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4713 Miranda Dr
B- Composite 66.8
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

4713 Miranda Dr · Hope Mills, NC 28348
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,548 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1999 Est $243k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Price $20,000 under the market value. Great condition 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. New carpets. Land next to the house included in the sale. Hardwood floors in kitchen and dining room.

Key facts

  • Hardwood flooring
  • Huge back yard
  • Enclosed porch

Tags

HUGE BACK YARDHARDWOOD FLOORINGGREAT ROOMENCLOSED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Hope Mills, NC

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; 2 covered parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick veneer and frame construction
  • Exterior features: Subdivision: ELK RUN

Interior

  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl; Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Vaulted ceilings; No fireplace

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $280 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 4.8% in Hope Mills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#234 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: South View Middle (math 20% / reading 34%, grade F, #374 of 475 statewide, top 80%, 661 students, 99% FRL); South View High (math 60% / reading 43%, grade D+, #299 of 535 statewide, top 56%, 1,502 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 55% district-wide (28 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.3%/yr); 317 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $131k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 78% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
8.89%
Cash-on-cash
9.28%
DSCR
1.41
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$243,036
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
719 Alexwood Dr 0.21mi 3/2.5 1,500 (-3%) 0mo $234,000 $156 83
621 Conners Cv 0.15mi 3/2.5 1,450 (-6%) 3mo $247,000 $170 78
625 Creedmoore Cir 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,674 (+8%) 1mo $264,500 $158 76
4709 Quaker Ct 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,539 (-1%) 1mo $214,000 $139 71
5209 Miranda Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,604 (+4%) 1mo $270,000 $168 71
623 Cypress Pond Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 1,595 (+3%) 3mo $250,000 $157 62
800 Bramblegate Rd 0.55mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,592 (+3%) 1mo $257,000 $161 60
715 Bent Creek Dr 0.28mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,774 (+15%) 2mo $255,000 $144 54
3709 Languid Ct 0.43mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,704 (+10%) 4mo $264,900 $155 52
817 Bramblegate Rd 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,711 (+10%) 3mo $259,000 $151 48
4422 Rose Meadow Dr 0.62mi 3/2.5 1,759 (+14%) 3mo $289,999 $165 44
2512 Camp Lejeune Ct 0.65mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,732 (+12%) 1mo $255,000 $147 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-5,717
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
7.8%
Equity multiple
1.62×
Total profit
$27,997
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28348

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Rents YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
317
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,790 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,945/yr
Insurance
$67
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$376
Net cashflow
$280

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,436
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5340 Miranda Dr Hope Mills, NC 4.0 2.5 1954 $1,900 $0.97 23d 1 0.24mi
2935 High Plains Dr Hope Mills, NC 4.0 2.5 1937 $1,900 $0.98 14d 1 0.28mi
509 Meadowland Ct Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1236 $1,400 $1.13 23d 1 0.30mi
3718 Pioneer Dr Hope Mills, NC 3.0 2.0 1511 $1,290 $0.85 23d 1 0.60mi
2634 Indian Wells Ct Hope Mills, NC 4.0 2.5 1932 $2,100 $1.09 14d 1 0.92mi
2616 Indian Wells Ct Hope Mills, NC 4.0 2.5 2181 $2,150 $0.99 14d 1 0.93mi
3640 Ambition Rd Fayetteville, NC 4.0 2.5 1990 $1,995 $1.00 14d 1 1.11mi
1055 Winnall LN Hope Mills, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1132 $2,000 $1.77 14d 20 1.40mi
4079 Professional Dr Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,095 $1.04 23d 1 1.40mi
4065 Professional Dr Unit 4065 Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,095 $1.04 23d 1 1.40mi
4065 Professional Dr Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,095 $1.04 21d 1 1.40mi
4033 Professional Dr Unit 4033 Hope Mills, NC 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,095 $1.04 23d 1 1.41mi
3101 Ansley Ct Hope Mills, NC 4.0 2.0 1910 $1,950 $1.02 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $160,000 Active
  3. 2017-11-21
    soldstatus $131,000
  4. 2014-11-03
    soldstatus $112,000
  5. 2014-10-31
    soldstatus $112,000 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Price $20,000 under the market value. Great condition 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. New carpets. Land next to the house included in the sale. Hardwood floors in kitchen and dining room.

  6. 2014-09-09
    listed $115,000 179-char remark
    Show marketing remark (179 chars)

    Price $20,000 under the market value. Great condition 3 bedrooms and 2 baths. New carpets. Land next to the house included in the sale. Hardwood floors in kitchen and dining room.

  7. 2003-09-08
    soldstatus $115,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,945 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,945 · $162/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 7/10 Severe 78% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,481
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$1,945
− Insurance
−$1,598
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,719
− Management
−$1,719
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$885
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$212
After-tax cash flow
$3,147/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Hope Mills

Score
67/100
State rank
#234
US rank
#10761

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
39,196
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
39,196
Household income
$66,129
Rent vs Own
25.2% rent · 74.8% own
Severe rent burden
746.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.14%
Current HPI
228.3122
Rent YoY
▲ 4.28%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+39.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending LPRMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $160,000 LPRMLS
  • 2017-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $131,000 Public Records
  • 2014-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $112,000 Public Records
  • 2014-10-31 Sold (MLS) $112,000 LPRMLS
  • 2014-09-09 Listed $115,000 LPRMLS
  • 2003-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,945 · +32.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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