Timms Plan · New Braunfels, TX 78132

$216,999

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,500 sqft · SingleFamily · 79 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Cash flow +6.0/30.0
• Schools +5.6/10.0
• Livability +4.2/5.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +1.9/5.0
• 1% rule +1.3/10.0
• DSCR +0.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

This new single-level home features a modern and low-maintenance design. Three bedrooms can be found off the foyer, leading to an open-concept floorplan that combines the kitchen, living and dining areas. The luxe owner's suite is tucked into a private rear corner, complete with an en-suite bathroom and walk-in closet.

Key facts

• Walk-in closet
• En-suite bathroom
• Listed 79 days

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT FLOORPLAN
• EN-SUITE BATHROOM
• WALK-IN CLOSET

🏗️ New construction. The $216,999 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $277,798.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $217k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-534 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $201k (7.6% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (19.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $175k (19.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 4.0% vs local median 3.3% in New Braunfels — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 83/100 on livability (#9 in TX, #925 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Comal ISD (rural): math 57% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #58 of 826 in TX (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Zoned schools: Morningside El (math 44% / reading 33%, grade F, #1,680 of 4,322 statewide, top 40%, 810 students, 63% FRL); Canyon Middle (math 48% / reading 44%, grade D+, #462 of 1,662 statewide, top 28%, 1,175 students, 47% FRL); Canyon H S (math 59% / reading 65%, grade B-, #237 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,348 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 48% FRL vs 31% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 1701 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 69d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 3,420 units permitted in Comal County in 2024 (1,164 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($135k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Comal County population projected at +70% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($204k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Recommended offer $175,459 (19.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.63% ✗
• Cap rate: 3.99%
• Cash-on-cash: -8.23%
• DSCR: 0.63
• GRM: 13.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $277,798
• List price: $216,999
• Delta: -21.89%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
3823 Moon Hill Rd	0.57mi	4/2.0	1,483 (-1%)	0mo	$197,999	$134	71
3636 Tilden	0.26mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,379 (-8%)	6mo	$229,500	$166	64
3816 Swift Fox Rd	0.52mi	4/2.0	1,600 (+7%)	1mo	$215,000	$134	64
744 Horsetail Ln	0.52mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,474 (-2%)	5mo	$214,000	$145	63
3832 Swift Fox Rd	0.55mi	4/2.0	1,600 (+7%)	3mo	$209,500	$131	60
3825 Swift Fox Rd	0.54mi	4/2.0	1,600 (+7%)	6mo	$210,000	$131	58
3885 Northaven Trl	0.59mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,588 (+6%)	0mo	$230,000	$145	57
720 Horsetail Ln	0.53mi	4/2.0	1,667 (+11%)	2mo	$218,500	$131	55
3836 Swift Fox Rd	0.56mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,402 (-6%)	4mo	$209,500	$149	54
3844 Northaven Trl	0.51mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,634 (+9%)	4mo	$254,000	$155	53
3795 Moon Hill Rd	0.52mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,354 (-10%)	1mo	$197,999	$146	53
3819 Moon Hill Rd	0.56mi	4/2.0	1,692 (+13%)	1mo	$229,999	$136	52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -34.1%
• Equity multiple: -0.08×
• Total profit: $-84,121
• Equity at exit: $41,421

10-year hold

• IRR: -65.7%
• Equity multiple: -0.76×
• Total profit: $-136,782
• Equity at exit: $24,019

Cash invested: $77,783 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 55 active · 17 under contract
• Months of supply: 19.4 mo (5%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $240,999 ($159/sqft)
• Median days on market: 79 d
• This list price: 16% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +16.4% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 78132

• Rents YoY: -2.3%
• Active inventory: 1701
• Price-to-rent: 10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,755 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,457
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$347 /mo · $4,167/yr
• Insurance: −$116
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$368
• Net cashflow: $-534

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,430

Max offer price $200,575

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-342	-5% $-438	+0% $-534	+5% $-630	+10% $-726
Rent	-10% $-672	-5% $-603	+0% $-534	+5% $-464	+10% $-395
Rate	-1.0pp $-394	-0.5pp $-463	base $-534	+0.5pp $-606	+1.0pp $-679

