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217 Hilltop Rd
B- Composite 68.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$100,000

217 Hilltop Rd · Hallsville, TX 75650
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · Manufactured public records · 95 Days on market
Built 1983 0.49 ac lot ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover privacy and potential in the Hallsville School District. This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. mobile home features 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office space. Situated at the end of a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a fenced backyard, a two-car garage, and durable metal siding and roofing. With just a little TLC, this home is the perfect opportunity for a first-time buyer or investor.

Key facts

  • Durable metal siding
  • Fenced backyard
  • 0.49 acre lot

Tags

HALLSVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICTQUIET DEAD-END STREETFENCED BACKYARDDEDICATED OFFICE SPACEDURABLE METAL SIDINGDURABLE METAL ROOFING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#117 in TX, #3,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Hallsville ISD (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #490 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Hallsville H S (math 66% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 1,456 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hallsville ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $91,000 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.42%
Cap rate
12.39%
Cash-on-cash
21.79%
DSCR
1.97
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.4%
Equity multiple
1.58×
Total profit
$16,147
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
23.1%
Equity multiple
2.99×
Total profit
$55,640
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75650

Home prices YoY
-27.9%
Active inventory
168
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,417 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $543/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$508

Break-even live

Break-even rent $774
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $565 -5% $537 +0% $508 +5% $480 +10% $452
Rent -10% $396 -5% $452 +0% $508 +5% $564 +10% $620
Rate -1.0pp $559 -0.5pp $534 base $508 +0.5pp $482 +1.0pp $456

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    price $100,000 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Discover privacy and potential in the Hallsville School District. This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. mobile home features 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office space. Situated at the end of a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a fenced backyard, a two-car garage, and durable metal siding and roofing. With just a little TLC, this home is the perfect opportunity for a first-time buyer or investor.

  2. 2026-02-19
    listed $115,000 Active 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Discover privacy and potential in the Hallsville School District. This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. mobile home features 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office space. Situated at the end of a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a fenced backyard, a two-car garage, and durable metal siding and roofing. With just a little TLC, this home is the perfect opportunity for a first-time buyer or investor.

  3. 2000-06-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$543 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,830 · $152/mo
Expected delta
+$1,287/yr (+$107/mo · 236.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,008
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$543
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,733
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,136
After-tax cash flow
$4,964/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hallsville ISD
NCES district ID
4822170
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$57,770
Composite
31.05/100
National rank
#6081
State rank
#490 of 826 in TX

Livability — Hallsville

Score
76/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#3765

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
10,233

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,691 people
By 2030
69,317 · +0.9%
By 2040
69,973 · +1.9%
By 2050
70,090 · +2.0%
By 2075
70,607 · +2.8%
By 2100
67,546 · -1.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.30%
Current HPI
163.1524
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-13.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $100,000 LAAR
  • 2026-02-19 Listed $115,000 LAAR
  • 2000-06-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $543 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…