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26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #12
C+ Composite 63.73
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +5.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$399,000

26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #12 · San Juan Capistrano, CA 92675
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,368 sqft · Manufactured · 215 Days on market
Built 1970 $292/sqft · at area comps Est $381k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! Located in a highly sought-after rent-controlled, gated 55+ community, this well-maintained home offers 2 spacious bedrooms, 2 baths, a light-filled living room, a separate dining room, and a versatile bonus den with sliding glass doors that open to a large, shaded veranda with low-maintenance landscaping—perfect for relaxing and enjoying the coastal breezes. The beautifully remodeled kitchen features stunning cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, including a gas range with convection oven and air fryer, quartz countertops, and an open layout that enhances the home's flow. Thoughtful improvements include wood-look laminate flooring (2016–2017), garbage disposal, water heater, dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen, and reinforced pier jacks/foundation. Additional upgrades include full interior and exterior paint (2019), electrical meter box, new bedroom carpet and porch carpet (5/2026), a new roof and skylights (2020), New Furnace (2022), Kitchen remodel (2023). Inside laundry room with washer and dryer included. Bathrooms and laundry room offer a great opportunity for future updating to your taste. Residents enjoy fantastic community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and shuffleboard. Home is sold AS-IS and is a must see!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Large shaded veranda
  • Remodeled kitchen

Tags

GATED COMMUNITYREMODELED KITCHENLARGE SHADED VERANDAWOOD LOOK LAMINATE FLOORINGNEW GAS LINESREINFORCED PIER JACKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $399k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $887 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $399k).
  • Recommended offer: $351k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 2.3% in San Juan Capistrano — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#114 in CA, #4,023 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: health & safety D+, cost of living F.
  • Capistrano Unified (suburban): math 50% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #64 of 517 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 108 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($129k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 215 days — a 12% lower offer ($351k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $259k; list at $399k implies a 54% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $122/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $351,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 215 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.33%
Cash-on-cash
10.84%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$380,997
List price
$399,000
Delta
4.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #38 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,368 (0%) 6mo $439,000 $321 95
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #148 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,368 (0%) 7mo $255,000 $186 94
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #164 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+5%) 4mo $360,000 $250 88
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #99 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+4%) 20mo $450,000 $318 78
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #56 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,472 (+8%) 12mo $325,000 $221 77
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #214 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (+5%) 17mo $325,000 $226 77
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #20 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,512 (+10%) 17mo $435,000 $288 68
32742 Alipaz #165 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-2%) 3mo $515,000 $383 65
32742 Alipaz St #94 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-2%) 9mo $650,000 $484 55
32742 Alipaz St #73 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,344 (-2%) 17mo $716,000 $533 48
26000 Avenida Aeropuerto #187 0.16mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,566 (+14%) 19mo $535,000 $342 48
33831 Camino Capistrano #20 0.52mi 1/2.0 (-1) 1,550 (+13%) 9mo $480,000 $310 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
3.8%
Equity multiple
1.15×
Total profit
$17,180
Equity at exit
$59,492
10-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$202,982
Equity at exit
$34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92675

Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
108
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,768 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,092
Tax est. 1.5%
$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
Insurance
$166
Flood insurance flood zone
−$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,001
Net cashflow
$887

