-227,283
- Equity at exit
- $35,016
Cash invested: $113,397 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 69 active · 28 under contract
- Months of supply
- 11.8 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $419,990 ($203/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 90 d
- This list price
- 35% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -4.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 78610
- Rents YoY
- -1.8%
- Active inventory
- 1513
- Price-to-rent
- 14.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,349 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,124
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$506 /mo · $6,075/yr
- Insurance
- −$169
- HOA
- −$60
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$493
- Net cashflow
- $-1,003
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-723 | -5% $-863 | +0% $-1,003 | +5% $-1,143 | +10% $-1,283 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-1,189 | -5% $-1,096 | +0% $-1,003 | +5% $-910 | +10% $-818 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-799 | -0.5pp $-900 | base $-1,003 | +0.5pp $-1,108 | +1.0pp $-1,215 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $101,248
- Closing costs
- $12,150
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 36 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200 Callahan Loop Buda, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2038 | $2,600 | $1.28 | 93d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 301 Bluff St Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2030 | $3,200 | $1.58 | 10d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 188 Danbark Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $2,450 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 188 Danbark Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2121 | $2,400 | $1.13 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 122 Sangaree Dr Buda, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2320 | $2,475 | $1.07 | 42d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 680 Middle Crk Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2177 | $2,200 | $1.01 | 139d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 197 Patriot Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $2,150 | $1.15 | 117d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 481 Bayou Bend Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1738 | $2,340 | $1.35 | 139d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 313 Summer Pointe Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2345 | $2,600 | $1.11 | 63d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 135 Lear Ave Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2270 | $2,400 | $1.06 | 42d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 299 Clear Springs Holw Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2101 | $2,350 | $1.12 | 24d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 2375 Garlic Creek Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1880 | $2,200 | $1.17 | 110d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 413 Sunbonnet Dr Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1804 | $2,995 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 100 Madisons Way Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1722 | $2,150 | $1.25 | 119d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 261 Mystic Holw Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1697 | $2,495 | $1.47 | 88d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 133 Calline Mayes Run Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1557 | $2,150 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 125 Kelly Ln Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,300 | $1.45 | 113d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 153 Carrington Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1533 | $2,200 | $1.44 | 60d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 342 Carolyns Way Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2480 | $2,400 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 149 Crizer Ct Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,000 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 130 Mystic Holw Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1530 | $2,300 | $1.50 | 139d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 100 Giancarlos Ln Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2238 | $1,895 | $0.85 | 10d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1178 Clark Brothers Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1650 | $2,100 | $1.27 | 119d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1098 Giberson Way Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,100 | $1.27 | 6d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1098 Giberson Way Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,175 | $1.32 | 67d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 199 Saffron Spgs Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2731 | $1,820 | $0.67 | 5d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 310 Wildhorse Crk Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $2,275 | $1.30 | 80d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 310 Wildhorse Crk Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1751 | $2,275 | $1.30 | 77d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 176 Flannery Ln Buda, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2759 | $2,975 | $1.08 | 112d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 799 Clear Springs Holw Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1870 | $2,250 | $1.20 | 83d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 108 Brockston Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1851 | $2,095 | $1.13 | 10d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 260 Tobin Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1800 | $2,200 | $1.22 | 108d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 185 Camden Cv Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,200 | $1.19 | 42d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 188 Brockston Dr Buda, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1868 | $2,195 | $1.18 | 42d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 509 Bonita Vista Dr Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,950 | $1.07 | 139d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 607 Prickley Pear Pass Buda, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2132 | $2,800 | $1.31 | 99d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Colony at Cole Springs communityQuarterly association fee of $180Community features include common grounds, community mailbox, playground, park, pool, street lights, sidewalks, trails/paths, and internet access
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage with inside entranceGarage faces frontGarage door openerCovered parking for 2 cars (garage) plus driveway parking (total 4 parking spaces)Concrete driveway
- Security
- Smoke detectorsCarbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities
- Public water (Municipal Utility District)Public sewer (Municipal Utility District)Electricity availableNatural gas availableCable availableFiber optic availableHigh speed internet availablePhone availableUnderground utilities
- Home design
