2214 Mccausland Ave · St. Louis, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$235,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Must-see 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offering plenty of space and desirable features! You'll love the beautiful wood floors, spacious kitchen and dining area, convenient main-floor laundry, and a main-floor bedroom with a full bath. Upstairs, you'll find three additional bedrooms, another full bath, and a versatile bonus room perfect for a home office, playroom, or hobby space. Don't miss your opportunity to make this home yours—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 0.24 acre lot
- Built 1913
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Fiber cement exterior
- Exterior features: Back yard
Interior
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total (1 on the main level, 3 on the upper level)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (1 on the main level, 1 on the upper level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $235k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $792 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $235k).
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mason Elem. (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #813 of 1,115 statewide, top 75%, 389 students, 99% FRL); Roosevelt High (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #517 of 521 statewide, top 100%, 460 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 80% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.8%/yr); 44 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,024/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 195% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.8% rent growth), your $66k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1913 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1913 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.44%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $442,068
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6718 Glades Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,094 (-7%) | 5mo | $549,900 | $263 | 61 |
| 2126 Franz Park Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,932 (-14%) | 3mo | $449,000 | $232 | 60 |
| 1733 Del Norte Ave | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 2,354 (+5%) | 5mo | $460,000 | $195 | 60 |
| 7400 Williams Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,339 (+4%) | 5mo | $510,000 | $218 | 59 |
| 1445 Rankin Dr | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,352 (+5%) | 1mo | $550,000 | $234 | 57 |
| 7200 Lanham Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,944 (-13%) | 1mo | $279,900 | $144 | 57 |
| 1507 Brock St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,094 (-7%) | 2mo | $575,000 | $275 | 56 |
| 7334 Bruno Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,127 (-5%) | 4mo | $395,000 | $186 | 55 |
| 7339 Arlington Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.5 | 2,544 (+13%) | 1mo | $499,900 | $197 | 49 |
| 1420 Rankin Dr | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 | 1,968 (-12%) | 1mo | $369,900 | $188 | 45 |
| 6639 Arsenal St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,990 (-11%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $121 | 39 |
| 7309 Esplanade St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,980 (-12%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $93 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $14,704
- Equity at exit
- $35,039
- IRR
- 15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $87,561
- Equity at exit
- $20,319
Cash invested: $65,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63143
- Rents YoY
- 3.8%
- Active inventory
- 44
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,024 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,232
- Tax from tax record
- −$267 /mo · $3,202/yr
- Insurance
- −$98
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$635
- Net cashflow
- $792
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $925 | -5% $858 | +0% $792 | +5% $725 | +10% $659 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $553 | -5% $672 | +0% $792 | +5% $911 | +10% $1,031 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $910 | -0.5pp $851 | base $792 | +0.5pp $731 | +1.0pp $669 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $58,750
- Closing costs
- $7,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1629 Forest Ave Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2212 | $4,760 | $2.15 | 2d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1617 Forest Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1822 | $1,195 | $0.66 | 3d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 7103 Horner Ave Unit 7 Richmond Heights, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1816 | $2,995 | $1.65 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 7380 Marietta Ave Maplewood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,900 | $1.06 | 4d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 7403 Commonwealth Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $2,500 | $1.73 | 2d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6114 Columbia Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6414 Wise Ave Unit 401 St. Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,500 | $1.35 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 6020 Juniata St Saint Louis, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1661 | $2,750 | $1.66 | 3d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 6301 Southwood Ave Unit 3rd floor Clayton, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,500 | $1.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2732 59th St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $3,999 | $1.94 | 20d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 6318 S Rosebury Ave Clayton, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1712 | $2,600 | $1.52 | 15d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2734 59th St Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2060 | $3,999 | $1.94 | 20d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 665 S Skinker Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $3,500 | $3.24 | 16d | 40 | 1.38mi |
| 665 S Skinker Blvd Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $3,045 | $2.82 | 2d | 43 | 1.38mi |
| 6328 Northwood Ave Unit 2nd floor Clayton, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1700 | $2,950 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 6042 Hancock Ave Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $3,500 | $2.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 5713 Parc Ridge Way Saint Louis, MO | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2430 | $2,625 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 456-char remark
-
2026-06-18$235,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,202 · $267/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,286
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,164
- − Property taxes
- −$3,202
- − Insurance
- −$1,175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,903
- − Management
- −$2,903
- − Depreciation
- −$6,836
- Taxable income
- $6,103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,465
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,036/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Louis City
- NCES district ID
- 2929280
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,685
- Composite
- 11.54/100
- National rank
- #9699
- State rank
- #312 of 324 in MO
Livability — St. Louis
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Louis, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 283,259
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,975
- Household income
- $65,861
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 195.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 315,737 people
- By 2030
- 313,865 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 305,439 · -3.3%
- By 2050
- 296,529 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 271,028 · -14.2%
- By 2100
- 255,359 · -19.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 12% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.44%
- Current HPI
- 300.6917
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.76%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+9300.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-17 Listed $235,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-15 Rental Removed $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-10-15 Listed for Rent $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-09-27 Rental Removed $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-08-27 Listed for Rent $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-08-17 Rental Removed $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-07-17 Listed for Rent $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-07-12 Rental Removed $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-06-10 Listed for Rent $2,500 TURBOTENANT
- 1998-04-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1998-04-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2024): $3,202 · +5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…