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263 Jefferson St 5-Plex
B Composite 73.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$469,900

263 Jefferson St · Hartford, CT 06106
15 bd · 5.5 ba · 3,500 sqft · MultiFamily · 16 Days on market
Built 1895 0.50 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 5 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

ATTENTION INVESTORS, THIS PROPERTY COMPRISES TWO DISTINCT HOUSES UNDER A SINGLE DEED. .. offering flexibility and potential for various investment strategies. Introducing an exceptional income-generating opportunity. Two buildings on one lot. A total of 5-units boasting a robust $7,000 in monthly gross income. Tenants handle their own utility payments, with the exception of 6 rooming beds. Don't miss out on this exclusive opportunity-schedule your private tour today to explore its full potential!

Key facts

  • Two distinct houses
  • 5-unit building
  • 0.5 acre lot

Tags

5-UNIT BUILDINGTWO DISTINCT HOUSES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5 × 3-bed/1.1-bath units multifamily listed at $470k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($67k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($11k rent vs $470k).
  • Recommended offer: $463k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
  • Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 62 active listings in the ZIP; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $11,135/mo this rent would consume 289% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 3400% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (1.4% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.4% appreciation + 2.4% rent growth), your $132k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($463k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $462,851 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.37%
Cap rate
20.46%
Cash-on-cash
50.61%
DSCR
3.25
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.38% appreciation · 2.37% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
53.2%
Equity multiple
3.77×
Total profit
$364,067
Equity at exit
$169,661
10-year hold
IRR
54.1%
Equity multiple
7.41×
Total profit
$843,502
Equity at exit
$232,793

Cash invested: $131,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06106

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
2.4%
Active inventory
62
Price-to-rent
17.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$11,135 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,464
Tax est. 1.5%
$587 /mo · $7,048/yr
Insurance
$196
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,338
Net cashflow
$5,549

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,111
Max offer price $469,900
Occupancy floor 45%

5-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (5 units) $11,135

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$117,475
Closing costs
$14,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2024-06-03
    status Under Contract
  2. 2024-06-03
    status Active
  3. 2024-05-20
    historical
  4. 2024-05-02
    status Under Contract
  5. 2024-04-16
    listed $469,900 Active
  6. 2022-12-31
    historical
  7. 2022-06-06
    listed $439,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$133,620
− Mortgage interest
−$26,322
− Property taxes
−$7,048
− Insurance
−$2,350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$10,690
− Management
−$10,690
− Depreciation
−$13,670
Taxable income
$62,851
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$15,084
After-tax cash flow
$51,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartford School District
NCES district ID
0901920
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$30,521
Composite
13.54/100
National rank
#9514
State rank
#150 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hartford

Score
76/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#3553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartford, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
121,162
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
36,322
Household income
$46,304
Rent vs Own
76.7% rent · 23.3% own
Severe rent burden
3400.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 60% Two or more races 25% Black 18% White 15% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 42% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Russian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 47% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.38%
Current HPI
314.0899
Rent YoY
▲ 2.37%
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+6.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2024-06-03 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2024-06-03 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2024-05-20 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2024-05-02 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2024-04-16 Listed $469,900 Smart MLS
  • 2022-12-31 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2022-06-06 Listed $439,999 Smart MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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