213 Laurel St · Northern Cambria, PA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.1/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.
Key facts
- Oil forced heat
- Two-story home
- Public septic
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#991 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Northern Cambria SD (town): math 32% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #358 of 539 in PA (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
- Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $25k; list at $50k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 42.58%
- DSCR
- 2.89
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,356
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -23.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1786 Empire Ave | 0.23mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,090 (+1%) | 2mo | $69,900 | $64 | 80 |
| 414 Juniper St | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,192 (+11%) | 18mo | $15,000 | $13 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $37,353
- Equity at exit
- $25,858
- IRR
- 43.8%
- Equity multiple
- 7.43×
- Total profit
- $89,959
- Equity at exit
- $42,703
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15714
- Home prices YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 16
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $907/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$227
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $469 | -5% $455 | +0% $441 | +5% $427 | +10% $413 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $356 | -5% $398 | +0% $441 | +5% $484 | +10% $527 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $466 | -0.5pp $454 | base $441 | +0.5pp $428 | +1.0pp $415 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $50,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 209 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $50,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $50,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 193 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $50,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.
-
2026-03-03price $55,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.
-
2026-01-28price $65,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.
-
2025-12-23price $70,000 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.
-
2025-11-20$75,000 Active 161-char remark
Show marketing remark (161 chars)
This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.
-
2004-09-24soldstatus $25,000 20-char remark
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
nice large level lot
-
2004-09-24soldstatus $25,000
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
nice large level lot
-
2004-08-05$25,000 20-char remark
Show marketing remark (20 chars)
nice large level lot
-
1996-09-01soldstatus $18,500
-
1979-09-01soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $907 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $907 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$907
- − Insurance
- −$916
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,039
- − Management
- −$1,039
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,835
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,160
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,134/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Northern Cambria SD
- NCES district ID
- 4217610
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,142
- Composite
- 33.87/100
- National rank
- #5350
- State rank
- #358 of 539 in PA
Livability — Northern Cambria
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #991
- US rank
- #10925
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northern Cambria, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,215
Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 122,754 people
- By 2030
- 115,827 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 101,309 · -17.5%
- By 2050
- 88,379 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 65,237 · -46.9%
- By 2100
- 46,909 · -61.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (97%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 97% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Polish 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cambria
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.17%
- Current HPI
- 88.2969
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-03 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $65,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-12-23 Price Changed $70,000 West Penn MLS
- 2025-11-20 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-24 Sold (MLS) $25,000 AHARMLS
- 2004-08-05 Listed $25,000 AHARMLS
- 1996-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
- 1979-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $907 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…