217 Hilltop Rd · Hallsville, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 58.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover privacy and potential in the Hallsville School District. This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. mobile home features 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office space. Situated at the end of a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a fenced backyard, a two-car garage, and durable metal siding and roofing. With just a little TLC, this home is the perfect opportunity for a first-time buyer or investor.
Key facts
- Durable metal siding
- Fenced backyard
- 0.49 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $508 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#117 in TX, #3,765 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Hallsville ISD (town): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #490 of 826 in TX (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hallsville H S (math 66% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 1,632 statewide, top 10%, 1,456 students, 40% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 35% district-wide (+33 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hallsville ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 58% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.79%
- DSCR
- 1.97
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.58×
- Total profit
- $16,147
- Equity at exit
- $14,910
- IRR
- 23.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.99×
- Total profit
- $55,640
- Equity at exit
- $8,646
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75650
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,417 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $543/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $508
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $565 | -5% $537 | +0% $508 | +5% $480 | +10% $452 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $396 | -5% $452 | +0% $508 | +5% $564 | +10% $620 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $559 | -0.5pp $534 | base $508 | +0.5pp $482 | +1.0pp $456 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-14price $100,000 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Discover privacy and potential in the Hallsville School District. This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. mobile home features 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office space. Situated at the end of a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a fenced backyard, a two-car garage, and durable metal siding and roofing. With just a little TLC, this home is the perfect opportunity for a first-time buyer or investor.
-
2026-02-19$115,000 Active 405-char remark
Show marketing remark (405 chars)
Discover privacy and potential in the Hallsville School District. This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. mobile home features 2 bedrooms, 2 baths, and a dedicated office space. Situated at the end of a quiet dead-end street, the property offers a fenced backyard, a two-car garage, and durable metal siding and roofing. With just a little TLC, this home is the perfect opportunity for a first-time buyer or investor.
-
2000-06-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $543 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,830 · $152/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,287/yr (+$107/mo · 236.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 58% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,008
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$543
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,361
- − Management
- −$1,361
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $4,733
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,136
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,964/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hallsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4822170
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,770
- Composite
- 31.05/100
- National rank
- #6081
- State rank
- #490 of 826 in TX
Livability — Hallsville
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #117
- US rank
- #3765
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,233
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,691 people
- By 2030
- 69,317 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 69,973 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 70,090 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 70,607 · +2.8%
- By 2100
- 67,546 · -1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.30%
- Current HPI
- 163.1524
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-13.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Price Changed $100,000 LAAR
- 2026-02-19 Listed $115,000 LAAR
- 2000-06-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $543 · +7.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…