- Two-story homeNew construction by M/I HomesFaces westSlab foundationComposition roofExterior finished with board-and-batten siding, brick, masonry and stone
- Construction
- Built in 2026 (builder source)Blown-in insulationBrick, masonry and stone accents
- Exterior features
- Private fenced backyard with wood privacy fencing and gateCovered side porchIn-wall pest control systemExterior lightingRain guttersLandscaped yard with automatic sprinklers (front and rear) and rain sensorAlley accessSmall treesCommunity pool
Interior
- Kitchen
- Dishwasher (ENERGY STAR qualified)Gas range and gas ovenSelf-cleaning ovenRange hoodMicrowaveDisposalStainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms
- One main-level bedroom
- Flooring
- CarpetTileVinyl
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsOne half bathroomDouble vanity(s)
- Heating & cooling
- Central heating (natural gas)Central cooling (electric)Zoned HVACENERGY STAR qualified heating and cooling equipmentCeiling fans
- Interior features
- High ceilingsOpen floor planKitchen islandPantryRecessed lightingCeiling fansDouble vanityMain-level primary bedroomWalk-in closetsWired for data and soundSmart thermostatHigh speed internetBlindsDouble pane, low-emissivity windowsWindow screens
- Laundry & utility
- Main-level laundry roomElectric dryer hookupTankless gas water heaterGas water heater (listed separately in equipment)
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $404,990 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $404,990 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $404,990 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-09-21days on market $404,990 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $404,990 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $404,990 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $404,990 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $404,990 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $404,990 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $404,990 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $404,990 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $404,990 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $404,990 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-09-11days on market $404,990 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $404,990 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $404,990 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-09-03days on market $404,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-31days on market $404,990 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $404,990 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $404,990 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $404,990 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-27pricedays on market $404,990 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $419,990 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $419,990 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $419,990 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $419,990 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $419,990 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $419,990 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $419,990 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $419,990 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $419,990 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $419,990 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $419,990 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $419,990 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $419,990 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $419,990 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $419,990 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $419,990 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $419,990 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $419,990 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $419,990 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-08-04pricedays on market $419,990 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $425,990 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $425,990 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $425,990 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-28days on market $425,990 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-26days on market $425,990 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $425,990 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $425,990 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $425,990 Active 49 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,686
- − Property taxes
- −$6,075
- − Insurance
- −$2,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,255
- − Management
- −$2,255
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$11,782
- Taxable loss
- −$19,609
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,706
- After-tax cash flow
- $-7,331/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This two-story home in Buda, TX, is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It offers a well-designed floor plan with three bedrooms and two full baths. The home is move-in ready with no visible repairs or maintenance needed. The highest-ROI updates to increase its value include painting the exterior and interior, landscaping improvements, and updating the kitchen and bathrooms.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior walls — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Modernizes the bathrooms and appeals to potential buyers ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hays CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4800010
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,570
- Composite
- 34.78/100
- National rank
- #5118
- State rank
- #390 of 826 in TX
Livability — Buda
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #7407
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buda, TX
- County
- Hays County · 286,948 people
- City population
- 48,319
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,319
- Household income
- $119,698
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14% of renters
Population outlook (Hays County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,948 people
- By 2030
- 336,923 · +17.4%
- By 2040
- 441,894 · +54.0%
- By 2050
- 553,462 · +92.9%
- By 2075
- 838,261 · +192.1%
- By 2100
- 1,063,658 · +270.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 17% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 35%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 20% Arabic 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hays
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.7) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: -2.0pp · 2024: 5.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.7 2020: D+10.8 2016: R+0.9 2012: R+10.4 2008: R+2.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.50%
- Current HPI
- 220.6824
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.80%
- Metro
- Austin-Round Rock-Georgetown, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-3.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-14 Price Changed $425,990 Zillow
- 2026-07-14 Price Changed $425,990 Unlock MLS
- 2026-06-03 Listed $439,990 Unlock MLS
- 2026-05-23 Listed $439,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…