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $69,449
• Closing costs: $8,334
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
713 Killdeer Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.0	1668	$1,700	$1.02	184d	1	0.14mi
751 Bullsnake Trl New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1440	$1,545	$1.07	2d	1	0.15mi
722 Killdeer Trl New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1273	$3,200	$2.51	184d	1	0.15mi
3508 Axis Hill St New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1218	$1,495	$1.23	88d	1	0.16mi
740 Bullsnake Trl New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1440	$1,650	$1.15	184d	1	0.18mi
736 Bullsnake Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.5	1950	$1,595	$0.82	10d	1	0.18mi
757 Tulsa Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.0	1627	$1,475	$0.91	9d	1	0.19mi
758 Tulsa Trl New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1440	$1,550	$1.08	88d	1	0.22mi
746 Tulsa Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.5	1950	$1,895	$0.97	1d	1	0.23mi
746 Tulsa Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.5	1950	$1,895	$0.97	3d	1	0.23mi
738 Tulsa Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.0	1627	$1,565	$0.96	45d	1	0.23mi
738 Tulsa Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.0	1627	$1,565	$0.96	10d	1	0.23mi
726 Tulsa Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.5	1958	$1,775	$0.91	109d	1	0.24mi
767 Grey Dove Trl New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,800	$1.12	28d	1	0.24mi
3645 Swift Fox Rd New Braunfels, TX	4.0	2.0	1600	$1,695	$1.06	184d	1	0.25mi
754 Tower Hill Vw New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1402	$1,525	$1.09	88d	1	0.33mi
742 Tower Hill Vw New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1266	$1,545	$1.22	143d	1	0.33mi
3717 Wentz Hill Dr Marion, TX	4.0	2.0	1492	$1,800	$1.21	40d	1	0.38mi
3707 Moon Hill Rd Marion, TX	3.0	2.0	1354	$1,499	$1.11	101d	1	0.38mi
619 Muskogee Bnd New Braunfels, TX	3.0	3.0	2103	$1,300	$0.62	10d	1	0.39mi
3738 Swift Fox Rd New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1266	$1,545	$1.22	155d	1	0.39mi
3729 Wentz Hill Dr Marion, TX	3.0	2.0	1550	$1,595	$1.03	10d	1	0.39mi
3768 Swift Fox Rd New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1266	$1,495	$1.18	10d	1	0.45mi
3759 Moon Hill Rd Marion, TX	4.0	2.0	1483	$1,575	$1.06	69d	1	0.45mi
3744 Axis Hill St New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1402	$1,475	$1.05	69d	1	0.46mi
3748 Axis Hill St New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1266	$1,495	$1.18	10d	1	0.47mi
3771 Moon Hill Rd Marion, TX	4.0	2.0	1483	$1,445	$0.97	74d	1	0.47mi
3795 Moon Hill Rd Marion, TX	3.0	2.0	1354	$1,495	$1.10	6d	1	0.51mi
3795 Moon Hill Rd Marion, TX	3.0	2.0	1354	$1,565	$1.16	37d	1	0.51mi
3820 Swift Fox Rd New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1266	$1,540	$1.22	127d	1	0.52mi
3200 Falconhead New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.5	2076	$2,400	$1.16	114d	1	0.55mi
755 Wonderland Trl Santa Clara, TX	3.0	2.5	1937	$1,799	$0.93	126d	1	0.55mi
755 Wonderland Trl New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.5	1937	$1,699	$0.88	157d	1	0.56mi
719 Wonderland Trl New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.5	1918	$1,599	$0.83	10d	1	0.57mi
719 Wonderland Trl New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.5	1918	$1,599	$0.83	7d	1	0.57mi
667 Anthem Ln New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.5	2204	$1,897	$0.86	32d	1	0.57mi
3889 Northhaven Trl Santa Clara, TX	3.0	2.5	1920	$1,680	$0.88	184d	1	0.61mi
3927 Turtle Crk New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1686	$1,750	$1.04	10d	1	0.61mi
3926 Turtle Crk New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1304	$1,550	$1.19	118d	1	0.61mi
3940 Prairie Crk New Braunfels, TX	3.0	2.0	1580	$1,490	$0.94	25d	1	0.63mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: Marion, TX 78132
• Financial info: Listing price $216,999

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family home (new construction, Timms plan)
• Construction: Built as part of a new construction plan (Timms)
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,500

Interior

• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
• Interior features: New construction plan (Timms)

