16132 Badalona Dr · Burnt Store Marina, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- D
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.58%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $544 – $1,084
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +12.1/30.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- DSCR +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Like new home. Freshly painted with new carpet 2232 sq. ft. home * 3 bedroom plus den or 4 bedrooms * City water and sewer Upgraded kitchen including granite countertops, high quality wood cabinets, upgraded appliances * new range included with purchasetchen, nook, bathrooms * Upgraded master bath * Lanai * Separate living room and family room * Within 1 mile of marina and golf course.
Key facts
- 9,439 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 2006
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-66 ($-792/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $288k (3.9% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $262k (12.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $262k (12.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 4.8% in Burnt Store Marina — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#354 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Deep Creek Elementary School (math 64% / reading 68%, grade B+, #492 of 2,144 statewide, top 23%, 835 students, 47% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1481 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $111k; list at $300k implies a 170% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.94%
- DSCR
- 0.96
- GRM
- 9.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $414,766
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16132 Badalona Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 2,218 (0%) | 1mo | $299,900 | $135 | 99 |
| 16456 Cape Horn Blvd | 0.70mi | 3/3.0 | 2,217 (-0%) | 1mo | $695,000 | $313 | 62 |
| 25164 Calusa Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 2,068 (-7%) | 6mo | $455,000 | $220 | 55 |
| 24339 Matias Ln | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 2,102 (-5%) | 10mo | $290,000 | $138 | 54 |
| 16320 Quesa Dr | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,888 (-15%) | 5mo | $390,000 | $207 | 53 |
| 16551 San Edmundo Rd | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 2,047 (-8%) | 6mo | $570,000 | $278 | 50 |
| 16232 Juarez Cir | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,020 (-9%) | 6mo | $339,999 | $168 | 40 |
| 25245 Delgado Dr | 0.53mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,904 (-14%) | 8mo | $349,900 | $184 | 40 |
| 25270 Roland Ln | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 2,418 (+9%) | 13mo | $419,000 | $173 | 40 |
| 16098 Overdale Ct | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,009 (-9%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $162 | 37 |
| 25204 Calusa Dr | 0.63mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,471 (+11%) | 9mo | $462,600 | $187 | 35 |
| 16308 Cayman Ln | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,424 (+9%) | 18mo | $663,200 | $274 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-52,724
- Equity at exit
- $44,716
- IRR
- -9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-51,014
- Equity at exit
- $25,930
Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1481
- Price-to-rent
- 9.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,616 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$415 /mo · $4,981/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$549
- Net cashflow
- $-66
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $104 | -5% $19 | +0% $-66 | +5% $-151 | +10% $-236 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-273 | -5% $-169 | +0% $-66 | +5% $37 | +10% $141 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $85 | -0.5pp $10 | base $-66 | +0.5pp $-144 | +1.0pp $-223 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,975
- Closing costs
- $8,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16107 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 16077 Badalona Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1508 | $1,895 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 25214 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 25222 Cadiz Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1828 | $2,295 | $1.26 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 25186 Alicante Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1717 | $2,095 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 16229 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1726 | $2,749 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 24378 Belize Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2251 | $6,750 | $3.00 | 22d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 25377 Doredo Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2092 | $2,300 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 16195 Maya Cir Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2077 | $2,495 | $1.20 | 14d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 25904 Prada Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1950 | $2,111 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 14040 Heritage Landing Blvd #113 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1438 | $6,500 | $4.52 | 22d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 14267 Heritage Landing Blvd #1222 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $4,200 | $2.68 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 14271 Heritage Landing Blvd #1527 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $2,800 | $1.97 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 14897 Cherry Blossom Way Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2046 | $9,000 | $4.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 14224 Heritage Landing Blvd #921 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $3,400 | $2.17 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 14241 Heritage Landing Blvd #1821 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $6,000 | $3.82 | 22d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 14231 Heritage Landing Blvd Unit 1928 Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1596 | $6,000 | $3.76 | 22d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 17314 Cape Horn Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2216 | $2,800 | $1.26 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewer
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-07$299,900 Active
-
2012-02-29soldstatus $111,000
-
2012-02-24soldstatus $111,000 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Like new home. Freshly painted with new carpet 2232 sq. ft. home * 3 bedroom plus den or 4 bedrooms * City water and sewer Upgraded kitchen including granite countertops, high quality wood cabinets, upgraded appliances * new range included with purchasetchen, nook, bathrooms * Upgraded master bath * Lanai * Separate living room and family room * Within 1 mile of marina and golf course.
-
2011-11-09$114,900 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Like new home. Freshly painted with new carpet 2232 sq. ft. home * 3 bedroom plus den or 4 bedrooms * City water and sewer Upgraded kitchen including granite countertops, high quality wood cabinets, upgraded appliances * new range included with purchasetchen, nook, bathrooms * Upgraded master bath * Lanai * Separate living room and family room * Within 1 mile of marina and golf course.
-
2006-05-14historical
-
2006-02-21$349,900
-
2004-01-27soldstatus $79,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,981 · $415/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,981 · $415/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone D · 58% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,393
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,799
- − Property taxes
- −$4,981
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,511
- − Management
- −$2,511
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$8,724
- Taxable loss
- −$5,873
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,410
- After-tax cash flow
- $618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Burnt Store Marina
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #354
- US rank
- #6145
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 217,388
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 226.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+276.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Listed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-29 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
- 2012-02-24 Sold (MLS) $111,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-11-09 Listed $114,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-14 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-02-21 Listed $349,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-27 Sold (Public Records) $79,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.3%/yrLatest (2025): $4,981 · -3.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…