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411 W Callaghan
B Composite 74.75
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$59,900

411 W Callaghan · Fort Stockton, TX 79735
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,068 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1955 6,098 sqft lot $56/sqft · 21% below area Est $76k · 21% under ↓ 45% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1955

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#532 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fort Stockton ISD (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #709 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Fort Stockton Alamo El (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 324 students, 68% FRL); Fort Stockton Middle (math 15% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 515 students, 59% FRL); Fort Stockton High (math 27% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 698 students, 71% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Pecos County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pecos County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
10.48%
Cash-on-cash
14.96%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$75,832
List price
$59,900
Delta
-21.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.7%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$3,720
Equity at exit
$8,931
10-year hold
IRR
15.2%
Equity multiple
2.24×
Total profit
$20,819
Equity at exit
$5,179

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79735

Active inventory
107
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$975 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$222 /mo · $2,664/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$205
Net cashflow
$209

Break-even live

Break-even rent $710
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $243 -5% $226 +0% $209 +5% $192 +10% $175
Rent -10% $132 -5% $171 +0% $209 +5% $248 +10% $286
Rate -1.0pp $239 -0.5pp $224 base $209 +0.5pp $194 +1.0pp $178

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
902 N Missouri St Unit A Fort Stockton, TX 2.0 1.0 910 $975 $1.07 46d 1 0.85mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $59,900 Active 153 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 152 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $59,900 Active 151 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,900 Active 149 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,900 Active 148 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,900 Active 147 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,900 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,900 Active 144 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $59,900 Active 143 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,900 Active 140 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 139 DOM
  12. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,900 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,900 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $59,900 Active 134 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,900 Active 133 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 132 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 131 DOM
  18. 2026-05-04
    price $59,900 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.

  19. 2026-04-28
    status Active 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.

  20. 2026-04-24
    historical Active Under Contract 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.

  21. 2026-04-17
    price $65,000 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.

  22. 2026-03-12
    price $69,900 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.

  23. 2026-01-20
    listed $74,900 Active 280-char remark
    Show marketing remark (280 chars)

    Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.

  24. 2025-07-11
    historical $850
  25. 2025-05-13
    listed $850
  26. 2024-04-04
    historical $850
  27. 2024-02-13
    listed $850
  28. 2023-12-01
    price $79,999
  29. 2023-10-30
    price $89,900
  30. 2023-10-04
    price $99,500
  31. 2022-08-08
    price $104,900
  32. 2022-06-24
    price $108,900
  33. 2021-01-13
    soldstatus
  34. 2000-07-05
    soldstatus
  35. 1997-07-22
    soldstatus
  36. 1997-07-08
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,664 · $222/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,664 · $222/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,700
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$2,664
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$936
− Management
−$936
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$1,766
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$424
After-tax cash flow
$2,086/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fort Stockton ISD
NCES district ID
4820190
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$43,194
Composite
21.81/100
National rank
#8247
State rank
#709 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Stockton

Score
67/100
State rank
#532
US rank
#10399

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fort Stockton, TX
Population (ZIP)
12,962

Population outlook (Pecos County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,291 people
By 2030
17,999 · +4.1%
By 2040
19,729 · +14.1%
By 2050
21,655 · +25.2%
By 2075
26,049 · +50.7%
By 2100
27,196 · +57.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 23% White 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 70%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 51% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Pecos

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.0% · R 71.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.8pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -44.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+21.9 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+25.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.34%
Current HPI
138.1106
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-45.0% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $59,900 PBBOR
  • 2026-04-28 Relisted PBBOR
  • 2026-04-24 Contingent PBBOR
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $65,000 PBBOR
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $69,900 PBBOR
  • 2026-01-20 Listed $74,900 PBBOR
  • 2025-07-11 Rental Removed $850 PBBOR
  • 2025-05-13 Listed for Rent $850 PBBOR
  • 2024-04-04 Rental Removed $850 PBBOR
  • 2024-02-13 Listed for Rent $850 PBBOR
  • 2023-12-01 Price Changed $79,999 PBBOR
  • 2023-10-30 Price Changed $89,900 PBBOR
  • 2023-10-04 Price Changed $99,500 PBBOR
  • 2022-08-08 Price Changed $104,900 PBBOR
  • 2022-06-24 Price Changed $108,900 PBBOR
  • 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2000-07-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-07-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1997-07-08 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,664 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…