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1812 Clinton St Fourplex
A Composite 86.2
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +9.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$249,900

1812 Clinton St · Buffalo, NY 14206
16 bd · 12.0 ba · 5,604 sqft · MultiFamily · 137 Days on market
Built 1920 3,720 sqft lot $45/sqft · 44% below area Est $443k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Versatile four unit investment property in the heart of Kaisertown with strong cash flows! The building features three residential apartments, garage with newer metal roof, and a large street-level retail or office space. Upper rear apartment is currently being remodeled and will be completed prior to closing. The commercial space is currently being used as storage but could be an amazing storefront with original pressed tin ceilings. Also being listed as commercial under ml 1662000. An excellent opportunity for investors, business owners, or owner-occupants. Property is offered individually or as part of a three property, seven unit package (see also ml#B1660523 and B1660521) with net income of almost 40k- income and expense report is available. Owner financing available for the package deal.

Key facts

  • Newer metal roof
  • 3,720 sq ft lot
  • Garage

Tags

FOUR UNIT INVESTMENT PROPERTYTHREE RESIDENTIAL APARTMENTSNEWER METAL ROOFLARGE STREET-LEVEL RETAILORIGINAL PRESSED TIN CEILINGS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $250k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $708/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $250k).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 19.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,773/mo this rent would consume 137% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 841% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $22k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (8.1% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (8.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 15y ago; this cycle's ask is 19123% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $250k implies a 363% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $219,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.31%
Cap rate
19.90%
Cash-on-cash
48.60%
DSCR
3.16
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$443,047
List price
$249,900
Delta
-43.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

8.06% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.0%
Equity multiple
5.07×
Total profit
$284,443
Equity at exit
$190,849
10-year hold
IRR
55.2%
Equity multiple
10.88×
Total profit
$691,406
Equity at exit
$379,784

Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14206

Home prices YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
14.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,773 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,311
Tax est. 1.5%
$312 /mo · $3,748/yr
Insurance
$104
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,212
Net cashflow
$2,834

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,186
Max offer price $249,900
Occupancy floor 46%

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $5,773

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$62,475
Closing costs
$7,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $249,900 Active 137 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $249,900 Active 136 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $249,900 Active 135 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $249,900 Active 134 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 132 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $249,900 Active 131 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,900 Active 129 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $249,900 Active 128 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,900 Active 127 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,900 Active 126 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,900 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,900 Active 121 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,900 Active 120 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,900 Active 119 DOM
  15. 2026-05-09
    listed $1,300
  16. 2026-02-01
    listed $249,900 Active 806-char remark
    Show marketing remark (806 chars)

    Versatile four unit investment property in the heart of Kaisertown with strong cash flows! The building features three residential apartments, garage with newer metal roof, and a large street-level retail or office space. Upper rear apartment is currently being remodeled and will be completed prior to closing. The commercial space is currently being used as storage but could be an amazing storefront with original pressed tin ceilings. Also being listed as commercial under ml 1662000. An excellent opportunity for investors, business owners, or owner-occupants. Property is offered individually or as part of a three property, seven unit package (see also ml#B1660523 and B1660521) with net income of almost 40k- income and expense report is available. Owner financing available for the package deal.

  17. 2011-11-01
    historical 155-char remark
    Show marketing remark (155 chars)

    Mixed use building, many possibilities- 2 apratments, 2 car garage, large retail or office space plus rear seperate office suite. Income of 1925 per month.

  18. 2011-10-21
    soldstatus $54,000 155-char remark
    Show marketing remark (155 chars)

    Mixed use building, many possibilities- 2 apratments, 2 car garage, large retail or office space plus rear seperate office suite. Income of 1925 per month.

  19. 2011-06-24
    listed $58,000 155-char remark
    Show marketing remark (155 chars)

    Mixed use building, many possibilities- 2 apratments, 2 car garage, large retail or office space plus rear seperate office suite. Income of 1925 per month.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$69,276
− Mortgage interest
−$13,998
− Property taxes
−$3,748
− Insurance
−$1,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,542
− Management
−$5,542
− Depreciation
−$7,270
Taxable income
$31,926
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$7,662
After-tax cash flow
$26,342/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
21,631
Household income
$50,450
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
841.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 12% Two or more races 8% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 10%
Common ancestry
Romanian 25% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.06%
Current HPI
457.3935
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-97.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Listed for Rent $1,300 SHOWMOJO
  • 2026-02-01 Listed $249,900 WNYREIS
  • 2011-11-01 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2011-10-21 Sold (MLS) $54,000 WNYREIS
  • 2011-06-24 Listed $58,000 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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