26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #12 · San Juan Capistrano, CA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! Located in a highly sought-after rent-controlled, gated 55+ community, this well-maintained home offers 2 spacious bedrooms, 2 baths, a light-filled living room, a separate dining room, and a versatile bonus den with sliding glass doors that open to a large, shaded veranda with low-maintenance landscaping—perfect for relaxing and enjoying the coastal breezes. The beautifully remodeled kitchen features stunning cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, including a gas range with convection oven and air fryer, quartz countertops, and an open layout that enhances the home's flow. Thoughtful improvements include wood-look laminate flooring (2016–2017), garbage disposal, water heater, dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen, and reinforced pier jacks/foundation. Additional upgrades include full interior and exterior paint (2019), electrical meter box, new bedroom carpet and porch carpet (5/2026), a new roof and skylights (2020), New Furnace (2022), Kitchen remodel (2023). Inside laundry room with washer and dryer included. Bathrooms and laundry room offer a great opportunity for future updating to your taste. Residents enjoy fantastic community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and shuffleboard. Home is sold AS-IS and is a must see!
Key facts
- Gated community
- Large shaded veranda
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $399k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $887 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
- Recommended offer: $351k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.3% in San Juan Capistrano — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#114 in CA, #4,023 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
- Capistrano Unified (suburban): math 50% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #64 of 517 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $259k; list at $399k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.84%
- DSCR
- 1.48
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $380,997
- List price
- $399,000
- Delta
- 4.73%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #38 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (0%) | 6mo | $439,000 | $321 | 95 |
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #148 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (0%) | 7mo | $255,000 | $186 | 94 |
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #164 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 4mo | $360,000 | $250 | 88 |
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #99 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,416 (+4%) | 20mo | $450,000 | $318 | 78 |
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #56 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,472 (+8%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $221 | 77 |
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #214 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+5%) | 17mo | $325,000 | $226 | 77 |
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #20 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,512 (+10%) | 17mo | $435,000 | $288 | 68 |
| 32742 Alipaz #165 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-2%) | 3mo | $515,000 | $383 | 65 |
| 32742 Alipaz St #94 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 9mo | $650,000 | $484 | 55 |
| 32742 Alipaz St #73 | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-2%) | 17mo | $716,000 | $533 | 48 |
| 26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #187 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,566 (+14%) | 19mo | $535,000 | $342 | 48 |
| 33831 Camino Capistrano #20 | 0.52mi | 1/2.0 (-1) | 1,550 (+13%) | 9mo | $480,000 | $310 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $17,180
- Equity at exit
- $59,492
- IRR
- 17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.82×
- Total profit
- $202,982
- Equity at exit
- $34,498
Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92675
- Rents YoY
- 8.2%
- Active inventory
- 108
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,768 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,092
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
- Insurance
- −$166
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,001
- Net cashflow
- $887
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,750
- Closing costs
- $11,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33032 Driftwood Ct San Juan Capistrano, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1494 | $5,199 | $3.48 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 32951 Avenida del Rosal San Juan Capistrano, CA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $5,200 | $4.30 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 33655 Breakwater Dr Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1711 | $4,850 | $2.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 25251 Barque Way Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $6,000 | $3.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 781 | $3,495 | $4.47 | 15d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 26451 Camino De Vis San Juan Capistrano, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 843 | $3,805 | $4.51 | 2d | 6 | 0.89mi |
| 34101 Via California #39 San Juan Capistrano, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1642 | $4,500 | $2.74 | 2d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $5,100 | $3.39 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $5,395 | $3.58 | 8d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 765 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1497 | $4,995 | $3.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 34155 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1825 | $5,950 | $3.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 34155 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1825 | $5,800 | $3.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 876 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 934 | $4,400 | $4.71 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $5,200 | $3.45 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1506 | $8,000 | $5.31 | 8d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 33852 Copper Lantern St Unit E Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,400 | $3.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 25872 Vista Dr W Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1699 | $7,200 | $4.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 26305 Via California Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $4,475 | $2.98 | 8d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 25091 La Cresta Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $3,295 | $3.29 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 33212 Ocean Bright Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1334 | $4,400 | $3.30 | 4d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 33871 Copper Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $5,500 | $5.00 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 33871 Copper Lantern St Unit B Dana Point, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 903 | $4,000 | $4.43 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 33901 Copper Lantern St Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $4,700 | $4.