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4310 47th St
C- Composite 51.12
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

4310 47th St · Lubbock, TX 79413
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,802 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1952 7,500 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

More house, less money!!! This 3 bedroom home is centrally located and perfect for your college students or anyone wanting a great location in the Tech/Medical district! Fresh paint inside and outside, large living areaS with multiple options for home office, game room, or just a cozy reading nook! This home is priced to move quick, so don't hesitate too long! And did I mention the most beautiful magnolia tree the front yard? A rare find in Lubbock, TX!!!

Key facts

  • Fresh paint
  • Centrally located
  • Front yard

Tags

CENTRALLY LOCATEDTECH MEDICAL DISTRICTFRESH PAINTLARGE LIVING AREASMAGNOLIA TREEFRONT YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding exterior; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1,802 above-grade
  • Exterior features: No notable exterior features listed; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: See remarks

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $170 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#37 in TX, #1,749 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Lubbock ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #481 of 826 in TX (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Maedgen El (math 37% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,268 of 4,322 statewide, top 55%, 323 students, 91% FRL); Hutchinson Middle (math 57% / reading 63%, grade B, #158 of 1,662 statewide, top 10%, 833 students, 49% FRL); Lubbock H S (math 45% / reading 52%, grade D, #560 of 1,632 statewide, top 35%, 1,839 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 65% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,219 units permitted in Lubbock County in 2024 (252 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lubbock County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
7.65%
Cash-on-cash
4.86%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.9%
Equity multiple
0.64×
Total profit
$-15,076
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-2.1%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,612
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79413

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
187
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,551 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$206 /mo · $2,469/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$326
Net cashflow
$170

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,335
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $255 -5% $213 +0% $170 +5% $128 +10% $85
Rent -10% $48 -5% $109 +0% $170 +5% $231 +10% $293
Rate -1.0pp $246 -0.5pp $208 base $170 +0.5pp $131 +1.0pp $92

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4310 42nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1754 $1,700 $0.97 45d 1 0.30mi
4315 41st St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1558 $1,450 $0.93 22d 1 0.32mi
4314 52nd St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1863 $1,400 $0.75 22d 1 0.33mi
4210 52nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1715 $1,575 $0.92 15d 1 0.35mi
4211 41st St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1960 $1,599 $0.82 45d 1 0.35mi
4602 50th St Lubbock, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1080 $1,368 $1.27 15d 9 0.39mi
4313 53rd St Unit B Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1368 $1,200 $0.88 45d 1 0.43mi
4619 43rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.0 1404 $1,500 $1.07 45d 1 0.47mi
3712 47th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1767 $1,400 $0.79 22d 1 0.49mi
4213 54th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1680 $1,550 $0.92 15d 1 0.50mi
3708 46th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 2378 $1,750 $0.74 15d 1 0.51mi
4708 43rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.5 1249 $1,350 $1.08 45d 1 0.53mi
4324 56th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 2014 $2,000 $0.99 45d 1 0.58mi
4803 43rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1412 $1,200 $0.85 22d 1 0.62mi
3612 44th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1675 $1,850 $1.10 45d 1 0.62mi
4815 43rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1282 $1,500 $1.17 22d 1 0.69mi
5018 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1245 $1,275 $1.02 15d 1 0.70mi
4819 44th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1412 $1,300 $0.92 45d 1 0.70mi
5202 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.0–1.5 1082 $1,022 $0.94 22d 1 0.72mi
5302 Kenosha Ave Unit 5330 Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,050 $0.81 45d 1 0.75mi
5302 Kenosha Ave Unit 5324 Kenosha Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1300 $950 $0.73 15d 1 0.75mi
5324 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1300 $950 $0.73 15d 1 0.75mi
3812 36th St Unit A Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1458 $1,500 $1.03 22d 1 0.76mi
5330 Kenosha Ave Lubbock, TX 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,050 $0.81 45d 1 0.77mi
4817 40th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,300 $1.04 15d 1 0.77mi
3712 37th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1672 $2,100 $1.26 45d 1 0.77mi
3505 46th St Lubbock, TX 2.0 2.0 1686 $1,550 $0.92 45d 1 0.78mi
4916 46th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,450 $1.05 15d 1 0.78mi
4926 48th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1354 $1,500 $1.11 22d 1 0.79mi
4606 35th St Lubbock, TX 4.0 2.0 1684 $1,800 $1.07 45d 1 0.81mi
3417 47th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1450 $1,550 $1.07 45d 1 0.82mi
5002 46th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1369 $1,450 $1.06 45d 1 0.83mi
4801 36th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1424 $1,275 $0.90 22d 1 0.86mi
3415 49th St Unit B Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1410 $1,350 $0.96 45d 1 0.86mi
4428 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 1.5 1685 $1,375 $0.82 45d 1 0.89mi
4430 33rd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1402 $1,100 $0.78 45d 1 0.90mi
4608 60th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1769 $1,650 $0.93 22d 1 0.91mi
5017 46th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1753 $1,600 $0.91 45d 1 0.93mi
4818 36th St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1285 $1,400 $1.09 22d 1 0.93mi
5011 52nd St Lubbock, TX 3.0 2.0 1292 $1,500 $1.16 22d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $150,000 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    remarks 464-char remark
  5. 2026-06-09
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,469 · $206/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,745 · $229/mo
Expected delta
+$276/yr (+$23/mo · 11.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,607
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,469
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,489
− Management
−$1,489
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$355
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$85
After-tax cash flow
$2,126/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lubbock ISD
NCES district ID
4828500
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$39,820
Composite
31.44/100
National rank
#5984
State rank
#481 of 826 in TX

Livability — Lubbock

Score
80/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#1749

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lubbock, TX
County
Lubbock County · 293,542 people
City population
283,030
Metro
Lubbock, TX
Population (ZIP)
23,343
Household income
$69,400
Rent vs Own
43.9% rent · 56.1% own
Severe rent burden
1211.0

Population outlook (Lubbock County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
345,960 people
By 2030
371,449 · +7.4%
By 2040
424,539 · +22.7%
By 2050
481,150 · +39.1%
By 2075
633,467 · +83.1%
By 2100
746,853 · +115.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 34% Two or more races 18% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 25%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lubbock

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.5) · D 29.7% · R 69.2% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-2.8pp toward R · 2008: -36.7pp · 2024: -39.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.5 2020: R+32.2 2016: R+38.4 2012: R+40.9 2008: R+36.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -145.52%
Current HPI
239.8854
Rent YoY
▲ 1.94%
Metro
Lubbock, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $150,000 LARMLS
  • 2006-10-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1985-06-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+1.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,469 · -2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…