233 E Gallatin St · Adairville, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just on the outskirts of Adairville. Sitting on a 1 +/- acre lot, offering 1,340 +/- square feet of comfortable living space, this property is the perfect starter home for anyone looking for peace and convenience. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors in part of the home, a spacious layout, and a quiet setting just minutes from town. Priced at $134,900, this home is priced to sell and full of potential for a first-time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Don’t miss your chance to make this cozy home your own—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 1 acre lot
- Built 1930
- Listed 126 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($656/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $110k (18.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $110k (18.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#353 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Logan County (rural): math 35% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #32 of 165 in KY (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 30 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.7%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $993 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $135k implies a 382% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.74%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $156,993
- List price
- $134,900
- Delta
- -14.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 15 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.74% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,121
- Equity at exit
- $34,279
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $12,465
- Equity at exit
- $37,479
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 42202
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 8
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $607/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $134,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $134,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $134,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $134,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $134,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $134,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $134,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $134,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $134,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $134,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $134,900 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $134,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $134,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $134,900 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-04-29status Active 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just on the outskirts of Adairville. Sitting on a 1 +/- acre lot, offering 1,340 +/- square feet of comfortable living space, this property is the perfect starter home for anyone looking for peace and convenience. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors in part of the home, a spacious layout, and a quiet setting just minutes from town. Priced at $134,900, this home is priced to sell and full of potential for a first-time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Don’t miss your chance to make this cozy home your own—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-16historical Active Under Contract 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just on the outskirts of Adairville. Sitting on a 1 +/- acre lot, offering 1,340 +/- square feet of comfortable living space, this property is the perfect starter home for anyone looking for peace and convenience. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors in part of the home, a spacious layout, and a quiet setting just minutes from town. Priced at $134,900, this home is priced to sell and full of potential for a first-time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Don’t miss your chance to make this cozy home your own—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-03-31price $134,900 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just on the outskirts of Adairville. Sitting on a 1 +/- acre lot, offering 1,340 +/- square feet of comfortable living space, this property is the perfect starter home for anyone looking for peace and convenience. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors in part of the home, a spacious layout, and a quiet setting just minutes from town. Priced at $134,900, this home is priced to sell and full of potential for a first-time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Don’t miss your chance to make this cozy home your own—schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-12$144,900 Active 606-char remark
Show marketing remark (606 chars)
Welcome to this charming 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located just on the outskirts of Adairville. Sitting on a 1 +/- acre lot, offering 1,340 +/- square feet of comfortable living space, this property is the perfect starter home for anyone looking for peace and convenience. Enjoy beautiful hardwood floors in part of the home, a spacious layout, and a quiet setting just minutes from town. Priced at $134,900, this home is priced to sell and full of potential for a first-time buyer or someone looking to downsize. Don’t miss your chance to make this cozy home your own—schedule your showing today!
-
2025-11-11price $144,900
-
2025-10-13$154,900 Active
-
2015-07-22soldstatus $28,000
-
2015-06-19$34,900
-
1986-10-01soldstatus $10,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,160 · $97/mo
- Expected delta
- +$553/yr (+$46/mo · 91.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,198
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$607
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,056
- − Management
- −$1,056
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable loss
- −$1,676
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$402
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,058/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Logan County
- NCES district ID
- 2103540
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,577
- Composite
- 33.34/100
- National rank
- #5492
- State rank
- #32 of 165 in KY
Livability — Adairville
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #16752
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Adairville, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,736
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 26,133 people
- By 2030
- 25,572 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 24,247 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 22,849 · -12.6%
- By 2075
- 19,587 · -25.0%
- By 2100
- 15,927 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.1) · D 21.9% · R 76.9% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.6pp · 2024: -55.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.1 2020: R+48.4 2016: R+46.1 2012: R+32.6 2008: R+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.74%
- Current HPI
- 251.6318
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+1249.0% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — RASKMLS
- 2026-04-16 Contingent — RASKMLS
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $134,900 RASKMLS
- 2026-02-12 Listed $144,900 RASKMLS
- 2025-11-11 Price Changed $144,900 RASKMLS
- 2025-10-13 Listed $154,900 RASKMLS
- 2015-07-22 Sold (MLS) $28,000 RASKMLS
- 2015-06-19 Listed $34,900 RASKMLS
- 1986-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $607 · -0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…