6 Laurel St · Clarence, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.6/15.0
- Schools +6.5/10.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bright, inviting, and exceptionally well cared for, this one-owner mobile home offers easy, modern living with an open-concept layout and great natural light throughout. The main living area is anchored by a cozy gas fireplace and finished with durable luxury vinyl flooring for a clean look and low maintenance. Purchased new in 2022, the home also features major mechanicals from 2021, offering efficiency and added peace of mind. Recent improvements include a brand-new awning and shed in 2025, adding both function and value. From top to bottom, the home reflects true pride of ownership and is completely move-in ready—an excellent option for anyone seeking comfort, simplicity, and thoug
Key facts
- Cozy gas fireplace
- Brand-new awning
- Brand-new shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Land lease amount: $721 per month
- HOA & community: Monthly association/land-lease fee
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story; Existing construction; Double wide mobile home (Clayton)
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Rectangular lot with 44 x 74 dimensions; Private road frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven and gas range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Bedroom on main level; Luxury vinyl flooring; One fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $329 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($985 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 1.3% in Clarence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#707 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Clarence Central School District (suburban): math 70% / reading 76% proficiency, ranked #94 of 590 in NY (top 16%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 85 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 10% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.67%
- DSCR
- 1.96
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $63,684
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- 2.07%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 136 Quarry Hill Ests | 0.20mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-5%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $72 | 81 |
| 182 Quarry Hill Ests | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (0%) | 10mo | $77,000 | $73 | 76 |
| — | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (0%) | 22mo | $60,000 | $57 | 71 |
| 110 Quarry Hl | 0.18mi | 2/1.5 | 980 (-7%) | 14mo | $12,500 | $13 | 66 |
| 181 Quarry Hl | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 | 980 (-7%) | 11mo | $38,900 | $40 | 64 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $10,418
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.98×
- Total profit
- $36,090
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14001
- Home prices YoY
- -7.1%
- Active inventory
- 85
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $985 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$207
- Net cashflow
- $329
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $374 | -5% $351 | +0% $329 | +5% $306 | +10% $284 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $251 | -5% $290 | +0% $329 | +5% $368 | +10% $407 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $361 | -0.5pp $345 | base $329 | +0.5pp $312 | +1.0pp $295 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Pending 805-char remark
-
2026-05-04$59,000 Active 805-char remark
-
2026-04-06historical
-
2026-03-02price $75,000
-
2026-02-03$82,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,816
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$945
- − Management
- −$945
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $3,094
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$743
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,202/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This well-maintained and move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with recent improvements, making it an excellent option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Clean the windows — Clean windows can improve natural light and make the home appear more inviting, increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance the curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Clean the windows — Clean windows can improve natural light and make the home appear more inviting, increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clarence Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607590
- Math proficiency
- 70% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 76% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,568
- Composite
- 64.85/100
- National rank
- #514
- State rank
- #94 of 590 in NY
Livability — Clarence
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #707
- US rank
- #13415
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,122
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -24.68%
- Current HPI
- 322.1897
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-20.7% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $65,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-05-20 Relisted — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-15 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-04 Listed $59,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-04-06 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $75,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-03 Listed $82,000 WNYREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…