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,645
Max offer price $399,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$99,750
Closing costs
$11,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
33032 Driftwood Ct San Juan Capistrano, CA 3.0 2.0 1494 $5,199 $3.48 14d 1 0.40mi
32951 Avenida del Rosal San Juan Capistrano, CA 3.0 1.5 1210 $5,200 $4.30 44d 1 0.41mi
33655 Breakwater Dr Dana Point, CA 3.0 3.0 1711 $4,850 $2.83 44d 1 0.53mi
25251 Barque Way Dana Point, CA 3.0 2.0 1715 $6,000 $3.50 44d 1 0.72mi
33852 Del Obispo St Dana Point, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 781 $3,495 $4.47 15d 1 0.75mi
26451 Camino De Vis San Juan Capistrano, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 843 $3,805 $4.51 2d 6 0.89mi
34101 Via California #39 San Juan Capistrano, CA 3.0 2.5 1642 $4,500 $2.74 2d 1 1.01mi
985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.5 1506 $5,100 $3.39 44d 1 1.09mi
985 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.5 1506 $5,395 $3.58 8d 1 1.09mi
765 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.0 1497 $4,995 $3.34 44d 1 1.10mi
34155 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1825 $5,950 $3.26 44d 1 1.11mi
34155 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1825 $5,800 $3.18 18d 1 1.11mi
876 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA 1.0 1.0 934 $4,400 $4.71 13d 1 1.11mi
769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.5 1506 $5,200 $3.45 44d 1 1.13mi
769 Doheny Way Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.5 1506 $8,000 $5.31 8d 1 1.13mi
33852 Copper Lantern St Unit E Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $3,400 $3.09 21d 1 1.18mi
25872 Vista Dr W Capistrano Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1699 $7,200 $4.24 44d 1 1.18mi
26305 Via California Capistrano Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1500 $4,475 $2.98 8d 1 1.19mi
25091 La Cresta Dr Dana Point, CA 2.0 1.0 1000 $3,295 $3.29 44d 1 1.19mi
33212 Ocean Bright Dana Point, CA 2.0 3.0 1334 $4,400 $3.30 4d 1 1.20mi
33871 Copper Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $5,500 $5.00 15d 1 1.22mi
33871 Copper Lantern St Unit B Dana Point, CA 1.0 1.0 903 $4,000 $4.43 15d 1 1.22mi
33901 Copper Lantern St Dana Point, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $4,700 $4.27 44d 1 1.24mi
34375 Via San Juan Unit A Dana Point, CA 3.0 2.5 1750 $3,300 $1.89 18d 1 1.25mi
33431 Nottingham Way Unit A Dana Point, CA 3.0 2.0 1400 $4,750 $3.39 8d 1 1.25mi
34421 Via Espinoza Unit A Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $3,800 $3.45 15d 1 1.26mi
33742 Silver Lantern St Dana Point, CA 2.0 1.0 960 $2,795 $2.91 44d 1 1.27mi
24802 Sea Crest Dr Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.5 1748 $5,200 $2.97 5d 1 1.27mi
33936 Alcazar Dr Dana Point, CA 2.0 1.5 1100 $3,450 $3.14 8d 1 1.27mi
32951 Danapine Dana Point, CA 3.0 2.5 1837 $7,800 $4.25 44d 1 1.28mi
34411 Via San Juan Unit B Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.5 1250 $4,000 $3.20 25d 1 1.29mi
34465 Via Espinoza Unit A Capistrano Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1400 $3,700 $2.64 44d 1 1.29mi
34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1500 $5,500 $3.67 44d 1 1.29mi
34516 Via Verde Capistrano Beach, CA 3.0 2.5 1500 $5,500 $3.67 21d 1 1.29mi
33816 Silver Lantern St Unit A Dana Point, CA 2.0 1.5 1350 $3,500 $2.59 15d 1 1.30mi
4023 Calle Mayo Unit A San Clemente, CA 2.0 2.0 1577 $6,990 $4.43 44d 1 1.31mi
32762 Pointe Sutton Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.5 1225 $3,871 $3.16 3d 5 1.31mi
26882 Calle Monterey Capistrano Beach, CA 3.0 2.0 1591 $6,400 $4.02 44d 1 1.32mi
34288 Camino El Molino Unit B Dana Point, CA 2.0 2.0 1264 $3,700 $2.93 44d 1 1.33mi
34288 Camino El Molino Capistrano Beach, CA 2.0 2.0 1264 $4,200 $3.32 44d 1 1.33mi

Listing history 42 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $399,000 Active 215 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $399,000 Active 214 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $399,000 Active 213 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $399,000 Active 212 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 210 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $399,000 Active 209 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $399,000 Active 206 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $399,000 Active 205 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $399,000 Active 204 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $399,000 Active 201 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $399,000 Active 200 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $399,000 Active 199 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $399,000 Active 198 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $399,000 Active 197 DOM
  15. 2025-11-15
    listed $399,000 Active 1328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1328 chars)

    Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! Located in a highly sought-after rent-controlled, gated 55+ community, this well-maintained home offers 2 spacious bedrooms, 2 baths, a light-filled living room, a separate dining room, and a versatile bonus den with sliding glass doors that open to a large, shaded veranda with low-maintenance landscaping—perfect for relaxing and enjoying the coastal breezes. The beautifully remodeled kitchen features stunning cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, including a gas range with convection oven and air fryer, quartz countertops, and an open layout that enhances the home's flow. Thoughtful improvements include wood-look laminate flooring (2016–2017), garbage disposal, water heater, dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen, and reinforced pier jacks/foundation. Additional upgrades include full interior and exterior paint (2019), electrical meter box, new bedroom carpet and porch carpet (5/2026), a new roof and skylights (2020), New Furnace (2022), Kitchen remodel (2023). Inside laundry room with washer and dryer included. Bathrooms and laundry room offer a great opportunity for future updating to your taste. Residents enjoy fantastic community amenities such as a clubhouse, pool, spa, and shuffleboard. Home is sold AS-IS and is a must see!

