1008 Main St · Berlin, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in the heart of Berlin, close to schools and restaurants, awaits this 4 bedroom 2 bath home! First floor consisting of living room, dining room, mudroom, laundry and a full bath! Enjoy your morning time on the back deck with a fenced in yard perfect for the fur-babies. Low taxes, new energy efficient gas furnace, metal roof, windows, updated kitchen are just some of the perks of this home.
Key facts
- Fenced yard
- Parking in the back
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story home
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof; Has basement (unfinished)
- Exterior features: Deck; Patio; Rectangular lot; City street frontage; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans; Wall air-conditioning units
- Interior features: High-speed internet
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry located on the main level; Unfinished basement (utility/storage potential)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $151 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#607 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Berlin Brothersvalley SD (rural): math 42% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #200 of 539 in PA (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 26 active listings in the ZIP; 78 units permitted in Somerset County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Somerset County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $76k; list at $135k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.78%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,032
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Cumberland St | 0.24mi | 3/0.5 | 1,852 (+4%) | 10mo | $235,000 | $127 | 72 |
| 130 Cumberland St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,544 (-14%) | 8mo | $77,250 | $50 | 59 |
| 1311 Main St | 0.43mi | 3/2.5 | 1,628 (-9%) | 1mo | $216,000 | $133 | 58 |
| 701 Diamond St | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 | 1,872 (+5%) | 17mo | $140,000 | $75 | 54 |
| 510 Washington St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-12%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $48 | 47 |
| 1509 Main St | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,867 (+4%) | 14mo | $210,000 | $112 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-12,301
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,514
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15530
- Home prices YoY
- -24.7%
- Active inventory
- 26
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,269 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$89 /mo · $1,064/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$267
- Net cashflow
- $151
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-05-13status Pending
-
2026-05-09$134,900 Active
-
2026-04-26historical Expired 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Located in the heart of Berlin, close to schools and restaurants, awaits this 4 bedroom 2 bath home! First floor consisting of living room, dining room, mudroom, laundry and a full bath! Enjoy your morning time on the back deck with a fenced in yard perfect for the fur-babies. Low taxes, new energy efficient gas furnace, metal roof, windows, updated kitchen are just some of the perks of this home.
-
2026-03-06price $144,500
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Located in the heart of Berlin, close to schools and restaurants, awaits this 4 bedroom 2 bath home! First floor consisting of living room, dining room, mudroom, laundry and a full bath! Enjoy your morning time on the back deck with a fenced in yard perfect for the fur-babies. Low taxes, new energy efficient gas furnace, metal roof, windows, updated kitchen are just some of the perks of this home.
-
2026-03-06price $144,500 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Located in the heart of Berlin, close to schools and restaurants, awaits this 4 bedroom 2 bath home! First floor consisting of living room, dining room, mudroom, laundry and a full bath! Enjoy your morning time on the back deck with a fenced in yard perfect for the fur-babies. Low taxes, new energy efficient gas furnace, metal roof, windows, updated kitchen are just some of the perks of this home.
-
2026-01-05$149,900 Active
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Located in the heart of Berlin, close to schools and restaurants, awaits this 4 bedroom 2 bath home! First floor consisting of living room, dining room, mudroom, laundry and a full bath! Enjoy your morning time on the back deck with a fenced in yard perfect for the fur-babies. Low taxes, new energy efficient gas furnace, metal roof, windows, updated kitchen are just some of the perks of this home.
-
2026-01-05$149,900 Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Located in the heart of Berlin, close to schools and restaurants, awaits this 4 bedroom 2 bath home! First floor consisting of living room, dining room, mudroom, laundry and a full bath! Enjoy your morning time on the back deck with a fenced in yard perfect for the fur-babies. Low taxes, new energy efficient gas furnace, metal roof, windows, updated kitchen are just some of the perks of this home.
-
2025-04-15price $162,900
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2025-03-20price $184,000
-
2025-03-11$189,000 Active
-
2022-10-31price $155,000
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2022-10-31price $155,000
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2022-10-31price $160,000
-
2022-09-13price $170,000
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2022-09-01$170,000 Active
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2022-09-01$180,000 Active
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2015-03-21historical
-
2014-03-21$95,000
-
2011-01-07soldstatus $75,500
-
2011-01-07soldstatus $75,500
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2010-03-24$75,500
-
2010-03-23$75,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,064 · $89/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,598 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- +$534/yr (+$44/mo · 50.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$1,064
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,219
- − Management
- −$1,219
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$423
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$102
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Berlin Brothersvalley SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203420
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,678
- Composite
- 41.71/100
- National rank
- #3410
- State rank
- #200 of 539 in PA
Livability — Berlin
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #607
- US rank
- #5857
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Berlin, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,187
Population outlook (Somerset County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,318 people
- By 2030
- 68,555 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 62,447 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 56,437 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 44,453 · -37.7%
- By 2100
- 32,408 · -54.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Somerset
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.2) · D 21.0% · R 78.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -32.2pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -57.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.2 2020: R+56.3 2016: R+55.9 2012: R+42.9 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.40%
- Current HPI
- 159.9314
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+78.7% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Pending — CSMLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $134,900 CSMLS
- 2026-04-26 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $144,500 CSMLS
- 2026-03-06 Price Changed $144,500 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $149,900 CSMLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $149,900 West Penn MLS
- 2025-04-15 Price Changed $162,900 CSMLS
- 2025-03-20 Price Changed $184,000 CSMLS
- 2025-03-11 Listed $189,000 CSMLS
- 2022-10-31 Price Changed $155,000 CSMLS
- 2022-10-31 Price Changed $155,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-10-31 Price Changed $160,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-09-13 Price Changed $170,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-09-01 Listed $180,000 West Penn MLS
- 2022-09-01 Listed $170,000 CSMLS
- 2015-03-21 Delisted — West Penn MLS
- 2014-03-21 Listed $95,000 West Penn MLS
- 2011-01-07 Sold (MLS) $75,500 West Penn MLS
- 2011-01-07 Sold (MLS) $75,500 CSMLS
- 2010-03-24 Listed $75,500 West Penn MLS
- 2010-03-23 Listed $75,500 CSMLS
Property tax history
+2.1%/yrLatest (2026): $1,064 · +7.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…