14256 Star Cactus Ave · Horizon City, TX 79928

$216,800

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,067 sqft · SingleFamily · 29 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition 6,325 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +13.0/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• DSCR +3.9/10.0
• 1% rule +3.7/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +3.2/5.0
• Schools +1.5/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

The Katy floorplan offers the perfect combination of space, privacy, and comfort. With a layout designed to keep daily life simple and functional, this home is ideal for families, couples, or first-time buyers looking for an affordable and efficient design.

Key facts

• 6,325 sq ft lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 2026

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Single family residence
• Construction: Built as new construction
• Exterior features: Walled backyard; Shingle roof; Stucco exterior

Interior

• Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave
• Flooring: Tile; Carpet
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Refrigerated cooling
• Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $217k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-13 ($-160/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $215k (0.9% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $188k (13.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $188k (13.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#619 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
• Clint ISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #792 of 826 in TX (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Zoned schools: Ricardo Estrada Middle (math 15% / reading 16%, grade F, #1,556 of 1,662 statewide, top 94%, 518 students, 91% FRL); Horizon H S (math 14% / reading 26%, grade F, #1,397 of 1,632 statewide, top 87%, 1,677 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 88% FRL vs 59% district-wide (29 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 2088 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,196 units permitted in El Paso County in 2024 (143 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• El Paso County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($214k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $187,967 (13.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.87% ✗
• Cap rate: 6.22%
• Cash-on-cash: -0.26%
• DSCR: 0.99
• GRM: 9.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -16.8%
• Equity multiple: 0.41×
• Total profit: $-36,083
• Equity at exit: $32,326

10-year hold

• IRR: -8.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.46×
• Total profit: $-32,939
• Equity at exit: $18,745

Cash invested: $60,704 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 79928

• Home prices YoY: -16.9%
• Rents YoY: 2.9%
• Active inventory: 2088
• Price-to-rent: 9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,880 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,137
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$271 /mo · $3,252/yr
• Insurance: −$90
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$395
• Net cashflow: $-13

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,897

Max offer price $214,873

Occupancy floor 96%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $137	-5% $62	+0% $-13	+5% $-88	+10% $-163
Rent	-10% $-162	-5% $-88	+0% $-13	+5% $61	+10% $135
Rate	-1.0pp $96	-0.5pp $42	base $-13	+0.5pp $-69	+1.0pp $-127

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $54,200
• Closing costs: $6,504
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 7 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
14361 Star Cactus Ave Horizon City, TX	3.0	2.0	1170	$1,600	$1.37	11d	1	0.01mi
14333 Paraiso Dr El Paso, TX	3.0	2.0	1224	$2,000	$1.63	3d	1	0.13mi
14269 Escalera Dr El Paso, TX	3.0	2.0	1269	$1,850	$1.46	3d	1	0.40mi
14608 Adonis Blue Ct El Paso, TX	3.0	2.5	1350	$1,650	$1.22	11d	1	0.51mi
14565 Hendrik Dr Unit B El Paso, TX	2.0	1.0	970	$900	$0.93	3d	1	1.04mi
14624 Achim Dr El Paso, TX	3.0	2.0	1422	$1,500	$1.05	11d	1	1.15mi
656 Orchid Dr Horizon City, TX	3.0	2.0	1092	$1,350	$1.24	24d	1	1.25mi

Listing history 14 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $216,800 Active 29 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $216,800 Active 28 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $216,800 Active 27 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $216,800 Active 26 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $216,800 Active 24 DOM
6. 2026-06-10
   days on market $216,800 Active 21 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $216,800 Active 20 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $216,800 Active 19 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $216,800 Active 18 DOM
10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $216,800 Active 14 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $216,800 Active 13 DOM
12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $216,800 Active 12 DOM
13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $216,800 Active 11 DOM
14. 2026-05-20
    listed $216,800 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $22,556
• − Mortgage interest: −$12,144
• − Property taxes: −$3,252
• − Insurance: −$1,084
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,804
• − Management: −$1,804
• − Depreciation: −$6,307
• Taxable loss: −$3,840
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$922
• After-tax cash flow: $762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This single-family home is in good condition with a modern floor plan and well-maintained exterior. It offers a good balance of space and privacy, making it ideal for families or first-time buyers. Potential value-adding updates include painting, landscaping, kitchen appliance upgrades, smart home features, and HVAC improvements.

Value-add opportunities

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value.
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters.
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters.
• Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting more buyers and renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
• Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can increase curb appeal and property value. ↑
• Resale Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase convenience and appeal to tech-savvy buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Upgrading the HVAC system — A more efficient HVAC system can improve comfort and reduce energy costs, attracting more buyers and renters. ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Clint ISD
• NCES district ID: 4814430
• Math proficiency: 14% ▼ -32.00%
• Reading proficiency: 22% ▼ -15.00%
• Median HH income: $37,490
• Composite: 15.03/100
• National rank: #9356
• State rank: #792 of 826 in TX

Livability — Horizon City

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #619
• US rank: #11815

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Horizon City, TX
• County: El Paso County · 761,266 people
• City population: 86,599
• Metro: El Paso, TX
• Population (ZIP): 86,599
• Household income: $76,643
• Rent vs Own: 13.4% rent · 86.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 838.0

Population outlook (El Paso County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 897,899 people
• By 2030: 922,694 · +2.8%
• By 2040: 960,492 · +7.0%
• By 2050: 982,919 · +9.5%
• By 2075: 997,266 · +11.1%
• By 2100: 900,630 · +0.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 89% Two or more races 39% White 7% Black 2% Native American 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 84%
• Foreign-born: 23% · Canada
• Languages at home: 25% English-only · Spanish 74% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · El Paso

• 2024 margin: D (+15.1) · D 57.0% · R 41.8% · Other 1.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.4pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 15.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+35.1 2016: D+43.2 2012: D+32.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -40.72%
• Current HPI: 200.6454
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.93%
• Metro: El Paso, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-05-20 Listed $216,800 GEPARMLS