522 Merle St · Bismarck, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.4/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
$84,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Extra parking
- Plenty of storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Living area recorded as 1,224 (assessor); Lot size approximately 0.263 acres (dimensions 107.25 x 107.25); No pool
- Financial info: Lease not considered
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
- Security: No security features provided
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; Private ownership; One-story home; Corner lot location
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built area recorded as 1,224 (above grade finished area)
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch
Interior
- Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: No flooring details provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No basement; Level lot (yard is level)
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry or utility room details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#583 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Bismarck R-V (rural): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #292 of 324 in MO (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Bismarck R-V Elem. (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 227 students, 94% FRL); Bismarck R-V High (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 277 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 58% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.83%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.68×
- Total profit
- $63,671
- Equity at exit
- $76,485
- IRR
- 29.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.31×
- Total profit
- $173,755
- Equity at exit
- $164,942
Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63624
- Home prices YoY
- 23.8%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,029 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$445
- Tax from tax record
- −$59 /mo · $705/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$216
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,225
- Closing costs
- $2,547
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $84,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-29$84,900 Active
-
2022-01-21soldstatus
-
2017-06-02soldstatus Closed 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2017-04-27price $25,200 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2017-04-27status Pending 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2017-04-18status Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2017-04-12status Pending 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2017-03-27price $27,000 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2017-02-24$28,800 Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!
-
2016-05-20price $49,900
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2016-04-26price $54,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $705 · $59/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $824 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- +$118/yr (+$10/mo · 16.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,354
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,756
- − Property taxes
- −$705
- − Insurance
- −$424
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$988
- − Management
- −$988
- − Depreciation
- −$2,470
- Taxable income
- $2,022
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$485
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,802/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bismarck R-V
- NCES district ID
- 2905130
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,135
- Composite
- 20.36/100
- National rank
- #8602
- State rank
- #292 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bismarck
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #583
- US rank
- #20759
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bismarck, MO
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,507
Population outlook (St. Francois County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,683 people
- By 2030
- 69,574 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 70,665 · +2.9%
- By 2050
- 70,708 · +2.9%
- By 2075
- 67,917 · -1.1%
- By 2100
- 56,563 · -17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Francois
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.8% · R 75.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -46.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -51.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+51.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 61.65%
- Current HPI
- 320.8335
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+54.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $84,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-01-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2017-06-02 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-27 Price Changed $25,200 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-27 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-18 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-04-12 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-03-27 Price Changed $27,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2017-02-24 Listed $28,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-20 Price Changed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-26 Price Changed $54,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+3.0%/yrLatest (2025): $705 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…