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15301 28 Mile Rd
C+ Composite 62.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

15301 28 Mile Rd · Albion, MI 49224
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,725 sqft · SingleFamily · 10 Days on market
Built 1920 Poor condition 7.98 ac lot Est $210k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.

Key facts

  • 7.98 acre lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 10 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Built in 1920
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; 1,725 total building area
  • Exterior features: Nearly 8-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: 9 total rooms; Crawl space and Michigan-style basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $233 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#328 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities D+, schools F.
  • Marshall Public Schools (town): math 28% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #268 of 540 in MI (top 50%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $28k; list at $125k implies a 346% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.53%
Cash-on-cash
7.98%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$210,450
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16017 28 Mile Rd 0.71mi 3/1.0 1,840 (+7%) 1mo $120,000 $65 55
15900 28 Mile Rd 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,552 (-10%) 6mo $189,000 $122 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.85×
Total profit
$-5,411
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
5.6%
Equity multiple
1.41×
Total profit
$14,461
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49224

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,388 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,875/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$233

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,093
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $125,000 Pending 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $125,000 Active 10 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $125,000 Active 9 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $125,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-05-22
    listed $125,000 Active 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.

  6. 2026-05-22
    listed $125,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.

  7. 2026-05-22
    listed $125,000 Active 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.

  8. 2026-05-22
    historical $125,000 241-char remark
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.

  9. 2026-05-22
    historical $125,000
    Show marketing remark (241 chars)

    Fixer upper opportunity on 8 acres just north of Albion and just minutes away from I-94. An approx. 40' x 25' pole barn adds convenience and value to the property. Property is being sold AS IS WHERE IS, buyer agent to verify all information.

  10. 2014-06-21
    soldstatus $28,050
  11. 2014-05-27
    listed $66,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,657
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$1,875
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,333
− Management
−$1,333
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable income
$854
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$205
After-tax cash flow
$2,588/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive repairs and updates to bring it up to a livable condition. Significant investment is needed to improve the exterior, interior, and pole barn, which would substantially increase its resale and rental value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Exterior siding — Severe weathering and damage
  • Major Roof — Exposed framing and missing shingles
  • Major Interior walls — Paint peeling and exposed drywall
  • Major Flooring — Worn and damaged hardwood floors
  • Major Bathrooms — Old fixtures and missing tiles
  • Major Pole barn — Missing doors and overall poor condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint and ceiling tiles — Fresh paint and new ceiling tiles would improve appearance and functionality
  • Both Flooring — New flooring would enhance the living space and increase appeal
  • Both Bathrooms — New fixtures and tiles would modernize the bathrooms and improve functionality
  • Both Exterior siding and roof — New siding and roof would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value
  • Both Pole barn — Repairing or replacing the pole barn would add value and functionality to the property

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Severe weathering and damage Major $15,000–50,000
Roof · Exposed framing and missing shingles Major $15,000–50,000
Interior walls · Paint peeling and exposed drywall Major $15,000–50,000
Flooring · Worn and damaged hardwood floors Major $15,000–50,000
Bathrooms · Old fixtures and missing tiles Major $15,000–50,000
Pole barn · Missing doors and overall poor condition Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 6 items $90,000–300,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint and ceiling tiles — Fresh paint and new ceiling tiles would improve appearance and functionality
  • Both Flooring — New flooring would enhance the living space and increase appeal
  • Both Bathrooms — New fixtures and tiles would modernize the bathrooms and improve functionality
  • Both Exterior siding and roof — New siding and roof would improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value
  • Both Pole barn — Repairing or replacing the pole barn would add value and functionality to the property

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marshall Public Schools
NCES district ID
2622970
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,020
Composite
30.93/100
National rank
#6112
State rank
#268 of 540 in MI

Livability — Albion

Score
70/100
State rank
#328
US rank
#8096

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,309

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -67.85%
Current HPI
205.078
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.4% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $125,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2014-06-21 Sold (MLS) $28,050 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-05-27 Listed $66,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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