CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
30 EMS B18 Lane Ln
D Composite 40.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.2/30.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

30 EMS B18 Lane Ln · Barbee, IN 46562
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 676 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 174 Days on market
Built 1953 4,356 sqft lot $235/sqft · 36% below area Est $247k · 36% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enjoy the peace and calm of Kuhn Lake with the ability to get to all-sport Big Barbee Lake within a couple of minutes once you leave your pier. The aluminum pier has been removed for the season but will remain with the property. Sit on the open front deck for a view of the water or get to your shared pier space just a short walk from the property. This 3 season cottage has been used through the years to host extended family comfortably with the furniture that will remain with the sale. The gas wall heater is only four years old and warms the space very comfortably. The owner has loved and cared for this home for a number of years and is willing to sit down with the new owner to walk them through any questions they have concerning starting the water pump and installing the pier for the season. They want the new owners to love it as much as they have.

Key facts

  • Aluminum pier
  • Big barbee lake
  • Shared pier space

Tags

BIG BARBEE LAKEALUMINUM PIEROPEN FRONT DECKSHARED PIER SPACE3 SEASON COTTAGEGAS WALL HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-90 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $143k (10.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $109k (31.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (31.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 1.3% in Barbee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wawasee Community School Corporation (town): math 32% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #179 of 301 in IN (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 261 units permitted in Kosciusko County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kosciusko County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 174 days — a 12% lower offer ($140k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,465 (31.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 174 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.69%
Cap rate
5.61%
Cash-on-cash
-2.43%
DSCR
0.89
GRM
12.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$247,066
List price
$159,000
Delta
-35.64%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
30 EMS B18 Lane Ln 0.00mi 1/1.0 676 (0%) 0mo $120,000 $178 100
51 Ems B15 Ln 0.07mi 2/1.0 (+1) 650 (-4%) 8mo $260,000 $400 78
84 Ems B11 Ln 0.20mi 2/1.0 (+1) 625 (-8%) 21mo $295,000 $472 56
79 Ems B4 LN Ln 0.62mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-1%) 11mo $280,000 $417 56
23 EMS B1e Ln 0.55mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-1%) 23mo $311,000 $463 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.4%
Equity multiple
0.29×
Total profit
$-31,577
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
-13.7%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-35,180
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 46562

Home prices YoY
-4.3%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
12.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $658/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$230
Net cashflow
$-90

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,209
Max offer price $143,080
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $0 -5% $-45 +0% $-90 +5% $-135 +10% $-180
Rent -10% $-177 -5% $-133 +0% $-90 +5% $-47 +10% $-4
Rate -1.0pp $-10 -0.5pp $-50 base $-90 +0.5pp $-131 +1.0pp $-173

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Enjoy the peace and calm of Kuhn Lake with the ability to get to all-sport Big Barbee Lake within a couple of minutes once you leave your pier. The aluminum pier has been removed for the season but will remain with the property. Sit on the open front deck for a view of the water or get to your shared pier space just a short walk from the property. This 3 season cottage has been used through the years to host extended family comfortably with the furniture that will remain with the sale. The gas wall heater is only four years old and warms the space very comfortably. The owner has loved and cared for this home for a number of years and is willing to sit down with the new owner to walk them through any questions they have concerning starting the water pump and installing the pier for the season. They want the new owners to love it as much as they have.

  2. 2026-03-30
    price $159,000 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Enjoy the peace and calm of Kuhn Lake with the ability to get to all-sport Big Barbee Lake within a couple of minutes once you leave your pier. The aluminum pier has been removed for the season but will remain with the property. Sit on the open front deck for a view of the water or get to your shared pier space just a short walk from the property. This 3 season cottage has been used through the years to host extended family comfortably with the furniture that will remain with the sale. The gas wall heater is only four years old and warms the space very comfortably. The owner has loved and cared for this home for a number of years and is willing to sit down with the new owner to walk them through any questions they have concerning starting the water pump and installing the pier for the season. They want the new owners to love it as much as they have.

  3. 2025-11-18
    listed $164,000 Active 861-char remark
    Show marketing remark (861 chars)

    Enjoy the peace and calm of Kuhn Lake with the ability to get to all-sport Big Barbee Lake within a couple of minutes once you leave your pier. The aluminum pier has been removed for the season but will remain with the property. Sit on the open front deck for a view of the water or get to your shared pier space just a short walk from the property. This 3 season cottage has been used through the years to host extended family comfortably with the furniture that will remain with the sale. The gas wall heater is only four years old and warms the space very comfortably. The owner has loved and cared for this home for a number of years and is willing to sit down with the new owner to walk them through any questions they have concerning starting the water pump and installing the pier for the season. They want the new owners to love it as much as they have.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$658 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,005 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$347/yr (+$29/mo · 52.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,136
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$658
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,051
− Management
−$1,051
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$3,951
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$948
After-tax cash flow
$-133/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wawasee Community School Corporation
NCES district ID
1805550
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$52,439
Composite
30.97/100
National rank
#6100
State rank
#179 of 301 in IN

Livability — Barbee

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
5,118

Population outlook (Kosciusko County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,747 people
By 2030
82,878 · +1.4%
By 2040
84,270 · +3.1%
By 2050
84,191 · +3.0%
By 2075
82,918 · +1.4%
By 2100
74,808 · -8.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Scandinavian 5% Italian 3% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Kosciusko

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.3) · D 22.9% · R 75.2% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-14.9pp toward R · 2008: -37.3pp · 2024: -52.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.3 2020: R+50.7 2016: R+55.1 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+37.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.65%
Current HPI
306.91
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-03-30 Price Changed $159,000 IRMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Listed $164,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

+5.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $658 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…