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3715 NW Fairwood Ct
B- Composite 65.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

3715 NW Fairwood Ct · Lincoln, NE 68521
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · Manufactured · 91 Days on market
Built 2016 Good condition $49/sqft · 34% above area Est $45k · 34% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome home!! Very well maintained, affordable living in desirable Contempo park. Very spacious, open concept. Tall ceilings, new AC in 2020, kitchen appliances stay, including the gas stove. Huge primary bedroom with large full bath and great walk in closet! 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath complete the package.

Key facts

  • Open concept
  • Gas stove
  • Walk in closet

Tags

OPEN CONCEPTNEW ACKITCHEN APPLIANCES STAYGAS STOVEWALK IN CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $60k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $861 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $55k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.5% vs local median 3.0% in Lincoln — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#5 in NE, #545 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
  • Lincoln Public Schools (urban): math 50% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #59 of 111 in NE (top 53%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 366 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,940 units permitted in Lancaster County in 2024 (895 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lancaster County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $54,509 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.69%
Cap rate
23.54%
Cash-on-cash
61.61%
DSCR
3.74
GRM
3.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$44,817
List price
$59,900
Delta
33.65%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3709 NW Ebony Ct 0.04mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 1mo $57,500 $47 97
3601 NW Magnolia Ct 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 10mo $56,000 $46 88
3601 NW Orange Ct 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 11mo $28,000 $23 84
3804 NW Gum Ct 0.05mi 3/3.0 1,184 (-3%) 8mo $56,000 $47 82
3719 NW Fairwood Ct 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 21mo $53,000 $44 82
3604 NW Lime Ct 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,216 (0%) 18mo $57,500 $47 81
635 W Fairfield St 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-12%) 2mo $42,000 $39 74
3616 NW Magnolia Ct 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,050 (-14%) 3mo $42,000 $40 72
416 West Fairfield St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-12%) 4mo $42,000 $39 71
3619 NW Quincy Ct #184 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,069 (-12%) 9mo $59,000 $55 64
639 W Fairfield St #283 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,064 (-12%) 24mo $55,000 $52 55
3600 NW Nutwood Ct 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,036 (-15%) 23mo $55,000 $53 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
61.7%
Equity multiple
3.79×
Total profit
$46,864
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
66.6%
Equity multiple
8.08×
Total profit
$118,673
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68521

Home prices YoY
-34.1%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
366
Price-to-rent
3.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,614 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $898/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$339
Net cashflow
$861

Break-even live

Break-even rent $524
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $902 -5% $882 +0% $861 +5% $840 +10% $820
Rent -10% $734 -5% $797 +0% $861 +5% $925 +10% $989
Rate -1.0pp $891 -0.5pp $876 base $861 +0.5pp $846 +1.0pp $830

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4441 N 1st St Lincoln, NE 3.0 1.0–2.0 853 $1,780 $2.09 14d 39 0.42mi
2900 N 1st St Lincoln, NE 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1061 $1,395 $1.31 44d 3 0.55mi
North Pointe Villas Lincoln, NE 3.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $2,266 $2.22 14d 25 0.58mi
2801 NW 1st St Lincoln, NE 3.0 2.0 1152 $1,349 $1.17 44d 3 0.63mi
2700 N 1st St #2 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 897 $1,095 $1.22 22d 1 0.70mi
4730 Innovation Dr Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0–2.5 873 $1,800 $2.06 14d 1 0.75mi
535 W Saunders Ave Unit 3 Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 889 $945 $1.06 44d 1 0.87mi
2636 N 4th St Unit 2636 Lincoln, NE 3.0 2.0 1060 $1,595 $1.50 44d 1 0.89mi
2635 N 5th St Unit 2635 Lincoln, NE 3.0 2.0 1060 $1,595 $1.50 44d 1 0.90mi
830 Judson St Lincoln, NE 3.0 1.0 816 $1,700 $2.08 44d 1 0.92mi
4420 N 7th St Lincoln, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 881 $1,092 $1.24 14d 17 0.97mi
2521 N 9th St Lincoln, NE 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 700 $999 $1.43 14d 4 1.11mi
5265 NW 12th St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0–2.0 932 $1,895 $2.03 14d 15 1.12mi
1151 Elba Ave Lincoln, NE 3.0 1.5 1443 $1,695 $1.17 44d 1 1.16mi
3201 N 12th St Lincoln, NE 3.0 1.0 928 $1,250 $1.35 14d 1 1.21mi
1205 Adams St Lincoln, NE 2.0 1.0 875 $1,350 $1.54 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 91 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,900 Active 86 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,900 Active 83 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 82 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,900 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 73 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,900 Active 72 DOM
  15. 2026-03-18
    listed $59,900 New 326-char remark
    Show marketing remark (326 chars)

    Welcome home!! Very well maintained, affordable living in desirable Contempo park. Very spacious, open concept. Tall ceilings, new AC in 2020, kitchen appliances stay, including the gas stove. Huge primary bedroom with large full bath and great walk in closet! 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath complete the package.

  16. 2024-08-01
    soldstatus $59,900 Sold 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Welcome home!! Very well maintained, affordable living in desirable Contempo park. Very spacious, open concept. Tall ceilings, new AC in 2020, kitchen appliances stay, including the gas stove. Huge primary bedroom with large full bath and great walk in closet! 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath complete the package.

  17. 2024-07-12
    status Pending 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Welcome home!! Very well maintained, affordable living in desirable Contempo park. Very spacious, open concept. Tall ceilings, new AC in 2020, kitchen appliances stay, including the gas stove. Huge primary bedroom with large full bath and great walk in closet! 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath complete the package.

  18. 2024-06-26
    listed $59,900 New 328-char remark
    Show marketing remark (328 chars)

    Welcome home!! Very well maintained, affordable living in desirable Contempo park. Very spacious, open concept. Tall ceilings, new AC in 2020, kitchen appliances stay, including the gas stove. Huge primary bedroom with large full bath and great walk in closet! 2 additional bedrooms and another full bath complete the package.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,367
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$898
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,549
− Management
−$1,549
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$9,972
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,393
After-tax cash flow
$7,939/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained mobile home in Contempo Park is ready for a fresh coat of paint and new carpet to enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves comfort and value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lincoln Public Schools
NCES district ID
3172840
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$50,273
Composite
44.05/100
National rank
#2880
State rank
#59 of 111 in NE

Livability — Lincoln

Score
85/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#545

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A- Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lincoln, NE
County
Lancaster County · 291,509 people
City population
291,509
Metro
Lincoln, NE
Population (ZIP)
37,050
Household income
$67,483
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
1500.0

Population outlook (Lancaster County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
352,806 people
By 2030
377,899 · +7.1%
By 2040
428,582 · +21.5%
By 2050
483,103 · +36.9%
By 2075
632,390 · +79.2%
By 2100
759,513 · +115.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 8% Two or more races 7% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Arab 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Vietnam, Canada, United Kingdom
Languages at home
78% English-only · Spanish 9% Vietnamese 6% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lancaster

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.1% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-0.7pp no change · 2008: 5.0pp · 2024: 4.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+4.3 2020: D+7.8 2016: D+0.1 2012: R+1.0 2008: D+5.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -124.30%
Current HPI
239.8394
Rent YoY
▲ 4.04%
Metro
Lincoln, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $59,900 GPRMLS
  • 2024-08-01 Sold (MLS) $59,900 GPRMLS
  • 2024-07-12 Pending GPRMLS
  • 2024-06-26 Listed $59,900 GPRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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