  16. 2021-12-02
    soldstatus $259,000 Closed Sale 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!

  17. 2021-11-28
    status Pending Sale 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!

  18. 2021-11-06
    historical Active Under Contract 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!

  19. 2021-10-27
    listed $249,900 Active 918-char remark
    Show marketing remark (918 chars)

    Wonderful Retirement Living in Beautiful San Juan Capistrano! 2 Spacious Bedrooms with 2 Full Baths, Living Room, Separate Dining Room, and a Bonus Den with sliding glass doors that open up to Large Veranda along the side with lots of shade and garden free landscaping. In 2016 and 2017 installed was New wood look laminate flooring, new faucets in kitchen and bathrooms, new garbage disposal, new water heater, new dishwasher, new gas lines to the kitchen as well as reinforced the pier jacks/foundation. In 2019, The whole home was painted inside and outside, new carpet was installed in the bedrooms. In 2020, A new Roof, replaced the skylights and a new electrical meter box to the house. The bathrooms can use some updating. Inside Laundry room with washer and dryer included! Rent controlled gated 55+ park is highly sought after! Clubhouse, community pool, spa, shuffle board. Home Sold AS IS and is a MUST SEE!

  20. 2019-07-19
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed Sale
  21. 2019-07-17
    status Pending Sale
  22. 2019-06-07
    historical
  23. 2019-05-13
    status Active
  24. 2019-05-05
    historical
  25. 2019-04-30
    price $189,000
  26. 2018-11-08
    listed $205,000 Active
  27. 2011-07-15
    historical
  28. 2011-04-08
    price $90,000
  29. 2011-01-17
    listed $85,000 Active
  30. 2010-10-01
    historical
  31. 2010-08-20
    price $99,999
  32. 2010-06-29
    price $115,000
  33. 2010-04-16
    price $118,000
  34. 2010-02-16
    price $120,000 Active
  35. 2010-02-16
    status Active
  36. 2010-01-01
    historical
  37. 2009-11-01
    price $135,000
  38. 2009-08-08
    listed $150,000 Active
  39. 2008-12-21
    historical
  40. 2008-05-14
    listed $150,000
  41. 2006-09-26
    soldstatus $140,000
  42. 2006-07-26
    listed $155,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone AO · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$57,215
− Mortgage interest
−$22,350
− Property taxes
−$5,985
− Insurance
−$3,462
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,577
− Management
−$4,577
− Depreciation
−$11,607
Taxable income
$4,656
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,117
After-tax cash flow
$9,526/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Capistrano Unified
NCES district ID
0607440
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
72% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$99,673
Composite
56.56/100
National rank
#1147
State rank
#64 of 517 in CA

Livability — San Juan Capistrano

Score
75/100
State rank
#114
US rank
#4023

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Juan Capistrano, CA
County
Orange County · 3,096,323 people
City population
35,095
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
35,095
Household income
$129,457
Rent vs Own
19.0% rent · 81.0% own
Severe rent burden
648.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
3,477,456 people
By 2030
3,613,117 · +3.9%
By 2040
3,835,945 · +10.3%
By 2050
3,968,736 · +14.1%
By 2075
4,097,053 · +17.8%
By 2100
3,903,633 · +12.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 37% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 32%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
67% English-only · Spanish 29% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
2008→2024 swing
+5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1003.11%
Current HPI
410.383
Rent YoY
▲ 8.20%
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+157.4% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-15 Listed $399,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-12-02 Sold (MLS) $259,000 CRMLS
  • 2021-11-28 Pending CRMLS
  • 2021-11-06 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2021-10-27 Listed $249,900 CRMLS
  • 2019-07-19 Sold (MLS) $185,000 CRMLS
  • 2019-07-17 Pending CRMLS
  • 2019-06-07 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2019-05-13 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2019-05-05 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2019-04-30 Price Changed $189,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-11-08 Listed $205,000 CRMLS
  • 2011-07-15 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2011-04-08 Price Changed $90,000 CRMLS
  • 2011-01-17 Listed $85,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-10-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2010-08-20 Price Changed $99,999 CRMLS
  • 2010-06-29 Price Changed $115,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-04-16 Price Changed $118,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-02-16 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2010-02-16 Price Changed $120,000 CRMLS
  • 2010-01-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2009-11-01 Price Changed $135,000 CRMLS
  • 2009-08-08 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-12-21 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-05-14 Listed $150,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-09-26 Sold (MLS) $140,000 CRMLS
  • 2006-07-26 Listed $155,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

+0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $80 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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