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15 E Church St
B Composite 72.48
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.2/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0

$69,900

15 E Church St · Camilla, GA 31730
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 268 Days on market
Built 1940 0.29 ac lot $62/sqft · at area comps Est $71k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

An investor dream. Live in tenants. newly renovated bathroom. Agent owned. There are three properties for sell in neighborhood. Call agent for bundle price.

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • Built 1940
  • Listed 267 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#381 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mitchell County (rural): math 8% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #167 of 174 in GA (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Mitchell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $699 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Mitchell County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 268 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $61,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 268 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.55%
Cap rate
13.17%
Cash-on-cash
24.55%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$71,000
List price
$69,900
Delta
-1.55%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
30 Fry Pl 0.29mi 3/2.0 1,120 (0%) 11mo $56,000 $50 73
43 Sunset Cir 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-11%) 2mo $30,000 $30 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$22,617
Equity at exit
$23,860
10-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
4.08×
Total profit
$60,372
Equity at exit
$31,706

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31730

Home prices YoY
0.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,084 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $719/yr
Insurance
$29
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$228
Net cashflow
$334

Break-even live

Break-even rent $661
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 268 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 267 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 266 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 265 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 264 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $69,900 Active 262 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $69,900 Active 261 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $69,900 Active 259 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $69,900 Active 258 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $69,900 Active 257 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $69,900 Active 256 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $69,900 Active 253 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $69,900 Active 252 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $69,900 Active 251 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $69,900 Active 250 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $69,900 Active 249 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $69,900 Active 248 DOM
  18. 2026-03-03
    status Back On Market 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    An investor dream. Live in tenants. newly renovated bathroom. Agent owned. There are three properties for sell in neighborhood. Call agent for bundle price.

  19. 2026-03-02
    historical 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    An investor dream. Live in tenants. newly renovated bathroom. Agent owned. There are three properties for sell in neighborhood. Call agent for bundle price.

  20. 2025-09-23
    listed $69,900 New 156-char remark
    Show marketing remark (156 chars)

    An investor dream. Live in tenants. newly renovated bathroom. Agent owned. There are three properties for sell in neighborhood. Call agent for bundle price.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$719 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$719 · $60/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,003
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$719
− Insurance
−$1,147
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,040
− Management
−$1,040
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$3,108
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$746
After-tax cash flow
$3,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mitchell County
NCES district ID
1303690
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$36,119
Composite
7.87/100
National rank
#9927
State rank
#167 of 174 in GA

Livability — Camilla

Score
60/100
State rank
#381
US rank
#19244

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Camilla, GA
Population (ZIP)
8,337

Population outlook (Mitchell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,489 people
By 2030
19,310 · -5.8%
By 2040
16,971 · -17.2%
By 2050
14,616 · -28.7%
By 2075
9,435 · -54.0%
By 2100
5,424 · -73.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 59% White 29% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Serbian 1% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, United Kingdom
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mitchell

2024 margin
R (+16.3) · D 41.7% · R 58.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.3pp toward R · 2008: -4.1pp · 2024: -16.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.3 2020: R+10.5 2016: R+9.9 2012: R+0.9 2008: R+4.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.00%
Current HPI
201.7084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-03 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $69,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $719 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…