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522 Merle St
B Composite 72.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.4/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.1/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0

$84,900

522 Merle St · Bismarck, MO 63624
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,224 sqft · Other public records · 20 Days on market
Built 1940 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Extra parking
  • Plenty of storage

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHDETACHED GARAGEEXTRA PARKINGPLENTY OF STORAGE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential — Single Family Residence; Living area recorded as 1,224 (assessor); Lot size approximately 0.263 acres (dimensions 107.25 x 107.25); No pool
  • Financial info: Lease not considered
  • HOA & community: No HOA information provided

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2-car garage
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Private ownership; One-story home; Corner lot location
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built area recorded as 1,224 (above grade finished area)
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: No basement; Level lot (yard is level)
  • Laundry & utility: No specific laundry or utility room details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $84k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#583 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Bismarck R-V (rural): math 18% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #292 of 324 in MO (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Bismarck R-V Elem. (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #850 of 1,115 statewide, top 78%, 227 students, 94% FRL); Bismarck R-V High (math 12% / reading 32%, grade F, #462 of 521 statewide, top 90%, 277 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 58% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in St. Francois County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($587 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $83,626 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.21%
Cap rate
10.16%
Cash-on-cash
13.83%
DSCR
1.62
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
3.68×
Total profit
$63,671
Equity at exit
$76,485
10-year hold
IRR
29.7%
Equity multiple
8.31×
Total profit
$173,755
Equity at exit
$164,942

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63624

Home prices YoY
23.8%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,029 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$59 /mo · $705/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$216
Net cashflow
$274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $683
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,900 Active 20 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,900 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,900 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,900 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,900 Active 15 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $84,900 Active 14 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,900 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $84,900 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $84,900 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $84,900 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $84,900 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $84,900 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,900 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,900 Active 2 DOM
  15. 2026-05-29
    listed $84,900 Active
  16. 2022-01-21
    soldstatus
  17. 2017-06-02
    soldstatus Closed 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  18. 2017-04-27
    price $25,200 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  19. 2017-04-27
    status Pending 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  20. 2017-04-18
    status Active 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  21. 2017-04-12
    status Pending 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  22. 2017-03-27
    price $27,000 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  23. 2017-02-24
    listed $28,800 Active 369-char remark
    Show marketing remark (369 chars)

    Adorable home with country kitchen, formal dining room AND HUGE GARAGE! Central heat & air, good garden spot, in well-kept area, Bismarck School District, situated on a nice level corner lot. Bungalow style home with vinyl siding and nice relaxing covered front porch. This would make a fantastic Rental Investment property. Call to schedule your appointment today!

  24. 2016-05-20
    price $49,900
  25. 2016-04-26
    price $54,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$705 · $59/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$824 · $69/mo
Expected delta
+$118/yr (+$10/mo · 16.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,354
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$705
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$988
− Management
−$988
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$2,022
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$485
After-tax cash flow
$2,802/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bismarck R-V
NCES district ID
2905130
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$37,135
Composite
20.36/100
National rank
#8602
State rank
#292 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bismarck

Score
58/100
State rank
#583
US rank
#20759

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bismarck, MO
Population (ZIP)
3,507

Population outlook (St. Francois County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,683 people
By 2030
69,574 · +1.3%
By 2040
70,665 · +2.9%
By 2050
70,708 · +2.9%
By 2075
67,917 · -1.1%
By 2100
56,563 · -17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Native American 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 5% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
99% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Francois

2024 margin
Solid R (+51.4) · D 23.8% · R 75.2%
2008→2024 swing
-46.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.6pp · 2024: -51.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+51.4 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+45.4 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 61.65%
Current HPI
320.8335
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+54.6% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $84,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2017-06-02 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-27 Price Changed $25,200 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-27 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-18 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-04-12 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-03-27 Price Changed $27,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-02-24 Listed $28,800 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-20 Price Changed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-26 Price Changed $54,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $705 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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