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 34375 Via San Juan Unit A Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1750 | $3,300 | $1.89 | 18d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 33431 Nottingham Way Unit A Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $4,750 | $3.39 | 8d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 34421 Via Espinoza Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,800 | $3.45 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 33742 Silver Lantern St Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,795 | $2.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 24802 Sea Crest Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1748 | $5,200 | $2.97 | 5d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 33936 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $3,450 | $3.14 | 8d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 32951 Danapine Dana Point, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1837 | $7,800 | $4.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 34411 Via San Juan Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $4,000 | $3.20 | 25d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 34465 Via Espinoza Unit A Capistrano Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $3,700 | $2.64 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $5,500 | $3.67 | 21d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 33816 Silver Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $3,500 | $2.59 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4023 Calle Mayo Unit A San Clemente, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $6,990 | $4.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 32762 Pointe Sutton Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $3,871 | $3.16 | 3d | 5 | 1.31mi |
| 26882 Calle Monterey Capistrano Beach, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1591 | $6,400 | $4.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 34288 Camino El Molino Unit B Dana Point, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $3,700 | $2.93 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 34288 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $4,200 | $3.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 42 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $399,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $399,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2025-11-15$399,000 Active 1328-char remark
Show marketing remark (1328 chars)
Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! Located in a highly sought-after rent-controlled, gated 55+ community, this well-maintained home offers 2 spacious bedrooms, 2 baths, a light-filled living room, a separate dining room, and a versatile bonus den with sliding glass doors that open to a large, shaded veranda with low-maintenance landscaping—perfect for relaxing and enjoying the coastal breezes. The beautifully remodeled kitchen features stunning cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, including a gas range with convection oven and air fryer, quartz countertops, and an open layout that enhances the home's flow. Thoughtful improvements include wood-look laminate flooring (2016–2017), garbage disposal, water heater, dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen, and reinforced pier jacks/foundation. Additional upgrades include full interior and exterior paint (2019), electrical meter box, new bedroom carpet and porch carpet (5/2026), a new roof and skylights (2020), New Furnace (2022), Kitchen remodel (2023). Inside laundry room with washer and dryer included. Bathrooms and laundry room offer a great opportunity for future updating to your taste. Residents enjoy fantastic community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and shuffleboard. Home is sold AS-IS and is a must see!
-
2021-12-02soldstatus $259,000 Closed Sale 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!
-
2021-11-28status Pending Sale 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!
-
2021-11-06historical Active Under Contract 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!
-
2021-10-27$249,900 Active 918-char remark
Show marketing remark (918 chars)
Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!
-
2019-07-19soldstatus $185,000 Closed Sale
-
2019-07-17status Pending Sale
-
2019-06-07historical
-
2019-05-13status Active
-
2019-05-05historical
-
2019-04-30price $189,000
-
2018-11-08$205,000 Active
-
2011-07-15historical
-
2011-04-08price $90,000
-
2011-01-17$85,000 Active
-
2010-10-01historical
-
2010-08-20price $99,999
-
2010-06-29price $115,000
-
2010-04-16price $118,000
-
2010-02-16price $120,000 Active
-
2010-02-16status Active
-
2010-01-01historical
-
2009-11-01price $135,000
-
2009-08-08$150,000 Active
-
2008-12-21historical
-
2008-05-14$150,000
-
2006-09-26soldstatus $140,000
-
2006-07-26$155,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AO · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,215
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,350
- − Property taxes
- −$5,985
- − Insurance
- −$3,462
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,577
- − Management
- −$4,577
- − Depreciation
- −$11,607
- Taxable income
- $4,656
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,117
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,526/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Capistrano Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0607440
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $99,673
- Composite
- 56.56/100
- National rank
- #1147
- State rank
- #64 of 517 in CA
Livability — San Juan Capistrano
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #114
- US rank
- #4023
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Juan Capistrano, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 35,095
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,095
- Household income
- $129,457
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 648.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 29% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1003.11%
- Current HPI
- 410.383
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.20%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+157.4% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-15 Listed $399,000 CRMLS
- 2021-12-02 Sold (MLS) $259,000 CRMLS
- 2021-11-28 Pending — CRMLS
- 2021-11-06 Contingent — CRMLS
- 2021-10-27 Listed $249,900 CRMLS
- 2019-07-19 Sold (MLS) $185,000 CRMLS
- 2019-07-17 Pending — CRMLS
- 2019-06-07 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-05-13 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2019-05-05 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2019-04-30 Price Changed $189,000 CRMLS
- 2018-11-08 Listed $205,000 CRMLS
- 2011-07-15 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2011-04-08 Price Changed $90,000 CRMLS
- 2011-01-17 Listed $85,000 CRMLS
- 2010-10-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2010-08-20 Price Changed $99,999 CRMLS
- 2010-06-29 Price Changed $115,000 CRMLS
- 2010-04-16 Price Changed $118,000 CRMLS
- 2010-02-16 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2010-02-16 Price Changed $120,000 CRMLS
- 2010-01-01 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2009-11-01 Price Changed $135,000 CRMLS
- 2009-08-08 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2008-12-21 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2008-05-14 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
- 2006-09-26 Sold (MLS) $140,000 CRMLS
- 2006-07-26 Listed $155,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2025): $80 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…