CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
8836 Williams Rd
B- Composite 67.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

8836 Williams Rd · DeWitt, MI 48820
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 756 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1940 2.74 ac lot $159/sqft · 39% below area Est $196k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Highest and Best Due on May 22, 2026. Ranch home is set back from the road on approximately 2.74 acres. Home has a 1st floor laundry. Two (2) car detached garage with 2 storage rooms, large shed for seasonal items or extra storage.

Key facts

  • Storage rooms
  • 1st floor laundry
  • Large shed

Tags

1ST FLOOR LAUNDRYDETACHED GARAGESTORAGE ROOMSLARGE SHED

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Well water
  • Home design: Ranch-style single-family home; Built in 1940
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Built in 1940; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Shed(s) on property; Well water

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (20 x 10)
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom 2 (10 x 10)
  • Flooring: Flooring throughout listed rooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Has heating (Other)
  • Interior features: Accessible entrance; Total of 5 rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room (5 x 5)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $265 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 2.9% in DeWitt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#99 in MI, #2,361 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • St. Johns Public Schools (rural): math 33% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #177 of 540 in MI (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 103 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 154 units permitted in Clinton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($113k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 9 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,101 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.17%
Cap rate
8.94%
Cash-on-cash
9.47%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$196,213
List price
$119,900
Delta
-38.89%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2412 E Alward Rd 0.53mi 2/1.0 864 (+14%) 20mo $185,000 $214 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-2,527
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.59×
Total profit
$19,651
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48820

Active inventory
103
Price-to-rent
7.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,405 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$166 /mo · $1,998/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$295
Net cashflow
$265

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,070
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $333 -5% $299 +0% $265 +5% $231 +10% $197
Rent -10% $154 -5% $209 +0% $265 +5% $320 +10% $376
Rate -1.0pp $325 -0.5pp $295 base $265 +0.5pp $234 +1.0pp $202

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $119,900 Pending 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Highest and Best Due on May 22, 2026. Ranch home is set back from the road on approximately 2.74 acres. Home has a 1st floor laundry. Two (2) car detached garage with 2 storage rooms, large shed for seasonal items or extra storage.

  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
  5. 2026-05-11
    listed $119,900 Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Highest and Best Due on May 22, 2026. Ranch home is set back from the road on approximately 2.74 acres. Home has a 1st floor laundry. Two (2) car detached garage with 2 storage rooms, large shed for seasonal items or extra storage.

  6. 2026-05-11
    listed $119,900 Active 193-char remark
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Highest and Best Due on May 22, 2026. Ranch home is set back from the road on approximately 2.74 acres. Home has a 1st floor laundry. Two (2) car detached garage with 2 storage rooms, large shed for seasonal items or extra storage.

  7. 2026-05-11
    listed $119,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (231 chars)

    Highest and Best Due on May 22, 2026. Ranch home is set back from the road on approximately 2.74 acres. Home has a 1st floor laundry. Two (2) car detached garage with 2 storage rooms, large shed for seasonal items or extra storage.

  8. 2023-01-09
    soldstatus $146,000 Closed
  9. 2023-01-09
    soldstatus $146,000
  10. 2022-11-17
    status Pending
  11. 2022-11-11
    listed $130,000 Active
  12. 2022-11-08
    historical $130,000
  13. 2022-11-08
    listed $130,000
  14. 2020-07-09
    soldstatus $112,750
  15. 2020-07-06
    soldstatus $112,750 Sold
  16. 2020-07-06
    soldstatus $112,750
  17. 2020-05-26
    listed $99,500 Active
  18. 2020-05-26
    listed $99,500
  19. 2015-07-07
    soldstatus $78,000
  20. 2015-07-02
    soldstatus $78,000
  21. 2015-07-02
    soldstatus $78,000
  22. 2015-03-31
    listed $87,900
  23. 2015-03-31
    listed $87,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,998 · $166/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,998 · $166/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,862
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$1,998
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,349
− Management
−$1,349
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,363
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$327
After-tax cash flow
$2,852/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns Public Schools
NCES district ID
2632820
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$56,002
Composite
36.25/100
National rank
#4710
State rank
#177 of 540 in MI

Livability — DeWitt

Score
78/100
State rank
#99
US rank
#2361

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Clinton County · 18,357 people
City population
18,357
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
18,357
Household income
$112,526
Rent vs Own
14.5% rent · 85.5% own
Severe rent burden
183.0

Population outlook (Clinton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,490 people
By 2030
82,558 · +1.3%
By 2040
82,325 · +1.0%
By 2050
79,133 · -2.9%
By 2075
65,737 · -19.3%
By 2100
51,314 · -37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clinton

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.6) · D 44.9% · R 53.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-9.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -8.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.6 2020: R+6.5 2016: R+12.7 2012: R+6.2 2008: D+0.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -167.50%
Current HPI
231.0122
Rent YoY
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+36.4% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-01 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-01 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $119,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-09 Sold (MLS) $146,000 REALCOMP
  • 2023-01-09 Sold (MLS) $146,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2022-11-17 Pending Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2022-11-11 Listed $130,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2022-11-08 Coming Soon $130,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2022-11-08 Listed $130,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-07-09 Sold (Public Records) $112,750 Public Records
  • 2020-07-06 Sold (MLS) $112,750 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2020-07-06 Sold (MLS) $112,750 REALCOMP
  • 2020-05-26 Listed $99,500 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2020-05-26 Listed $99,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-07-07 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2015-07-02 Sold (MLS) $78,000 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2015-07-02 Sold (MLS) $78,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-03-31 Listed $87,900 Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2015-03-31 Listed $87,900 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+7.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,998 · +3.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…