15301 28 Mile Rd · Albion, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- 7.98 acre lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 10 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1920
- Construction: Vinyl siding; 1,725 total building area
- Exterior features: Nearly 8-acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: 9 total rooms; Crawl space and Michigan-style basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#328 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, schools F.
- Marshall Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #268 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $28k; list at $125k implies a 346% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.98%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,450
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16017 28 Mile Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,840 (+7%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $65 | 55 |
| 15900 28 Mile Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 1,552 (-10%) | 6mo | $189,000 | $122 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,411
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.41×
- Total profit
- $14,461
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49224
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,388 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$291
- Net cashflow
- $233
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-02status $125,000 Pending 10 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$125,000 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-22$125,000 Active
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-22$125,000 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-22historical $125,000 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.
-
2026-05-22historical $125,000
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.
-
2014-06-21soldstatus $28,050
-
2014-05-27$66,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,657
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,875
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,333
- − Management
- −$1,333
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $854
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$205
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,588/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investment is needed to improve the exterior, interior, and pole barn, which would substantially increase its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior siding — Severe weathering and damage
- Major Roof — Exposed framing and missing shingles
- Major Interior walls — Paint peeling and exposed drywall
- Major Flooring — Worn and damaged hardwood floors
- Major Bathrooms — Old fixtures and missing tiles
- Major Pole barn — Missing doors and overall poor condition
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint and ceiling tiles — Fresh paint and new ceiling tiles would improve appearance and functionality
- Both Flooring — New flooring would enhance the living space and increase appeal
- Both Bathrooms — New fixtures and tiles would modernize the bathrooms and improve functionality
- Both Exterior siding and roof — New siding and roof would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value
- Both Pole barn — Repairing or replacing the pole barn would add value and functionality to the property
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior siding · Severe weathering and damage | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Roof · Exposed framing and missing shingles | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior walls · Paint peeling and exposed drywall | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Flooring · Worn and damaged hardwood floors | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Bathrooms · Old fixtures and missing tiles | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Pole barn · Missing doors and overall poor condition | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 6 items | $90,000–300,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint and ceiling tiles — Fresh paint and new ceiling tiles would improve appearance and functionality ↑
- Both Flooring — New flooring would enhance the living space and increase appeal ↑
- Both Bathrooms — New fixtures and tiles would modernize the bathrooms and improve functionality ↑
- Both Exterior siding and roof — New siding and roof would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value ↑
- Both Pole barn — Repairing or replacing the pole barn would add value and functionality to the property ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2622970
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,020
- Composite
- 30.93/100
- National rank
- #6112
- State rank
- #268 of 540 in MI
Livability — Albion
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #328
- US rank
- #8096
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,309
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.85%
- Current HPI
- 205.078
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+89.4% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-06-21 Sold (MLS) $28,050 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-27 Listed $66,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…