306 Greenbriar Rd · Greensboro, NC 27405

$90,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 708 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 23 Days on market

Built 1948 0.98 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +29.5/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Schools +3.6/10.0
• Rent growth +3.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Come check out this diamond in the rough!!! A blank canvas that is waiting for you! Great opportunity for builders and investors alike! Dont wait won't last long!!!

Key facts

• 0.98 acre lot
• Built 1948
• Listed 23 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $322 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
• Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
• Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 381 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $88,650 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 10.59%
• Cash-on-cash: 15.34%
• DSCR: 1.68
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $182,664
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3518 N Church St	0.35mi	1/1.0 (-1)	658 (-7%)	8mo	$95,000	$144	60
104 Duffy Ave	0.71mi	2/1.0	736 (+4%)	14mo	$190,000	$258	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.83% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 6.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.27×
• Total profit: $6,802
• Equity at exit: $13,419

10-year hold

• IRR: 16.8%
• Equity multiple: 2.43×
• Total profit: $35,969
• Equity at exit: $7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State North Carolina: 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 27405

• Home prices YoY: -20.6%
• Rents YoY: 3.8%
• Active inventory: 381
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,078 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$472
• Tax from tax record: −$20 /mo · $244/yr
• Insurance: −$38
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$226
• Net cashflow: $322

Break-even live

Break-even rent $671

Max offer price $90,000

Occupancy floor 65%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $22,500
• Closing costs: $2,700
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 8 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
3706 Flint St Greensboro, NC	2.0	1.0	595	$825	$1.39	14d	1	0.19mi
3706 Flint St Greensboro, NC	2.0	1.0	595	$825	$1.39	18d	1	0.19mi
3300 N Elm St Greensboro, NC	2.0	1.0	670	$975	$1.46	21d	1	0.21mi
3100 N Elm St Greensboro, NC	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	854	$1,450	$1.70	14d	21	0.50mi
3822 Mizell Rd Greensboro, NC	1.0–2.0	1.0	721	$1,075	$1.49	14d	29	0.73mi
1373 Lees Chapel Rd Greensboro, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	975	$1,192	$1.22	14d	19	1.14mi
1631 Glenside Dr Greensboro, NC	1.0–3.0	1.0–1.5	888	$949	$1.07	14d	3	1.43mi
900 E Cone Blvd Greensboro, NC	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	895	$1,242	$1.39	14d	20	1.45mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-01-19
   status Pending
2. 2025-12-29
   historical Due Diligence Period
3. 2025-12-26
   listed $90,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $244 · $20/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $738 · $62/mo
• Expected delta: +$494/yr (+$41/mo · 201.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,942
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,041
• − Property taxes: −$244
• − Insurance: −$450
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,035
• − Management: −$1,035
• − Depreciation: −$2,618
• Taxable income: $2,517
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$604
• After-tax cash flow: $3,262/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Guilford County Schools
• NCES district ID: 3701920
• Math proficiency: 39% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 45% ▲ 1.00%
• Median HH income: $46,315
• Composite: 35.78/100
• National rank: #4842
• State rank: #99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #12
• US rank: #1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Greensboro, NC
• County: Guilford County · 487,190 people
• City population: 329,421
• Metro: Greensboro-High Point, NC
• Population (ZIP): 54,303
• Household income: $47,431
• Rent vs Own: 51.5% rent · 48.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 2517.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 584,596 people
• By 2030: 616,851 · +5.5%
• By 2040: 678,451 · +16.1%
• By 2050: 734,788 · +25.7%
• By 2075: 862,985 · +47.6%
• By 2100: 948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 57% White 20% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Ukrainian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 79% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -63.02%
• Current HPI: 243.1261
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.83%
• Metro: Greensboro-High Point, NC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	2	$213B
▸Retail	2	$95B
▸Industrial Conglomerate	1	$38B
▸Metals / Steel	1	$35B
▸Utilities	1	$30B
▸Industrial Machinery	1	$19B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-01-19 Pending — Triad MLS
• 2025-12-29 Contingent — Triad MLS
• 2025-12-26 Listed $90,000 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $244 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.