411 W Callaghan · Fort Stockton, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1955
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $209 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($975 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#532 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Fort Stockton ISD (town): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #709 of 826 in TX (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Fort Stockton Alamo El (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 324 students, 68% FRL); Fort Stockton Middle (math 15% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,466 of 1,662 statewide, top 89%, 515 students, 59% FRL); Fort Stockton High (math 27% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 698 students, 71% FRL).
- Market conditions: 107 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 10 units permitted in Pecos County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pecos County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.4% of price; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.96%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $75,832
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -21.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $3,720
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 15.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.24×
- Total profit
- $20,819
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 79735
- Active inventory
- 107
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,664/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$205
- Net cashflow
- $209
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $243 | -5% $226 | +0% $209 | +5% $192 | +10% $175 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $132 | -5% $171 | +0% $209 | +5% $248 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $239 | -0.5pp $224 | base $209 | +0.5pp $194 | +1.0pp $178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 N Missouri St Unit A Fort Stockton, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $975 | $1.07 | 46d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 36 events
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2026-06-22days on market $59,900 Active 153 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $59,900 Active 152 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $59,900 Active 151 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $59,900 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $59,900 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $59,900 Active 143 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $59,900 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $59,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $59,900 Active 137 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $59,900 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $59,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $59,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $59,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-05-04price $59,900 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.
-
2026-04-28status Active 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.
-
2026-04-24historical Active Under Contract 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.
-
2026-04-17price $65,000 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.
-
2026-03-12price $69,900 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.
-
2026-01-20$74,900 Active 280-char remark
Show marketing remark (280 chars)
Located on a corner lot in Fort Stockton, sits a cozy 1 bedroom, 1 bathroom home offering 1,068 sq ft of living space. The property is conveniently situated with easy access and low-maintenance appeal-ideal opportunity for investors. Call the listing office to schedule a showing.
-
2025-07-11historical $850
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2025-05-13$850
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2024-04-04historical $850
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2024-02-13$850
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2023-12-01price $79,999
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2023-10-30price $89,900
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2023-10-04price $99,500
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2022-08-08price $104,900
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2022-06-24price $108,900
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2021-01-13soldstatus
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2000-07-05soldstatus
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1997-07-22soldstatus
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1997-07-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,664 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,664 · $222/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$2,664
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$936
- − Management
- −$936
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $1,766
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$424
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,086/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fort Stockton ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4820190
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,194
- Composite
- 21.81/100
- National rank
- #8247
- State rank
- #709 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Stockton
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #532
- US rank
- #10399
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Fort Stockton, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,962
Population outlook (Pecos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,291 people
- By 2030
- 17,999 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 19,729 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 21,655 · +25.2%
- By 2075
- 26,049 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 27,196 · +57.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 23% White 17% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 70%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 47% English-only · Spanish 51% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pecos
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+44.8) · D 27.0% · R 71.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -44.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+44.8 2020: R+39.3 2016: R+21.9 2012: R+22.2 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -77.34%
- Current HPI
- 138.1106
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-45.0% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $59,900 PBBOR
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — PBBOR
- 2026-04-24 Contingent — PBBOR
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $65,000 PBBOR
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $69,900 PBBOR
- 2026-01-20 Listed $74,900 PBBOR
- 2025-07-11 Rental Removed $850 PBBOR
- 2025-05-13 Listed for Rent $850 PBBOR
- 2024-04-04 Rental Removed $850 PBBOR
- 2024-02-13 Listed for Rent $850 PBBOR
- 2023-12-01 Price Changed $79,999 PBBOR
- 2023-10-30 Price Changed $89,900 PBBOR
- 2023-10-04 Price Changed $99,500 PBBOR
- 2022-08-08 Price Changed $104,900 PBBOR
- 2022-06-24 Price Changed $108,900 PBBOR
- 2021-01-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-07-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-07-22 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1997-07-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,664 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…