2406 N West Shafer Dr · Norway, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This cute, open-concept two-bedroom home offers excellent natural light thanks to its large windows. It features a 1.5-car garage and is ready for immediate move-in with fresh paint throughout, a new water heater, and a two-year-old roof. The property is ideally located close to Lake Shafer and Indiana Beach, making it perfect for enjoying local lake activities and entertainment. Additionally, the home includes a patio with a picnic table and grill that stay, ideal for outdoor entertaining. Take a look! This might be just what you are looking for!
Key facts
- Open-concept
- Large windows
- New water heater
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $28 ($340/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (19.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (19.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.2% in Norway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#644 in IN) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Twin Lakes School Corporation (town): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #116 of 301 in IN (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 224 active listings in the ZIP; 47 units permitted in White County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- White County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 219 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 219 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.94%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $297,286
- List price
- $129,900
- Delta
- -56.30%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.47×
- Total profit
- $-19,289
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-14,655
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47960
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 224
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,047 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $760/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $28
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $102 | -5% $65 | +0% $28 | +5% $-8 | +10% $-45 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-54 | -5% $-13 | +0% $28 | +5% $70 | +10% $111 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $94 | -0.5pp $61 | base $28 | +0.5pp $-5 | +1.0pp $-40 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $129,900 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $129,900 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $129,900 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $129,900 Active 215 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $129,900 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $129,900 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $129,900 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $129,900 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $129,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-03-23price $139,900 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
This cute, open-concept two-bedroom home offers excellent natural light thanks to its large windows. It features a 1.5-car garage and is ready for immediate move-in with fresh paint throughout, a new water heater, and a two-year-old roof. The property is ideally located close to Lake Shafer and Indiana Beach, making it perfect for enjoying local lake activities and entertainment. Additionally, the home includes a patio with a picnic table and grill that stay, ideal for outdoor entertaining. Take a look! This might be just what you are looking for!
-
2026-01-19price $149,900 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
This cute, open-concept two-bedroom home offers excellent natural light thanks to its large windows. It features a 1.5-car garage and is ready for immediate move-in with fresh paint throughout, a new water heater, and a two-year-old roof. The property is ideally located close to Lake Shafer and Indiana Beach, making it perfect for enjoying local lake activities and entertainment. Additionally, the home includes a patio with a picnic table and grill that stay, ideal for outdoor entertaining. Take a look! This might be just what you are looking for!
-
2025-11-13$159,900 Active 554-char remark
Show marketing remark (554 chars)
This cute, open-concept two-bedroom home offers excellent natural light thanks to its large windows. It features a 1.5-car garage and is ready for immediate move-in with fresh paint throughout, a new water heater, and a two-year-old roof. The property is ideally located close to Lake Shafer and Indiana Beach, making it perfect for enjoying local lake activities and entertainment. Additionally, the home includes a patio with a picnic table and grill that stay, ideal for outdoor entertaining. Take a look! This might be just what you are looking for!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $760 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $932 · $78/mo
- Expected delta
- +$172/yr (+$14/mo · 22.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,562
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$760
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,005
- − Management
- −$1,005
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$1,913
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$459
- After-tax cash flow
- $799/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Twin Lakes School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1811580
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,963
- Composite
- 36.44/100
- National rank
- #4666
- State rank
- #116 of 301 in IN
Livability — Norway
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #644
- US rank
- #24336
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norway, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,313
Population outlook (White County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,006 people
- By 2030
- 22,204 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 20,441 · -11.1%
- By 2050
- 18,711 · -18.7%
- By 2075
- 14,989 · -34.8%
- By 2100
- 10,896 · -52.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · White
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.0) · D 26.4% · R 71.4% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.3pp · 2024: -45.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.0 2020: R+44.1 2016: R+42.9 2012: R+23.6 2008: R+8.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.85%
- Current HPI
- 243.8468
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $139,900 IRMLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $149,900 IRMLS
- 2025-11-13 Listed $159,900 IRMLS
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2024): $760 · +9.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…