1416 Oak Ln · Kennesaw, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
**TENANT OCCUPIED. Please do not approach the home- must receive a offer before showing.** This 3BR/2BA single-level home was completely renovated in 2025 and is being sold as-is with the tenant remaining. Interior features modern LVP flooring throughout, granite countertops, and stainless steel appliances. Rest easy knowing the big-ticket items are done: all-new electrical, plumbing, and a mini-split HVAC system were installed during the renovation. Enjoy low taxes, no HOA fees, and no lot rent. Conveniently located near Acworth, Kennesaw, and Woodstock.
Key facts
- Modern lvp flooring
- Granite countertops
- All-new electrical
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway with open parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Single-wide mobile home; One level
- Construction: Metal siding; Metal roof; Foundation details: see remarks; Resale condition
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Stone counters; Dishwasher, Electric Range, Microwave, Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Master bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level); Master bathroom: none specified
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall unit(s) cooling
- Interior features: No shared/common walls; Other interior features; Dishwasher, Electric Range, Microwave, Refrigerator; Laminate and wood flooring; Stone countertops in the kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $5 ($59/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (12.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (12.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.7% in Kennesaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#19 in GA, #2,588 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: commute F.
- Cherokee County (suburban): math 46% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #17 of 174 in GA (top 10%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Clark Creek Elementary School (math 55% / reading 45%, grade D+, #255 of 1,228 statewide, top 21%, 1,113 students, 44% FRL); E. T. Booth Middle School (math 41% / reading 50%, grade D+, #97 of 470 statewide, top 22%, 1,654 students, 33% FRL); Etowah High School (math 14% / reading 36%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 2,441 students, 28% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,665 units permitted in Cherokee County in 2024 (852 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cherokee County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.12%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-30,838
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-34,446
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30102
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,580 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $5
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $129 | -5% $67 | +0% $5 | +5% $-57 | +10% $-119 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-120 | -5% $-57 | +0% $5 | +5% $67 | +10% $130 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $96 | -0.5pp $51 | base $5 | +0.5pp $-42 | +1.0pp $-89 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4832 Highway 92 Acworth, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1076 | $2,146 | $1.99 | 1d | 18 | 1.28mi |
| 1000 Etowah Ferry Dr Acworth, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1136 | $2,138 | $1.88 | 1d | 29 | 1.35mi |
| 900 Buice Lake Pkwy Acworth, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1054 | $1,884 | $1.79 | 1d | 33 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $179,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,960
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$2,698
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,517
- − Management
- −$1,517
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable loss
- −$2,982
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$716
- After-tax cash flow
- $775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cherokee County
- NCES district ID
- 1301110
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,295
- Composite
- 42.14/100
- National rank
- #3304
- State rank
- #17 of 174 in GA
Livability — Kennesaw
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #19
- US rank
- #2588
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Cherokee County · 289,977 people
- City population
- 104,638
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,319
- Household income
- $97,676
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 940.0
Population outlook (Cherokee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 281,923 people
- By 2030
- 303,845 · +7.8%
- By 2040
- 344,738 · +22.3%
- By 2050
- 379,010 · +34.4%
- By 2075
- 449,617 · +59.5%
- By 2100
- 484,103 · +71.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cherokee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.0) · D 30.1% · R 69.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +12.1pp toward D · 2008: -51.1pp · 2024: -39.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.0 2020: R+39.2 2016: R+50.0 2012: R+57.8 2008: R+51.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -209.73%
- Current HPI
- 250.4575
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+9895.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-29 Listed $199,900 GAMLS
- 2026-05-29 Listed $199,900 FMLS
- 2026-02-16 Rental Removed $2,000 Avail
- 2026-02-09 Listed for Rent $2,000 Avail
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…