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213 Laurel St
A- Composite 83.82
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$50,000

213 Laurel St · Northern Cambria, PA 15714
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,075 sqft · SingleFamily · 211 Days on market
Built 1910 8,276 sqft lot $47/sqft · 24% below area Est $65k · 23% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.

Key facts

  • Oil forced heat
  • Two-story home
  • Public septic

Tags

TWO-STORY HOMEOIL FORCED HEATPUBLIC WATERPUBLIC SEPTICCLOSE TO ALL TOWN AMENITIES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#991 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Northern Cambria SD (town): math 32% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #358 of 539 in PA (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 16 active listings in the ZIP; 64 units permitted in Cambria County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($346 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.2% local appreciation)).
  • Cambria County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (33%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $50k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $44,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.17%
Cap rate
18.21%
Cash-on-cash
42.58%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$65,356
List price
$50,000
Delta
-23.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1786 Empire Ave 0.23mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,090 (+1%) 2mo $69,900 $64 80
414 Juniper St 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,192 (+11%) 18mo $15,000 $13 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.17% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
45.1%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$37,353
Equity at exit
$25,858
10-year hold
IRR
43.8%
Equity multiple
7.43×
Total profit
$89,959
Equity at exit
$42,703

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15714

Home prices YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
16
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,083 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $907/yr
Insurance
$21
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$227
Net cashflow
$441

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 54%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $469 -5% $455 +0% $441 +5% $427 +10% $413
Rent -10% $356 -5% $398 +0% $441 +5% $484 +10% $527
Rate -1.0pp $466 -0.5pp $454 base $441 +0.5pp $428 +1.0pp $415

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $50,000 Active 211 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 209 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 208 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 207 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 206 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 204 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 203 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 200 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 199 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 198 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 197 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 194 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $50,000 Active 193 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $50,000 Active 192 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $50,000 Active 191 DOM
  16. 2026-05-06
    price $50,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.

  17. 2026-03-03
    price $55,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.

  18. 2026-01-28
    price $65,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.

  19. 2025-12-23
    price $70,000 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.

  20. 2025-11-20
    listed $75,000 Active 161-char remark
    Show marketing remark (161 chars)

    This 3-Bedroom, 1 Bath Two-Story Home is located in Northern Cambria Borough, with Oil Forced Heat, Public Water and Public Septic. Close to All Town Amenities.

  21. 2004-09-24
    soldstatus $25,000 20-char remark
    Show marketing remark (20 chars)

    nice large level lot

  22. 2004-09-24
    soldstatus $25,000
    Show marketing remark (20 chars)

    nice large level lot

  23. 2004-08-05
    listed $25,000 20-char remark
    Show marketing remark (20 chars)

    nice large level lot

  24. 1996-09-01
    soldstatus $18,500
  25. 1979-09-01
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$907 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$907 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥92°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,993
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$907
− Insurance
−$916
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,039
− Management
−$1,039
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$4,835
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,160
After-tax cash flow
$4,134/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern Cambria SD
NCES district ID
4217610
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$44,142
Composite
33.87/100
National rank
#5350
State rank
#358 of 539 in PA

Livability — Northern Cambria

Score
67/100
State rank
#991
US rank
#10925

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Northern Cambria, PA
Population (ZIP)
5,215

Population outlook (Cambria County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
122,754 people
By 2030
115,827 · -5.6%
By 2040
101,309 · -17.5%
By 2050
88,379 · -28.0%
By 2075
65,237 · -46.9%
By 2100
46,909 · -61.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (97%)
Race & ethnicity
White 97% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Polish 3% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
95% English-only · German/W. Germanic 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cambria

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.8% · R 69.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+37.3 2016: R+37.8 2012: R+17.8 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.17%
Current HPI
88.2969
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $50,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $55,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-01-28 Price Changed $65,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-12-23 Price Changed $70,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2025-11-20 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2004-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2004-09-24 Sold (MLS) $25,000 AHARMLS
  • 2004-08-05 Listed $25,000 AHARMLS
  • 1996-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $18,500 Public Records
  • 1979-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $907 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…