Listing history 43 events

1. 2026-07-26
   days on market $216,999 Active 79 DOM
2. 2026-07-24
   days on market $216,999 Active 77 DOM
3. 2026-07-23
   days on market $216,999 Active 76 DOM
4. 2026-07-22
   days on market $216,999 Active 75 DOM
5. 2026-07-21
   days on market $216,999 Active 74 DOM
6. 2026-07-20
   days on market $216,999 Active 73 DOM
7. 2026-07-18
   days on market $216,999 Active 71 DOM
8. 2026-07-18
   days on market $216,999 Active 70 DOM
9. 2026-07-16
   days on market $216,999 Active 69 DOM
10. 2026-07-15
    days on market $216,999 Active 68 DOM
11. 2026-07-14
    days on market $216,999 Active 67 DOM
12. 2026-07-13
    days on market $216,999 Active 66 DOM
13. 2026-07-13
    days on market $216,999 Active 65 DOM
14. 2026-07-11
    days on market $216,999 Active 64 DOM
15. 2026-07-10
    days on market $216,999 Active 63 DOM
16. 2026-07-09
    days on market $216,999 Active 62 DOM
17. 2026-07-07
    days on market $216,999 Active 60 DOM
18. 2026-07-06
    days on market $216,999 Active 59 DOM
19. 2026-07-05
    days on market $216,999 Active 58 DOM
20. 2026-07-03
    days on market $216,999 Active 56 DOM
21. 2026-07-02
    days on market $216,999 Active 55 DOM
22. 2026-07-01
    days on market $216,999 Active 54 DOM
23. 2026-06-30
    days on market $216,999 Active 53 DOM
24. 2026-06-29
    days on market $216,999 Active 52 DOM
25. 2026-06-28
    days on market $216,999 Active 51 DOM
26. 2026-06-26
    days on market $216,999 Active 49 DOM
27. 2026-06-24
    days on market $216,999 Active 47 DOM
28. 2026-06-22
    days on market $216,999 Active 45 DOM
29. 2026-06-21
    days on market $216,999 Active 44 DOM
30. 2026-06-18
    days on market $216,999 Active 41 DOM
31. 2026-06-17
    days on market $216,999 Active 40 DOM
32. 2026-06-16
    days on market $216,999 Active 39 DOM
33. 2026-06-15
    days on market $216,999 Active 38 DOM
34. 2026-06-13
    days on market $216,999 Active 36 DOM
35. 2026-06-09
    days on market $216,999 Active 32 DOM
36. 2026-06-08
    days on market $216,999 Active 31 DOM
37. 2026-06-07
    days on market $216,999 Active 30 DOM
38. 2026-06-04
    days on market $216,999 Active 27 DOM
39. 2026-06-03
    days on market $216,999 Active 26 DOM
40. 2026-06-02
    days on market $216,999 Active 25 DOM
41. 2026-06-02
    days on market $216,999 Active 24 DOM
42. 2026-05-31
    days on market $216,999 Active 23 DOM
43. 2026-05-08
    listed $216,999 Active 320-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,055
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,561
• − Property taxes: −$4,167
• − Insurance: −$1,389
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,684
• − Management: −$1,684
• − Depreciation: −$8,081
• Taxable loss: −$11,512
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,763
• After-tax cash flow: $-3,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,500–$22,500 screening

This modern single-level home in New Braunfels, TX, is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It features a well-maintained interior, a new roof, and a clean exterior. The home is move-in ready and has a good resale and rental value. Consider painting the exterior, upgrading the flooring, and adding smart home systems to further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Painting the exterior in a more vibrant color — A fresh coat of paint can enhance curb appeal and make the home stand out. ↑
• Both Adding a smart home system — A smart home system can improve convenience and energy efficiency, attracting both buyers and renters. ↑
• Resale Upgrading the flooring in the bathrooms — Modern, durable flooring in bathrooms can enhance the home's overall appeal and functionality. ↑
• Both Installing smart lighting in the kitchen and bathrooms — Smart lighting can improve energy efficiency and provide a modern, high-tech feel that appeals to both buyers and renters. ↑
• Both Adding a smart thermostat — A smart thermostat can improve energy efficiency and provide a modern, high-tech feel that appeals to both buyers and renters. ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

D Composite school gradezoned avg 56/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Morningside El F TX #1,680/4,322 Nat'l #20,973/41,679 Middle Canyon Middle D+ TX #462/1,662 Nat'l #4,433/14,009 High Memorial Early College H S With St Philip's A TX #27/1,632 Nat'l #918/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Comal ISD
• NCES district ID: 4814730
• Math proficiency: 57% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 59% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $74,792
• Composite: 51.79/100
• National rank: #1671
• State rank: #58 of 826 in TX

A Composite livability gradescore 83/100

Livability — New Braunfels

• Score: 83/100
• State rank: #9
• US rank: #925

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A Crime A- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New Braunfels, TX
• County: Comal County · 175,637 people
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• Population (ZIP): 40,953
• Household income: $135,315
• Rent vs Own: 12.5% rent · 87.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 5% of renters

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Population outlook (Comal County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 175,637 people
• By 2030: 199,911 · +13.8%
• By 2040: 249,436 · +42.0%
• By 2050: 299,430 · +70.5%
• By 2075: 423,857 · +141.3%
• By 2100: 512,048 · +191.5%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (71%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 71% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 13% Black 2% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 1%
• Languages at home: 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

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Political lean MEDSL · Comal

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+45.5) · D 26.8% · R 72.2%
• 2008→2024 swing: +1.9pp toward D · 2008: -47.4pp · 2024: -45.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+45.5 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+54.1 2008: R+47.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -139.57%
• Current HPI: 202.432
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.32%
• Metro: San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Address: Marion, TX 78132
• Financial info: Listing price $216,999

Exterior

• Home design: Single-family home (new construction, Timms plan)
• Construction: Built as part of a new construction plan (Timms)
• Exterior features: Living area approximately 1,500

Interior

• Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
• Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms
• Interior features: New construction plan (Timms)