405 4th Ave · Olean, NY 14760

$49,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1900 6,500 sqft lot $45/sqft · 58% below area

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Schools +3.5/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this charming 1.75-story property offering a warm, functional layout and plenty of flexible living space. The main floor features a spacious mudroom, an inviting flow between living areas, and a bonus room off the kitchen that would make an excellent home office, play room, or potential third bedroom. Upstairs, you’ll find two comfortable bedrooms and a full bath. Laundry is conveniently located in the basement, providing additional storage potential as well. Outside, enjoy off-street parking, a storage shed for extra convenience, and a generously sized yard with room to relax, garden, or entertain.

Key facts

• Off street parking
• Bonus room
• Storage shed

Tags

• MUDROOM
• BONUS ROOM
• HOME OFFICE
• OFF STREET PARKING
• STORAGE SHED
• GENEROUSLY SIZED YARD

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
• Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Shingle roof
• Construction: See remarks for construction materials
• Exterior features: Dirt driveway; Rectangular lot (approx. 50 x 130)

Interior

• Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven
• Bedrooms: Convertible bedroom
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
• Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Convertible bedroom; Partial basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
• Cap rate 17.9% vs local median 8.0% in Olean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Olean City School District (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #511 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 141 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $30k; list at $50k implies a 66% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.24% ✓
• Cap rate: 17.90%
• Cash-on-cash: 41.45%
• DSCR: 2.84
• GRM: 3.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $119,452
• List price: $49,900
• Delta: -58.23%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
417 4th Ave	0.03mi	1/1.0 (-1)	1,099 (-0%)	9mo	$75,000	$68	86
714 Front St	0.10mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,056 (-4%)	3mo	$112,000	$106	81
509 3rd Ave	0.14mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,172 (+6%)	22mo	$56,000	$48	57
269 Hamilton Ave	0.41mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,128 (+2%)	19mo	$107,000	$95	56
105 Fulton St	0.71mi	2/1.0	1,084 (-2%)	14mo	$115,000	$106	53
213 Madison Ave	0.58mi	2/1.0	1,178 (+7%)	14mo	$120,000	$102	49
1014 N Union St	0.66mi	2/1.0	1,224 (+11%)	3mo	$30,000	$25	48
526 Queen St	0.74mi	2/1.0	1,176 (+7%)	15mo	$138,000	$117	41
817 N 4th St	0.65mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,044 (-5%)	16mo	$59,900	$57	38
314 Van Campen Ave	0.51mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,213 (+10%)	18mo	$96,000	$79	35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 38.1%
• Equity multiple: 2.62×
• Total profit: $22,704
• Equity at exit: $7,440

10-year hold

• IRR: 44.6%
• Equity multiple: 5.26×
• Total profit: $59,556
• Equity at exit: $4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14760

• Home prices YoY: -7.7%
• Active inventory: 141
• Price-to-rent: 3.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,115 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax from tax record: −$116 /mo · $1,391/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$234
• Net cashflow: $483

Break-even live

Break-even rent $504

Max offer price $49,900

Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,475
• Closing costs: $1,497
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 4 events

1. 2026-05-14
   listed $49,900 Active 623-char remark
2. 2014-04-30
   soldstatus $30,000
3. 2009-11-12
   soldstatus $25,000
4. 2003-12-22
   soldstatus $17,651

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,391 · $116/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,391 · $116/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,383
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,795
• − Property taxes: −$1,391
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,071
• − Management: −$1,071
• − Depreciation: −$1,452
• Taxable income: $5,354
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,285
• After-tax cash flow: $4,507/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Olean City School District
• NCES district ID: 3621720
• Math proficiency: 40% ▼ -10.00%
• Reading proficiency: 43% ▼ -3.00%
• Median HH income: $40,365
• Composite: 34.81/100
• National rank: #5104
• State rank: #511 of 590 in NY

Livability — Olean

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #353
• US rank: #5930

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Olean, NY
• City population: 17,272
• Population (ZIP): 17,272

Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 71,623 people
• By 2030: 67,751 · -5.4%
• By 2040: 59,488 · -16.9%
• By 2050: 51,601 · -28.0%
• By 2075: 35,025 · -51.1%
• By 2100: 21,243 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -19.85%
• Current HPI: 237.327
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+182.7% since first listed

5 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-19 Pending — UNYREIS
• 2026-05-14 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
• 2014-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
• 2009-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
• 2003-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $17,651 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,391 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.